Warren Buffett Buys $1 Billion Stake In Apple (cnn.com) 120
An anonymous reader quotes a report from CNN: Berkshire Hathaway, the conglomerate run by Buffett, disclosed in a regulatory filing Monday that it purchased more than 9.8 million shares in Apple during the first quarter. It marks Berkshire's first investment in Apple. Berkshire acquired its position at an average price of about $109 a share. Apple's stock price has since fallen to just above $90, meaning that Berkshire's stake in Apple is now worth about $888 million. The Apple purchase is the second big tech investment by Berkshire, which has been steadily adding to its stake in IBM during the past few years. Until recently, Buffett had been famous for his lack of investments in the tech sector. But Apple fits perfectly in Buffett's wheelhouse. The company is a leader in its market and the stock is extremely cheap, trading for just 11 times this year's earnings estimates. Apple also has a pristine balance sheet, with $232.9 billion in cash. At the end of April, billionaire investor Carl Icahn sold his entire stake in Apple, citing the risk of China's influence on the stock. Last week, Didi, China's ride-sharing service and rival to Uber, announced Apple invested $1 billion in the company. There's been a lot of money shuffling taking place as of late as Apple tries to reinvigorate the market after it had its first earnings decline in more than a decade.
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All this does is prove that Buffett is watching the news. Oracle has the upper hand in the legal case against Google at the moment, and Buffett is betting that Android is going to take a punch in the mouth... hence the investment in Apple.
Not betting (Score:3)
Buffet doesn't make bets like that. His strategy is buy and hold. So ephemeral events don't matter to him, is trends. The real news here is buffet is buying into the tech sector at all. Apple has a P/E ratio below the s/p 500 average. That factors of four below your typical growth stock in the tech sector . Amazon and Facebook have p/e of 80 to 100 or more. Thus Apple is no longer a growth stick it is now a very stable value stock whose price reflects its actual earnings. Icahn's strategey is the op
Re: Not betting (Score:2)
What was risky about Beats? It was a $3 billion acquisition of a company that was generating profit and had high margins. It was a much safer bet than say Facebook buying WhatsApp for $20 billion that had no clear to profitability.
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Beats did not have a P/E of 16. It has a lot of competition, is easily replicated and is threatened by people who own their own pipes like comcast or t-mobile binge-on into forced revenue sharing models. Beats had buzz.
Re: Not betting (Score:2)
T-Mobile doesn't do revenue sharing for Binge On. Beats Music is "easy to duplicate" -- all you have to do is have your music service as the default streaming service on the mobile platform with the most affluent user base and already have a billing relationship with millions of customers.
Beats headphones - whatever you think about how good they are - also are sold in the most successful retail store in the U.S. and sold beside iPhones.
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And android phones never had any impact on the iphone market.
Re: Not betting (Score:2)
With Apple making up to 80%-90% of the profit in the smart phone market, Android really had that much impact. Almost every manufacturer besides Samsung that sells Android phones is losing money.
Re:Why does this matter? (Score:5, Interesting)
His track record in tech is not so great. He bought and continues to buy huge chunks of IBM. He basically bought at IBM's peak and IBM's been in a steady decline since.
Apple is another company that seems likely to be at it's peak, or perhaps just past. However this doesn't make it a bad buy necessarily, nor does it mean he necessarily believes in growth. Apple has been paying a healthy dividend, which is the right thing to do for a company that doesn't really have good growth prospects (they are the biggest in the world already, and hard to imagine them finding a mechanism for growth). Not every investor is looking to buy in and then sell, focused on capital gains as a means to investment payoff.
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"Apple is another company that seems likely to be at it's peak"
Wow!!! Are you from the future?
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No, it's just hard to imagine where Apple has to go from here (except staying about the same/keeping up with population growth or down). This doesn't mean they are about to fall, maybe it's a plateau. It's just at some point, there's just no growth to be had.
Yogi Berra (Score:2)
Yogi said " nobody goes to that bar any more, it's too crowded".
You call a company with decades of sustained Earnings growth a failure simply because it's rate of growth is slowing.
Re:Yogi Berra (Score:4)
You call a company with decades of sustained Earnings growth a failure simply because it's rate of growth is slowing.
He didn't say it was a failure. He said its growth is slowing. If Apple has 0% growth, but profits don't actually decline, then at the current price Apple stock is a great investment. The market consensus is that Apple's profits will go down as their market share declines. If you think otherwise, buy their stock and get rich. If you want to get rich even faster, buy options. Good luck.
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It's not being a failure, it's a simple reality of hitting the ceiling. I would be quite happy to be in that position, to have won *so* hard that there is no further winning possible. It suggests a different set of investment expectations (you are buying into rights to get some of the profits, either as dividends or stock buyback, rather than buying into 'growth' per se).
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Hell, maintaining the same level will require cool new products. I'm saying that I couldn't imagine a sufficiently cool new product to grow a company that's already so hugely valued.
I personally suspect a decline is in their future, but I'm not willing to short it to put my money where my mouth is. I certainly don't expect growth.
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Someone who thinks they know better on buying stock than Berkshire Hathaway is even more ridiculous than someone who thinks they know what makes a successful product better than Apple.
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I'm saying that Berkshire is not bullet proof, and no single one of their investments should ever be considered by anyone to be a sure thing, with IBM being a shining example of them making what appears from all indicators a bad call. This is the reason why they have a diversified portfolio in the first place, to let them have less successfulinvestments.
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Way to early to say a bad call on IBM. BH invests for the long term. They've been investing since 2011, Top was in 2013. But you don't know where it will be when they sell it in 10 years time or whatever, nor what dividends they'll have had in that time.
Of course BH don't get every call right. But neither do you. Where you disagree they are far more likely to be right than you.
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If the article & my calculations are right he just became less successful by about 186 million.
Yeah, they might bounce back...
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...because a successful businessman who have a proven track record of being able to predict future trends in business has made a $1bn bet that this particular tech company will keep growing? On a site about tech news?
Sounds like it should be on a gambling site then. This is stretching the line to tech news.
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And penis transplants?
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OMG, he's channelling the ghost of Roland Piquepaille!
Re:Why does this matter? (Score:5, Insightful)
How does this affect me? Why is this important to anyone except Warren Buffett? Slashdot users don't like answering important questions. But this needs to be asked....
It probably doesn't affect you. Why is that important? Sorry; I felt it needed to be asked.
Re: Why does this matter? (Score:2)
Re:Why does this matter? (Score:5, Insightful)
How does this affect me?
Maybe it doesn't. That doesn't mean it isn't interesting to many others here.
Why should I care that some guy who has hundreds of times more money than I ever will has bought a $1 billion stake in Apple? Why is this important to anyone except Warren Buffett?
I don't know if you should care, but I'll tell you why I care.
Warren Buffet has proven to be very good judge of companies' long-term prospects. No one seriously believes he's infallible, but his approach has been extremely successful. His vote of confidence in Apple's future is something I would consider very interesting at any time, but it's even more interesting right now because so many people are questioning Apple's future. Having lost Steve Jobs (who was an ass, but obviously did a great job of leading the company to success) and with the company's cash cow showing signs that it may begin to decline, it's not clear whether Apple will continue to be the technology leader[*] that it has been.
So, what this amounts to is very informed prognostication on the future of an important tech company. To me, that's news for nerds. For nearly anyone interested in technology or the economy, that's stuff that matters.
But this needs to be asked
I don't see why, actually.
and I challenge any of you to give me a real answer rather than insulting me. Unfortunately, I don't think anyone here is up to the challenge.
I don't much care about challenges, but I also don't make a habit of insulting people, and I don't think I have here.
[*] I know it's popular on slashdot to argue that Apple isn't a technology leader because their core strength isn't blue-sky innovation, but instead taking obviously-good and somewhat-proven ideas and executing them with great polish and skill. I think that view ignores a lot of real innovation that Apple does in the process of creating their premium products, and ignores the fact that Apple's successful products are often trend-setters, even though they often set the "trend" well after comparable competing products have been on the market for some time.
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Warren Buffet has proven to be very good judge of companies' long-term prospects. No one seriously believes he's infallible, but his approach has been extremely successful. His vote of confidence in Apple's future is something I would consider very interesting at any time, but it's even more interesting right now because so many people are questioning Apple's future.
Headline is misleading. Berkshire-Hathaway has for the last two or three years an investment arm that buys and sells stocks rather regularly. This is different and independent from the long term investment acquisitions by Berkshire-Hathaway.
While nothing has been confirmed officially, this seems to be a short term play by the investment arm, not a long term buy-and-hold by Mr. Buffet.
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How does this affect me?
It probably does not. But looks like Buffett needs new software for candlestick analysis, and that is important for me ;)
Actually, Buffett didn't buy it. (Score:1, Interesting)
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Very surprised (Score:4, Funny)
Well, that is why he is a billionaire and I am a code monkey.
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now that apple is like coca cola he will milk it for the dividends
Has Apple started paying dividends?
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Since August 2012.
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Dividends *restarted* then. There were also dividends in the 80s & 90s.
http://investor.apple.com/divi... [apple.com]
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There are probably more reasons why he's investing in it. He's worth $66 billion and a $1 billion dollar investment would hide any deficiencies if a big fish decides to cash out. I get the impression someone called in a favor to him to keep the stock from dipping.
I look forward to the shorting opportunities.
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He may be worth the $66B, but he didn't personally invest in Apple. Berkshire Hathaway did, of which Buffett is the CEO. It turns out that one of his two lieutenants was the one that made the investment. I have a feeling that nothing BH does at that scale is ever "a favor".
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Buffett is well-known to be pretty buddy-buddy with Microsoft, and specifically has pledged quite a lot of money to Bill Gates' "foundation". So it's fairly unlikely that anyone from Apple could count on him for any kind of favor. More likely, he simply sees Apple as a good investment.
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Investing in AAPL (Score:2, Offtopic)
Still stuck to my "never an individual stock. Always funds. Always index funds".
Nothing wrong with that. You might leave some money on the table (or not) but you should stick with an investment strategy that fits your appetite for risk. Index funds are fine investment vehicle. Don't apologize for using them.
Personally I haven't purchased AAPL for a different reason. Three reasons actually. First the stock is already quite valuable so the chance for it to double is not as high as with some other companies. Yes the PE is still reasonable but that is predicated on profits remaining
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Apple's product strategy is kind of a high wire act. All it would take for the stock price to crater would be a single bad iPhone.
I don't agree. They've had bad iPhones. They've bent over users with updates. It will take a lot more than that to get the iFanboys to switch.
For a tech stock I think AAPL isn't a terrible investment but I think AMZN has more upside potential as a stock if you want to play in that sector and are thinking a few years down the road.
You think they'll finally be profitable in only a few years?
Flawed iPhones versus Bad iPhones (Score:2)
don't agree. They've had bad iPhones. They've bent over users with updates. It will take a lot more than that to get the iFanboys to switch.
They've had flawed iPhones but not a truly bad one. I'm talking one with flaws so bad it actually affects sales. I'm talking a seriously screwed up device. Something much worse than any problem we've seen so far. Geeks here on slashdot tend to overreact to what in reality are relatively minor missteps by Apple. Antenna-gate for example was a problem but since almost everyone puts their phones in cases anyway it didn't really matter much from a business perspective.
Alternatively the other way Apple coul
Re: Flawed iPhones versus Bad iPhones (Score:2)
Yes AntennaGate was such a problem they sold the same model - the GSM iPhone 4 - for four years without any modifications.
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Well, of course the oil industry pays well. Tobacco too - if you haven't invested in the tobacco industry, you're missing out on a lot of cash. (It's why they call those tobacco-less, oil-less and other such sin-free funds "ethical funds", which have a markedly lower rate of return.). And technology is the worst sector to invest in because the rate of return is very low - even Apple, considere
How long term exactly... (Score:2)
First the stock is already quite valuable so the chance for it to double is not as high as with some other companies.Yes the PE is still reasonable but that is predicated on profits remaining where they are which is to say VERY high.
I think it's almost certain to double within ten years - simply based on iPhone replacement sales, and services revenue growth alone. The profits seem high, but there's also no reason to look ahead and see them going down much, and a LOT of reasons to think they will go up agai
Playing devil's advocate (Score:2)
I think it's almost certain to double within ten years - simply based on iPhone replacement sales, and services revenue growth alone.
Possible but like I said I have my doubts. Apple is a good company and I think it's stock is fairly valued. I just have my doubts about their ability to continue to grow the company without a new hit product and without avoiding any missteps along the way. It think it's a good investment but I think there are better ones out there.
Or, the fact that CurrentC just folded, leaving all sorts of high end stores (like Target) to start accepting ApplePay... Another factor is that Apple is continuously buying back its own shares.
It's unclear how much impact ApplePay will have long term. I like the product but we just don't know yet. (BTW calling Target a "high end store" is pretty funny - I think you
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Apple is a good company and I think it's stock is fairly valued.
That's exactly my point, even if Apple is "fairly valued", it's only in terms about what people know about Apple today - it does not take into account the imminent growth on many fronts along with new products to launch in upcoming years.
There's really no potential drop in Apple performance.
BTW calling Target a "high end store" is pretty funny
Not to most consumers. Target is one of the few physical retailers still doing very well.
Reason being
Efficient markets (Score:2)
Apple is "fairly valued", it's only in terms about what people know about Apple today - it does not take into account the imminent growth on many fronts along with new products to launch in upcoming years.
ALL stock prices include expectations about future prospects of the company. It absolutely does take into account expectations regarding growth and new products. If you believe in some form of the efficient market hypothesis (and you should) then you would understand this.
The stock price is much lower than it would be if people looked at the stock rationally.
Because the market doesn't agree with your assessment it isn't rational? While it's conceivable you are right it's mighty presumptuous of you to presume that most other investors in Apple is being irrationally pessimistic. Markets are
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Which Royal Dutch Shell are you talking about? I'm looking at quote.yahoo.com, RDS-B, and it says the yield is 3.76.
Furthermore, the stock has gone between $36-$64 in 52 weeks (rounded), as opposed to Apple $90-$133.. So RDS had a much bigger percentage swing in a year..
Oil stocks (Score:2)
Which Royal Dutch Shell are you talking about? I'm looking at quote.yahoo.com, RDS-B, and it says the yield is 3.76.
RDS.A and RDS.B are the same company. The difference is one stock is denominated in Euros and the other in Pounds Sterling. Otherwise they are the same. Current dividend yield is close to identical for either. Currently hovering at around 7.4% [google.com] and has been bouncing between 7-8% for a while now.
Furthermore, the stock has gone between $36-$64 in 52 weeks (rounded), as opposed to Apple $90-$133.. So RDS had a much bigger percentage swing in a year..
That's a function of the swings in the price of oil recently. There currently is a surplus of oil on the market so unit price of oil is down and thus so are energy stocks. The price of oil will head back up even
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I bought AAPL at about the iPod time. My costs are a split adjusted $6. Unfortunately, I only had $100 to invest in it.
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I saw the original iPad with 20GB or 40GB hard disk and a wheel and four buttons
It was the iPod and it had a 5GB HDD. I've still got one somewhere in a drawer at home.
Re: Very surprised (Score:2)
index fund expenses around 0.18% (Score:2)
>> Always index funds
> Funds are okay but the fees really add up. I've had good success buying mosting stocks which are in successful funds, avoiding all their fees.
Are you thinking about managed funds, as opposed to the index funds he mentioned? My main index fund, IVE, has an expense ratio of 0.18%. $1.80 per $1,000. If you invest monthly,the mutual fund is probably cheaper on fees than buying individual stocks. Even you buy individual stocks less often (and miss out on growth), transaction
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Still stuck to my "never an individual stock. Always funds. Always index funds". [snip]
Well, that is why he is a billionaire and I am a code monkey.
One is never going to become a billionaire by investing in index funds (unless one already has many, many millions to invest). The whole point of index funds is to distribute risk by going with the direction of the overall market. So, if things get better, your finances get better along with them. If the market tanks, you lose, but not more than other investors on average.
Index funds are a way to "follow the herd," which is a relatively low-risk strategy for investments.
People who get rich tend to ta
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I Scratch My Head. (Score:1)
Back in the day, Buffet would not buy companies he does not understand. In other words, he never bought 'tech' companies. Now just in the last few days we find out he owns a chunk of Apple and is in second round of bidding for Yahoo. With his advance age, this makes me think he is no longer controlling all major day to day investments at Berkshire Hathaway.
http://www.businessinsider.com/why-buffett-doesnt-invest-in-technology-2014-3
Didi (Score:2)
Does this name remind anyone else of Darda cars? I'd take one of those as a taxi.
Need coffee... (Score:1)
Buffy buries stake in Apple.....
I'm thinking Buffett's getting a tad senile... (Score:3, Interesting)
Apple is on its way down unless they can find some new product lines.I think this is going to be one of his (few) losers.
My assumption is that Buffett thinks that technology is becoming commodity, Apple is a big brand consumer company, and that he understands consumer commodities. However, Apple still depends on its technology/manufacturing development to give it what little zing it has left and that this will come around and bite him in the ass. Wait for two or three new products to crash and burn in the market and/or manufacturing development. Apple's brand is getting a bit long in the tooth to be trendy anymore, as well.
I think we'll be watching Warren riding this thing down.
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Smarter people than us don't think that.
http://www.asymco.com/2016/03/... [asymco.com]
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Yes, worlds wealthiest company is run by idiots. News from people who don't know verb tenses.
Thanks for that wonderful insight, CNN talking head.
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And Apple hasn't even begun to target the corporate desktop... yet they're being drawn into it from small businesses and startups.
Meanwhile, the competition...
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No one saw Apple coming out with the iPhone. Granted it has been just steady improvement since then but that is how innovation is done.
Personally I am waiting for every Mac to have a built in nfc reader and an OS api allowing purchases on websites, and app stores by swiping your phone over it. With tokenization it would safe and secure and push Apple Pay while being compatible with Google wallet 2.0. You could go further. Suddenly every Mac becomes a potential pos terminal.
Re: I'm thinking Buffett's getting a tad senile... (Score:2)
http://www.fiercewireless.com/story/timeline-apple-iphone-rumors-1999-present
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Apple grows on many vectors (Score:2)
Something you and others do not seem to understand is just how many ways Apple is growing.
The primary way is still iPhones. Even though sales year over year are down, ever quarter still means an overall increase of tens of millions of people using new devices.
So then on top of that you have services for all those devices, as Apple said over a billion now - and growing every quarter. That's a lot of app revenue, iCloud revenue, other related revenue increasing and increasing over time..
And that's just the
Re: Apple grows on many vectors (Score:1)
Apple is in decline. They are too big to die. But also too big to become anything but another Ford or Sears Roebuck.
It's a sad time to be an Apple Cultist. Even worse than that time when the first Apple Cultist opened their PowerBook and discovered a hard drive made by IBM.
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If you think it's a sad time to be an "Apple Cultist", you should see how sad it is to be an "Apple Hater" who sees a brief pause in growth as fundamental decline!
I mean, being that blind, what ELSE are you missing? Makes me shudder to think how purposefully uninformed you choose to be.
i'm no "Apple Cultist", I'm a realist with apparently a far clearer view of both past and future than you will ever have.
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Growth can never remain exponential or even linear without a market saturating.
It's not hard at all to ignore Apple except to feel a little happier every time something bad happens to the company. Ignoring Apple doesn't equate to being ignorant about Apple.
I own three SE/30s and an Apple ][. A pair of iMac G4's in fact. (It's a real hassle to get NetBSD to run on an SE/30, it makes running Linux on a modern PC with Microsoft's encrypted bootloader seem easy. Apple has always been the kind of fuckers tha
Re: Proudly Hating Apple Since 1982 (Score:1)
I have only hated Apple since 1984, when Steve Jobs stood on a stage and proclaimed the sealed-box Macintosh to be hacker-proof. He meant 'hacker' in the old classical sense.
Fuck Apple.
AAPL had been off-limits to him for a while (Score:5, Interesting)
Jobs hated paying dividends. Apple stopped paying them in 1995 to entice him to return to the helm, and didn't start paying them again until late-2012 after Jobs died. (For those who don't know, dividends are profits distributed to shareholders. Under Job's watch, Apple kept all its profits as retained earnings, making AAPL what's playfully called a baseball card stock. That is, a stock which doesn't pay dividends, so whose only value is being able to impress dinner guests by showing them that you own it, and how much you can get selling it to someone else. Google is still a baseball card stock - they don't pay dividends either.)
The $232.9 billion Apple has in the bank almost exactly matches its net profit during the time it didn't pay dividends [statista.com] (2005-2015 adds up to $232.78 billion). In other words, rather than paying stockholders dividends or investing the money into R&D and expansion like you're supposed to with retained earnings, Apple has just been putting it into a bank account. Kinda makes me think that was a condition Apple's board put on Job's policy of not paying dividends. Maybe Buffet has a hunch about what they're going to do with the money?
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Ichan has it right (Score:3)
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https://www.google.com/search?... [google.com]
"Including results for icahn china"
A quick google points to Carl Icahn, some kind of notable investor.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]
http://qz.com/673035/carl-icah... [qz.com]
http://www.businessinsider.com... [businessinsider.com]
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automobile industry (Score:3)
Maybe Buffett thinks that there is lots of money to be made in the automobile industry. Maybe because of the number of orders Tesla received for their new model. One think Apple was able to deliver on was satisfying a huge demand for their product. Which isn't easy and which Tesla now has to prove they can do as well.
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Maybe Buffett thinks that there is lots of money to be made in the automobile industry. Maybe because of the number of orders Tesla received for their new model. One thing Apple was able to deliver on was satisfying a huge demand for their product. Which isn't easy and which Tesla now has to prove they can do as well.
Apple knows where the money is, they will introduce iCar with rounded corners and uglier than this. [wordpress.com]
Take a bath (Score:1)
I'd love to see Warren Buffet take a bath on tech stocks. Fake folksy guy.
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Many mutual funds own Berkshire stock.
Many have little to no brk exposure. Be in one of those. The glory days of brk are distant fading memory.
give everyone a million dollars (Score:2, Interesting)
" $232.9 billion in cash."
Apple, you've won the making money game. Give each of your 115,000 employee a million dollars. They can retire, go on a bender, whatever. The handful that stick around can keep making the products they enjoy making, perhaps spinning off their own start-ups that follow their unique passion.
(I realize this is not how capitalism or businesses work, but the way they do work in the real world seems kind of strange to me)
Err... not Buffett.. (Score:2)
Please fire tim cook (Score:2, Interesting)
He's done nothing.
Apple morale is at an all time low, even lower than Gil Amelio.
I go into the Apple store and wish there was something I should buy, but then I walk out, there's nothing.
Judging from their earnings, I'm not alone.