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Communications Businesses Handhelds Toys Apple Hardware

Apple Says 250,000 iPhones Sold to Unlockers 311

Hugh Pickens writes "Timothy D. Cook, Chief Operating Officer at Apple, disclosed during Apple's conference call to discuss their fourth quarter earnings that they estimate 250,000 of the 1.4 Million iPhones that have been sold were bought by people intending to unlock the phone. 'The elasticity in demand with the price drop] enabled us to far surpass our expectation of hitting around a million units cumulatively by the end of the quarter. Some number of these were sold to people that have an intention to unlock and [while] we don't know precisely how many people are doing that, our current guess is there is probably 250,000 of the 1.4 million that we sold where people had bought them with the intention of doing that. Many of those happened after the price cut.' Apple knows how many iPhones have been sold and how many have been activated with ATT. The difference is the number that are unlocked."
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Apple Says 250,000 iPhones Sold to Unlockers

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  • by jcicora ( 949398 )
    Maybe its just me, but who cares about the iPhone? Normally I'm pretty excited about Apple products, but it really seems like just another phone. Yeah, it has a few more bells and whistles, but its not revolutionary or anything. And the whole AT&T lock in deal is a big downer. Maybe the next rev will be more exciting.
    • by SilentChris ( 452960 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:47AM (#21086073) Homepage
      I bought the iPhone the day it came out thinking I'd have the same reaction ("it's just a phone"). I then immediately took it on a multi-week vacation and used it every day. I found some features invaluable.

      * The "real" web browser can be a lifesaver. I was able to conduct business as usual, accessing OWA, using PayPal, etc. No Blackberry-ized web.
      * "Real" email is also a plus. Getting PDF attachments and actually seeing them rendered as they're supposed to be rendered helps.
      * Visual voicemail was a great benefit on vacation. When you have 10-12 messages to go through, a day, seeing exactly who sent what and picking/choosing was a godsend.
      * Video plays very well on it, and was a great benefit on 8-hour plane flights.
      * Even "just as a phone", there's a number of features that it just does better than other phones. I never could recall, for example, the key combination to do 3-way calling on my Blackberry. On the iPhone it was just a couple of button presses.

      It's still not perfect. If you receive a large attachment (e.g. a 1 MB+ JPG) it can error. I've seen the web browser crash a few times while playing music. Also, the screen is a fingerprint magnet.

      That said, the same people complaining "What's so good about an iPhone?" are likely the same that complained years ago "What's so good about carrying around a cell phone?" Until you have one, using it every day, you don't realize how good beneficial it can be.

      I can only hope that other manufacturers copy the design well enough that someone else can release a model at a lower price.
      • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

        by eln ( 21727 )

        I was able to conduct business as usual
        But I thought you said you were on vacation...so why would you want to do that?

        • by SilentChris ( 452960 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:54AM (#21086169) Homepage

          But I thought you said you were on vacation...so why would you want to do that?

          Some of us get paid lots of money to do that. :)
          • So you went on a business trip is what you're saying. Vacation [reference.com] is defined as leaving work behind.
            • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

              by Mattintosh ( 758112 )
              Actually, the word "vacation" comes from the Latin phrase translated as "vacant days". These "vacant days" were the days that weren't "holy days", from which we get the word "holiday". So "vacation" is actually supposed to be a work day, not a holiday. Sorry, but the Brits have this one right for a change.

              Just for reference, the Romans had almost 180 "holy days" each year, making for about a 50/50 split between work and days off. Again, we workaholic Americans have it all wrong.
              • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

                by Kozz ( 7764 )

                Which begs the question [begthequestion.info], why don't people use words and language [blogspot.com] the ways in which they were intended? I say we decimate [brothersjuddblog.com] the lot!

                Okay, I'm just trying to make a point here, of course. I'm not saying I entirely disagree with you, but we'll forever fight uphill battles if we hold too tightly to original Latin, and so forth. ;)

              • by Bertie ( 87778 )
                Ah, but they had slaves to do the work. You rightly gave all that up some time ago.
              • by afabbro ( 33948 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @01:44PM (#21088893) Homepage
                Actually, the word "vacation" comes from the Latin phrase translated as "vacant days".

                Try again:

                Vacationem: "leisure, as being free from duty."

            • Thats what the average person's vacation is. Some of us (say me) go on vacation for a month in a foreign country, and bring along a PDA/Laptop to keep things rolling smoothly for the company. Makes for an effective way to enjoy yourself, while still making a small chunk of change to say the least while not inconveniencing your peers with your absence. Helps to pass the time while on a 15 hour train ride from Hiroshima to Sapporo (yes, I'm insane thank you very much) and theres nothing to look at when dark o
          • And some people like to actually relax on their holidays! :P When you say 'lots' I hope you mean more than 100K USD, and that you get more holidays to offset the fact that you keep working during the holidays..
      • by jimicus ( 737525 )
        I then immediately took it on a multi-week vacation.....I was able to conduct business as usual,

        Well, it sounds like you had a nice relaxing holiday ;)
      • by Wiseazz ( 267052 )
        I've been able to play around with a couple iPhones here at work, and in addition to bullets in the parent, I would say that the camera is among the best I've seen in a cell phone. If they had been able to integrate a flash, it would have been even better. Still not a replacement for a stand-alone camera, but decent enough for a quick pic. You really can't say the same for most phones.
      • Welcome to 2002 (Score:3, Informative)

        by llZENll ( 545605 )
        Welcome to what Smartphone and Pocket PC owners have been enjoying for over 5 years, plus quite a bit more since there are over 3000 games, 5000 applications, GPS, and 100's of devices which support the windows mobile platform.

        Sure the WM platform has its problems, it just amazes me people are stunned when can use a web browser, read PDF, and view video on a phone when it has been around for so long, and oh yeah, you can get a better equiped Smartphone for about $200 less than an iPhone, and most of them ar
      • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

        by m2943 ( 1140797 )
        * The "real" web browser can be a lifesaver. I was able to conduct business as usual, accessing OWA, using PayPal, etc. No Blackberry-ized web.
        * "Real" email is also a plus. Getting PDF attachments and actually seeing them rendered as they're supposed to be rendered helps.


        Yes, like Symbian and Windows Mobile phones have had for many years.

        I can only hope that other manufacturers copy the design well enough that someone else can release a model at a lower price.

        I hope nobody copies the iPhone; it's a big ste
    • by ettlz ( 639203 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:50AM (#21086127) Journal

      You just don't get it, do you?

      It's got an "i" in its name. That's right, not just any old copy of the ninth letter of the Roman alphabet, but a motherfucking lower-case "i".

      Comprendez?

    • by p0tat03 ( 985078 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @11:09AM (#21086423)

      Here's another perspective (as opposed to the other one already extolled by another poster above):

      I'm among the 250K iPhone buyers who bought to unlock. I, unfortunately, live in Canada, but the feature set appeared solid enough (and my iPod had the good grace to suddenly die on me) that I decided to make the jump. I don't regret it one bit and here is why:

      - Full email access on the go is very nice. A Blackberry does this also, but very few other phones do. I've never realized how nice it is to have email access on the road - airline reservation number? No need to bring a sticky note, or anything else for that matter, it's all cached on the phone.
      - The full web browser is a bigger feature than people give it credit for. I communicate heavily via forums, wiki, etc, for work, and being able to check these in a non-crippled (like a Blackberry, or every other phone really) phone is really, really, really nice.
      - It is, in the end, just a phone and iPod slammed together. But it is also the nicest phone I've ever used, bar none. The interface is intuition, the buttons are easy to hit (which can't be said for Sony Ericsson phones, which used to be my favored brand - they have nice software, but poor physical UI).
      - It's ridiculously nice not having to carry a phone AND an iPod. I tried this before with other music phones and I'd been disappointed each time. I was wary about this at first, having such problems with convergence devices before, but so far the iPhone has been a dream in that regard. The iPhone is the first "all in one" device I've used that doesn't suck.

      • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

        by Lurkingrue ( 521019 )
        "...I, unfortunately, live in Canada..."
         
        I don't think I've heard anyone believably state this before, unless they were talking about the weather.
        • by p0tat03 ( 985078 )
          Well, if you're looking at the whole "paying more for electronics despite having the stronger dollar" then yes, it's very unfortunate I live in Canada. In all other senses though, thank God I live in Canada ;)
        • Seriously, I recently spent a year living in Mississauga, ON, a suburb (despite what they like to claim) of Toronto. Canadians are different people, and for them, I can understand why they prefer Canada. Me? I'm just glad I'm back in the USA, even if it's the worst state in the union these days.
      • How's the battery life using it as a phone and an mp3 player? I'd be worried about listening to my tunes all day and then having to make an important call and having no battery life yet.

        I'm curious to know how it's working out for you in that respect!

        I wonder if there'll be a backup/external battery pack for it. I had one for my ipod before some reject busted my car window to steal it. With the non-replaceable battery, it would be really nice to be able to throw a few AA's into a pack to get an extra few ho
        • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

          by p0tat03 ( 985078 )

          Battery life has been great for me so far. On the odd week where I don't use the iPod features much, the phone goes for 3-4 days on standby, which is on par with the phone I had previously, though certainly not long lasting phone by any stretch.

          I've also had hour-long calls with the SO, and there's no noticeable hit to the battery for that - so I'm convinced the talking power on a full charge is pretty high, though I've certainly never pushed it to the limit (even whilst having 2 hour calls, I'm pretty im

    • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

      by somersault ( 912633 )
      Ka-ching! Someone give this man a donut and a payrise - he has successfully broken free of the reality distortion field!
    • by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF ( 813746 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @12:13PM (#21087479)

      Maybe its just me, but who cares about the iPhone? Normally I'm pretty excited about Apple products, but it really seems like just another phone. Yeah, it has a few more bells and whistles, but its not revolutionary or anything.

      Personally, I don't care a lot about the iPhone and don't plan on buying one anytime soon. I felt the exact same way about the iPod and still do. That doesn't mean, however, that I don't recognize that Apple is pulling off another revolution with the iPhone, akin to what they did with the iPod. The iPhone is revolutionary in the exact same way.

      Do you remember "no wireless, less space than a Nomad, lame." That assessment was not wrong, it just failed to account for the market. The iPod was not a lot more featureful than existing MP3 players, or cheaper. What it was was easier to use and learn and provided a smooth easy experience. The iPod was the first portable, digital music player that was easy enough for the average person to rip their CDs, load them onto the device, buy new music online, and play it while jogging. It didn't steal market share from existing MP3 players... it opened up the market to the 95% of people who were still using portable CD players.

      The iPhone does the same thing, but for smart phones. It is the first smart phone that is easy enough to use and learn for normal people. It may not have all the features of other smart phones and it may not steal market from RIM's blackberry, but it opens up the market to the 95% of people who just have a regular cell phone and don't even use half of its features because they are too cumbersome. It opens up the market to people who don't even have cell phones but who think having all those features, usable, anywhere they are is worth the price.

      Apple's winning strategy is top notch user interface and even more importantly, overall user experience. I'll probably buy an iPhone one of these days, unless someone else catches on that it isn't the look of the device, or how many features are listed as bullet points, or what brand it is and actually delivers a really good smart phone I will actually enjoy using and not be frustrated by.

  • Gifts (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Shambly ( 1075137 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:35AM (#21085871)
    Couldn't some of that 250 000 just people not bothering activating them or planning on giving them away as christmass gifts or whatnot.
    • Re:Gifts (Score:5, Funny)

      by eln ( 21727 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:45AM (#21086031)
      In the absence of any evidence to the contrary, I have to assume the majority of the 250,000 were most likely blended [willitblend.com].
    • My money is on hybridization with the Dawson's Creek Trapper Keeper Ultra Keeper Futura S 2000.
    • Not to mention countries outside the US - even in China I've seen at least a dozen stores with signs advertising iPhones in stock (and two of my friends have bought them; they're not fakes), and I'm sure that Europe and Japan must be taking even more.
  • Irony... (Score:5, Funny)

    by RiotNrrd ( 35077 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:35AM (#21085879) Homepage Journal
    Does anyone else find it somewhat ironic that a company that has roots in defrauding Ma Bell is having these problems now?

    • Perhaps karmic payback? That sure is the reason I'm not starting up a telco anytime soon...
    • iPhones are being sold, and Apple gets that money.

      if they are supposed to get a weekly steering fee/kickback from SBC/ATT/Cingular = ATT, that's an annoyance, depending on the size of the steering fee/kickback.

      what this is saying is that 20% of the geek population won't go with ATT wireless even at the pain of not being able to use the latest wonder toy.

      this is not a problem for Apple. this is a shot to the chest for ATT. the single hottest device on the planet, and 20% of customers will risk turning it i
  • ATT shareholders? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by tgd ( 2822 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:37AM (#21085907)
    ATT shareholders are the ones who should be paying attention.

    25% of the affluent side of the market is willing to risk bricking a $400 phone to avoid their service.

    • Re:ATT shareholders? (Score:4, Informative)

      by nelsonal ( 549144 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:41AM (#21085961) Journal
      Based on apple's revenue recognition, and deferred revenue balances, it looks like AT&T did. Apple got about 108 million in revenue from sales of 1.1 million iPhones this quarter. That's an average of about $100/phone. However their iPhone related defferred revenue increased by about $300/mo. Meaning AT&T pays for the phones each month subscribers stay with them. No subscription=no payment.
    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      by ELProphet ( 909179 )

      25% of the affluent side of the market

      17.857% of the market is willing to brick their phones ;)
    • ATT shareholders are the ones who should be paying attention.

      25% of the affluent side of the market is willing to risk bricking a $400 phone to avoid their service.

      If I was a stock holder the only thing I would be focused on is the 25% loss in profits.
      • by p0tat03 ( 985078 )
        Which sadly, is typical of investors. Which is why an investor-run company is generally a bad idea - they lack the savvy in the field, and most refuse to leave management to more capable hands, instead second guessing their appointees' decisions every step of the way. What would be interesting is seeing how many of these iPhones end up in places where AT&T has no presence (i.e. non-USA), and how many are being bought by people intending to bring it to another US carrier. If the latter number is high eno
    • Just as many would do so for Verizon, Sprint, Nextell, ATT, AllTell, T-Moble. People wanted the iPhone for the hardware side of it, Not as much as the phone part. Being able to find a way to create Application switch carreriers has value to them... I bet a lot of the brickers bought 2 iPhones one to mess with and one to use.
    • 25% of the affluent side of the market is willing to risk bricking a $400 phone to avoid their service.

      Or they just aren't American. I know, you guys just forget about us from time to time, it's ok.

      But Apple pissing all over 1/4 million affluent and discerning customers... Where is the sense in that?

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        by tgd ( 2822 )
        Have you seen the value of the dollar? The people who aren't American ARE the affluent ones now ;-)
  • by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:40AM (#21085943)
    How many more iPhones would have been sold if it was unlocked in the first place.
  • by imstanny ( 722685 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:41AM (#21085979)
    I'd like to know how many of those 250,000 phones were resold (on ebay?) for a premium? On one hand, those extra sales are obviously good for Apple. On the other hand, that could also be viewed as an opportunity cost for Apple...
  • by FalconZero ( 607567 ) * <FalconZero@Gmai[ ]om ['l.c' in gap]> on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:42AM (#21085993)
    I guess I'm one of many people that would be interested to see the numbers on the whole 'exclusive cingular deal' thing. I'm guessing there must be quite a hefty payment per unit by cingular to apple. Looking at these figures, apple were expecting 1 million sales at the end of Q4, and ended up with 25% more sales as a result of sales to unlockers, if they were expecting this then I'm guessing the payment per unit must be at least a third of the unit price.

    I guess we'll know when it goes on sale in France (where due to law it must be sold unlocked). I assume they'll be whacking on the appropriate additional cost.

    I also wonder why Apple really care? I mean they already signed the deal, and they're making 'reasonable' efforts to uphold their end of it, so why do they care enough about unlockers to bother with a patch aimed at preventing it? Esp. since they're getting more sales out of it....
    • by 2nd Post! ( 213333 ) <gundbear@p[ ]ell.net ['acb' in gap]> on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @11:26AM (#21086693) Homepage
      Every unlock attempt has exploited a hole in Apple's security, the same kind of hole a malicious website or program might use to hijack an iPhone.

      In that sense, as an iPhone owner, I care that my system is not exposed to unwanted vulnerabilities just to appease a hacker subset.
      • As far as I'm aware the first hack involved soldering on to the JTAG interface on one of the chips on the inside of the phone. I'm not aware of any malicious websites or programs that are able to open up a phone and solder it. I'll grant you that later hacks are done in software, but still require the phone user to connect it to a pc and a follow a specific sequence of steps.

        I won't be buying an iPhone (hacked or otherwise), and I have no strong opinions either way about Apple or Cingular. I just find it
  • by CleverScreenName ( 1176231 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:43AM (#21085999)
    I don't think I would have ever locked myself into one company. Or if I did, I wouldn't have locked into Cingular AT&T for more than one year.

    From a business perspective, I understand the benefits of profit sharing especially when you have a lock on the market with your new product. However, when 18-20% of your market makes the active effort to purchase your product and create a workaround, I firmly believe that Apple could have printed their own money if they opened sales up to all companies that can handle a SIM card.

    Being a T-Mobile customer, I wasn't an early adopter for the iPhone. I would have been if I was an AT&T customer, but having looked at it demographically I see this:

    There are people who want an iPhone:

    -And get it

    -But have a different carrier

    -And buy the hacked version for 90% of the functionality

    -And can't justify the cost

    -But won't pay the switching cost.

    -But they really want a ZunePhone

    My .02

  • by Red Flayer ( 890720 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @10:43AM (#21086003) Journal
    FTA:

    Some number of these were sold to people that have an intention to unlock and where we don't know precisely how many people are doing that, our current guess is there is probably 250,000 of the 1.4 million that we sold where people had bought them with the intention of doing that.
    (Total units sold) less (contracts with AT&T) != (number sold with intent to unlock).

    Missing from this oversimplified calculation are iPhones sold but not yet registered with AT&T. This would include (and is potentially a figure large enough to throw off their estimate) iPhones sold to non-registered resellers.
    • by Torne ( 78524 )

      (Total units sold) less (contracts with AT&T) != (number sold with intent to unlock).

      Missing from this oversimplified calculation are iPhones sold but not yet registered with AT&T. This would include (and is potentially a figure large enough to throw off their estimate) iPhones sold to non-registered resellers.

      True, but also missing from this are iPhones sold, registered with AT&T, and then unlocked anyway, perhaps because they were registered before the method for unlocking was known, or becaus

  • I can honestly say I like the Prada phone more than the iphone. And its not a pain to unlock either.
  • by Frag-A-Muffin ( 5490 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @11:00AM (#21086277)
    and that would be me. :)

    As a Canadian, I didn't have much choice. It was unlock it, or wait until Apple and Rogers get their act together.(Rogers is basically the only GSM carrier in canada. Fido is the other one, but it's owned by rogers now)

    There's no light at the end of the tunnel for Canadians either. There are 2 hurdles currently slowing down the release of the iphone in Canada:

    1) the iPhone name is already trademarked by a voip company called Comwave. I know this because I'm an iphone customer in more ways than one! :) [comwave.net]

    2) the data rates in Canada are insanely stupid. I don't even subscribe to data and just rely on wifi around the big cities to fulfill my data needs. The best deal I can get from Rogers is $10 for 10MB. After that, it's $0.03/KB. Yes, you can do the math. The 2nd 10MB will cost you another $300 [shoprogers.com]**. Now you know why I don't subscribe to data.

    Going the unlock route might even make sense when indeed it does show up north of the border. You know they'll force you to subscribe to data, and you know they'll want a lock in for 2-3 years. So even if it was available in Canada now, I might still have unlocked an iphone anyhow.

    Just my $0.02 CND. (And yes, it's actually worth more than your $USD now :P)

    ** - Can someone double check for me, I'm still in disbelief at the $300 for the 2nd 10MB :)

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      by Helios1182 ( 629010 )
      Your math is off by a factor of ten: $.03 * 1000 = $30.
    • by p0tat03 ( 985078 )
      Rogers sells, at the maximum, a 500MB plan for $210. That's some $217 US for our American cousins ;) But yes, we seem to be getting the royal shaft - 500MB of data for $210, where Americans get UNLIMITED for $30. If you guys thought YOUR telcos were bad, wait till you come to Canada, where Rogers is the *only* GSM carrier (and by virtue of that, the only one worth a damn).
  • Good for them (Score:3, Insightful)

    by hitmanWilly1337 ( 1034664 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @11:05AM (#21086349)
    I'm all for hacking around this kind of crap. Remember when Nintendo tried to sue Game Genie? In that case, the judge ruled that once you buy a piece of hardware, you can't force someone to use it the way the manufacturer intended, at least not through lawsuits.
  • I wish someone would explain to me, why they just don't sell the Iphone with a contract for AT&T service instead of trying to force people to use AT&T via locking the phone. I mean that's how it's done with all the other phones. If it is exclusive through a provider, you have to buy a service contract with that provider. Simple and no bricking... Mayby Apple and AT&T are just stupid.
    • by Budenny ( 888916 )
      The reason is, they are trying to change the business model. The phone manufacturer has never before got a percentage of the revenue generated by the device for the service provider. Neither for that matter has the CD or DVD player maker ever gotten a percentage of the revenue from the CDs or DVDs that were rented.

      However, people always dream of taking just a small slice of the revenue others are getting with the aid of their box or service. In the dot.com bubble days, it was common to hear telcos thinki
  • You gotta love it when people explaining things to investors paint things in a zero sum world as if being more forceful in math makes them look better. The difference in their equation may also be due to:
    christmas gifts, or blended, as previously posted
    fell off the truck (stolen merchandise)
    people buying extras in case they break
    buying for kids or boyfriend/girlfriend but deciding to give to someone else who deserves it more
    buying but not really needing it yet (waiting for current contract to expire)
    buying
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by guruevi ( 827432 )
      Well your 'other circumstances' CAN apply for some products, but not the full 250k+

      Fell off the truck: those wouldn't be 'sold', they were shipped and lost (or they are still showing up as 'in-stock'), money has not been received for those items.
      People buying extras in case they break: There is a one-year full warranty and for a few bucks you can get a 3-year replacement warranty. Spending $400 just so I wouldn't have to buy the warranty, doesn't make sense for anyone.
      Buying for kids/boyfriend/girlfriend: W
  • by Theovon ( 109752 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @11:16AM (#21086523)
    That's MARKET penetration, for the dirty-minded of you out there.

    Listen, I'm not going to buy an iPhone any time soon. I'm a grad student and just can't afford it. In fact, by the time I can afford one, every other cell phone manufacturer will have something that copies all its features, although Apple will also keep up and have some better phones, etc. But I think Apple is doing absolutely the right thing with the iPhone, and as annoying as some of their actions have been, they're ultimately going to our benefit as well as theirs. This isn't altruism. They want profit. It's just that they know about user demand, but they presently have their hands tied.

    Here's something you need to realize: Apple doesn't like this lockin any more than you do. Oh, sure, they like the kickbacks, no doubt. But the lockin has caused them untold grief from both technical and PR angles. And the KNEW this even before setting out.

    So why put us through all this bullshit? Because before there was an iPhone, there was no specific demand for it. As an idea, there was GENERAL demand, but there wasn't a phone from Apple already that you could play with to tell that you really want a phone from Apple. If Apple were to start out with an unlocked phone, they would shoot themselves in the foot--no carrier would pick up their phone, because there wouldn't be enough guaranteed profit in it. As it is, Apple and AT&T have going basically the only way to go about it and not have the iPhone be a total waste of time that tanked before it started. The key factors here are (1) to get users familiar with it and addicted do it, and (2) make significant profit. The only way to do these things is to sell them by the millions. The only way to sell by the millions AN UNPROVEN PRODUCT is to make a deal with a major carrier who will see enough profit in it to help push it on buyers.

    In short, what Apple did was SMART. Oh, it wasn't NICE. But it was SMART, because frankly, it's the only way to meet these basic business requirements.

    I guarantee you that before iPhone+AT&T, T-Mobile was only passingly interested in it, considering it to be a very risky thing to take on. NOW, they're shitting themselves and are about ready to beg Apple to sell to them. Apple knows this. This is why Apple did what they did. They had to prove themselves, and now everyone wants them. One way to prove yourself is to sell the product successfully. The best way for them to sell the iPhone successfully THE FIRST TIME was to take another route.

    Apple is smart and is going to take advantage of their popularity. Once AT&T becomes dependent on the iPhone because they see it as highly profitable, they'll agree to terms more favorable to Apple, which is that Apple will sell to other carriers, and the phones they sell will be unlocked! Apple is not only aware of what the users want; they've ancipated what the users want and are preparing to give us those features. They just can't yet. Apple is fighting tooth and nail with the unlockers, not because they give a shit about unlocking. They WANT unlocking. In fact, they're probably elated that users are able to use the phones on other networks. But they have to put on a good show for AT&T! They have a contract with AT&T that requires them to maintain the lockin. And they MUST maintain that lockin, because they have not YET achieved that critical mass of adoption.

    Oh, BTW, if Apple doesn't do as I predict, users will become jaded and lose interest in the iPhone as the competition catches up and DOES provide what people want. I don't think Apple is that blind or stupid. Otherwise, they wouldn't get half their Mac sales from people who've never before owned a Mac.
    • So tell me what you think what have transpired had Apple simply sold the iPhone already unlocked right from the start without having any contract with any provider at all? Do you think cell carriers would have turned down the signups they get? You can buy imported unlocked phones now and signup with a carrier. How many more iPhones would have sold had it

      Traditionally, locked phones are sold by the carrier at a deep discount, or in some cases given away, with cost recovery through term service as the loc

      • by Theovon ( 109752 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @01:06PM (#21088351)
        If Apple had just sold unlocked phones, there MIGHT have done just fine. But I think this deal with AT&T dramatically improved their chances. A lot of the process of rolling out a new product is publicity, and making this deal with AT&T gave them an immediate advertizing channel. Plus, Apple is very careful about this "experience" thing, where they control the environment so as to minimize problems. MacOS is awesome for the novice, but to make it usable for an expert does require a fair amount of tweaking with some add-on programs and such. The thing is, if Apple were to ship with these things, they'd be increasing their chances of problems. If you install a third-party app, and the system does something funny, then it's your fault or the fault of the app developer. But Apple does not by any means PRECLUDE these add-ons when you know what you're doing.

        This goes along with the current lack of dev kit or the iPhone. The launch MUST go smoothly, with minimal problems. Delaying the introduction of a dev kit gives Apple the opportunity to demonstrate how a virgin iPhone works. If a dev kit had been released with the phone, the market would have been flooded with 3rd part apps that would muddy the waters--people won't necessarily be able to distinguish whether a major problem was the fault of Apple or the 3rd party. People are most likely to blame Apple. Once we're used to virgin iPhones, then when 3rd party apps break things, Apple benefits because we automatically blame the app developer instead.

        So, back to the locking issue, supporting a single carrier is FAR easier than supporting everyone. For one thing, AT&T were actually willing to work with Apple in order to support interesting features like the visual voice mail. That is, certain features exist ONLY because of the relationship. If Apple had tried to work with every carrier, then some carriers would not provide services that are an integral part of the iPhone experience that is making everyone drool over it. Add to that the complications of activating a phone. With one carrier, it's trivial. With every carrier, just associating the phone with the network requires technical knowledge that many people don't have. Even if the problems were relatively slight, they would have MASSIVE impact on adoption.

        So, I maintain that stricking a deal with a carrier (any carrier, but a specific one) was CRITICAL to the market penetration of the iPhone. This gives Apple the control they need over the network. The contract with AT&T goes both ways. If you can't use your unlocked iPhone with T-Mobile's feature X, you're screwed. If you can't get it to work with AT&T, you call customer service, and they fix it for you. Indeed, you're not going to want to have an iPhone with a carrier that Apple doesn't have a contract with. You WILL run into some technical problem along the way, and you're going to want to have a supported device on a supported carrier. The only difference is that all the carriers use the same phone and would let you migrate between them. (Or they better, else Apple will be doing something stupid or inexplicably failing in the market.)

        BTW, those who already own iPhones probably hope that, once the AT&T contract is over, Apple will provide a way to unlock your phone. This might or might not happen. Apple's far better than other PC makers about supporting older hardware, but they also engage in tactical obsolescence. A first-gen iPod will work fine with the latest iTunes, but there are no firmware updates for it, so you don't get, for instance, memory as to where you left off when you were last listening to an audiobook or podcast. Every time you patch a device's firmware, you take a risk of breaking it, so there are not just profit but also engineering reasons to not provide an "it ain't broke" update like that, even if the newer iPhones are unlocked.
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      by petehead ( 1041740 )
      I tend to disagree. First off, it's not merely kickbacks, Apple gets a portion of the monthly fees during the contract. That is revenue for years after the initial product sale. Compare this to an ipod in which they only get their money for the initial sale. You can't think that Apple wasn't drooling over this. And, in fact, they took the same deal to the carriers in Europe. To the people that say they don't want to sign up for a contract for an unsubsidized phone, its actually kind of the reverse. I
  • by xjerky ( 128399 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @11:30AM (#21086735)
    I'm currently a Cingular customer, since 2004. So, I'm not under a contract, and I don't want to enter another in order to I buy a non-subsidized phone at full price. So, if I were to buy an iPhone, I would be fine with keeping my Cingular service, but I would use the activation hack. So, according to Apple, I'd be an unlocker as well?
    • So, according to Apple, I'd be an unlocker as well?


      if you don't want another 2 year contract, you would have to unlock the phone to use it on your currrent out-of-contract cell plan with Cingular(ATT).

      You won't get the data plan though.
      If you just bought the iPhone and activated it, there is a $20 per month charge (for data) to whatever your current plan is.
      Using the iPhone without the data plan is kind of sucky, but the choice is yours.
  • ... The difference is the number that are unlocked.
    unlocked, or, bricked as a result of trying to unlock it.
  • Of course that number is wrong. Not by a huge amount, but it is wrong. Some unlocked them but still activated with AT&T and some held the phones for gifts for friends, such as Wozniak who bought several and held them for gifts. I'm sure there are quite a few people in the same boat.
  • by Kethryvis ( 96137 ) on Tuesday October 23, 2007 @12:35PM (#21087807)
    What about people who hacked their iPhones but are still on the ATT network? My boyfriend was already an AT&T customer when the iPhone came out and wanted one really badly... only to discover that because he was a corporate customer, he couldn't have one because the iPhone wasn't able to be activated for corporate accounts. Pretty lame really, at least from a PR standpoint. I mean, all these corporate customers hauling around iPhones is some of the best damned advertising a company could get!

    Anyways, when the hacks started coming out, he bought an iPhone and did the hack so that he could use the phone with his corporate AT&T account. AT&T is getting their money, Apple got their money... and yet he's one of those quarter million phones that was bought to be hacked which is apparently bad. I wonder how these people fit into this discussion of hacked iPhones.

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