Top Ten Apple Rumors of All Time 170
An anonymous reader writes "CNET have taken a look back at 30 years of Apple rumors during which we have witnessed Apple's 'rise, fall, and rise again, like a kind of technological Jesus Christ.' Some of the rumors are outrageous, and some came true. The list includes such treasures as the Apple-Nintendo merger, which the article calls 'utterly outlandish,' and the persistent rumor that Apple will release Mac OS X for PC — described as 'so counter-productive and financially damaging for Apple that we doubt the company has ever seriously considered it.' There is also mention of the iPhone, which CNET says is 'an elaborate hoax dreamed up by Steve Jobs to keep journalists busy.'"
Mac OS X for the PC (Score:4, Insightful)
Actually, the criticisms of this particular rumour were spot on. Apple would have to be insane to release Mac OS X for the PC.
The distinction people miss though, is that Apple didn't release Mac OS X for the PC. They just built new Macs around an Intel CPU. That's not the same thing as releasing Mac OS X for PCs.
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That would be true if Apple's primary target consumer was the business. Since Apple is targeting the home, all they need is a "good enough" office suite. Open Office should fit.
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I believe Microsoft actually tried something like this once. Most OEM PCs, the ones you buy at Best Buy or Walmart anyway, would come with Microsoft Works. Works, for some unknown reason, w
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iWork is big too -- on my iMac, it apparently takes up 568.2MB. The problem with OpenOffice is mostly the "unpolished" part, I think.
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Now, that doesn't mean it takes up any less space on the average user's drive, but it does mean that when you actually go to use the program it works like a 25MB program and not a 2GB one. Whereas OO is so slow it's behaving like it's full couple-hundred-megabyte bulk.
I'd love a good alt
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Actually, if MS killed off Office for the Mac, it wouldn't make a lot of difference. People use Macs for audio, video and graphics work, which you can't do in Windows.
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Actually the majority of the tools needed to do video/audio on a Mac have equivilents ont he PC. The Artistic types simply prefer the mac or need retraining to use a PC as efficiently. To them it's not worth it but there isn't a real reason for the difference, and hasn't been for some time. Some of the nice Max onyl tools do provide some reaso
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Macs do have some deficiencies (inefficienc
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Well, I should have pointed out that I don't buy expensive Dell hardware either. I roll my own. Maybe I should have said "proprietary" hardware.
Re:Mac OS X for the PC (Score:4, Insightful)
"You keep using that word...I do not think it means what you think it means..."
I use it meaning that I buy the parts I want and put them in the configuration I want. I do not let some engineer under pressure from marketing make those decisions for me. I use "roll my own" in the same way that I would roll my own cigarettes. I don't grow the "tobacco" and pulp wood for my own paper. I buy it all in a store in separate components and put it all together myself.
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Expensive memory (Score:2)
I agree heartily. The prices are 'premium' while the quality just averages 'good'. My guess is that the AppleStore charges those prices to give the retailer a break. Only thing I can think of.
Re:Mac OS X for the PC (Score:5, Informative)
That's true, but it's only a tiny, tiny little part of the truth. The full truth is that Apple is nowhere near being prepared for such a move and would have little to no chance of succeeding if they were to attempt to compete with Microsoft in the PC market. They could try, but it would be about as smart as me trying to best a lion in unarmed combat. Why is this?
Drivers
Application support
Microsoft's bundling deals with nearly every hardware manufacturer
Microsoft already having a massive headstart on the PC market (essentially 100%)
As well as an unknown number of other compatibility issues. For example, Apple includes lots of libraries that are heavily optimized for specific hardware, such as VecLib. Right now VecLib works with G3's, G4's, G5's, Core Duo, and Core 2 Duo, and only certain chipsets for each of those CPUs. I have no idea if VecLib would work on a Pentium III or a Celeron. I do know that if it doesn't work, it will in turn break a whole lot of OS X applications, including a large number of the ones I've written.
Also keep in mind that the first four issues all support each other. For example, Microsoft doesn't have to write drivers for every random piece of hardware that comes out for the PC market, because hardware manufacturers do that for them. For Apple to jumpstart OS X on the PC market, they would have to spend time and money getting a whole lot of hardware working, and I wouldn't be surprised if the cost of doing so is greater than all the money in Apple's coffers.
So drivers alone most likely renders OS X for PCs as something that just can't possibly happen outside of Apple critics' wet dreams. Add all the other issues on top of that and it's easy to see why CNet pointed out that the idea is so silly that it's doubtful that Apple has ever even given a moment's serious consideration to the idea.
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I don't know enough about Apple coding to comment about VecLib or any other required libraries, but I see no reason why a software emulation couldn't take over (other than performance) until specific drivers could be written and applied as hardware detection warranted.
I neve
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No offense, but your counter-example is extremely naive.
When new versions of Windows come out they include a compatibility layer that makes it possible to use drivers for older versions of Windows. Furthermore, lack of driver support isn't nearly as crippling for Windows bec
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I would argue that Apple's chances of success are higher than you are estimating. BUT, I still agree with your conclusion that it might not be smart for Apple to do it. Let me explain.
Basically, I think A
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This assumes:
a) customers will jump at the chance to maintain two operating systems, software libraries, and skill sets.
b) customers will take equal delight in having to maintain hardware compatibility with both OSX and Vista.
c] that the di
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I know, a lot of Apple folk would consider this setup an abomination. But the truth is that Windows users don't really give a shit about OSX. If they did, they would just buy a Mac. Windows users want to use Windows, so selling them a Windows box is the best way
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Yes Apple have always had better stuff (or so I think), but microsoft have such a huge pot of cash to mis-inform/cajole potential buyers, that they wouldn't stand a chance in direct competition. Better to let things develop as they are, with Apples hardware getting an ever larger mindshare.
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Yes Apple have always had better stuff (or so I think), but microsoft have such a huge pot of cash to mis-inform/cajole potential buyers, that they wouldn't stand a chance in direct competition. Better to let things develop as they are, with Apples hardware getting an ever larger mindshare.
It wouldn't be easy, but keep in mind that in the beginning, Apple was bigger than Microsoft. Compatibility
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Alas, the real world doesn't work like that, or not since IBM released the pc spec they used for anyone to use.
My only problem with apple is the cost of their machines, and that just because I'm not overloaded with cash. Otherwise I'd own all macs. As it is I have to use many pc's for cluster work.
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About 50% of the Apple advantage is the hardware and how it "just works". The majority of stability issues on a non malware/worm infested Windows Pc is due to poor drivers. Apple would be stupid to step into that mire.
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Ok, here are a few ways
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Not at all; first, even if Apple fails, current OSX users would still be able to run their existing programs and get hardware and application support from their hardware vendor and the application developer.
Second, if Apple failed, OSX would be one of the major saleable assets - one of the clone manufacturers would buy it immediately. It's not unprece
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Yeah, the hardware that suffers from economies of scale.
Besides, Microsoft seems to be doing OK without selling that high profit hardware. How does the MS profit margin compare to Apples?
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On this note, one of the more fascinating rumors that I remember hearing (a lot actually) during the late 1990s when Apple didn't have an oar to paddle with--was that Apple would build the next Mac OS around the NT kernal.
In retrospect, I find it more plausible today that they would have/could have done that than I did then.
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> release Mac OS X for the PC.
Well that depends on definition of a PC. There are few:
1. A PC is a Personal Computer which Macs always were. Just from the begining. With this definition Mac is and always was a PC.
2. A PC as an Intel/x86 clone - well now Mac *is* an Intel PC and can run Windows and other PC OSes - so it is a PC. Therefore Apple released Mac OS X PCs.
The point you was trying to make is that Apple makes Mac OS X for Apple-Branded-P
Funny that... (Score:2)
Rise/fall/rise (Score:5, Funny)
"CNET have taken a look back at 30 years of Apple rumors during which we have witnessed Apple's 'rise, fall, and rise again, like a kind of technological Jesus Christ.'
Or, you know, like a yo-yo.
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Watch out, this could cause a schism with pastafarians and kibologists.
Like a kind of technological Jesus Christ (Score:5, Funny)
And the list (Score:4, Informative)
Re:And the list (Formatted) (Score:2, Informative)
2. Mac OS for PC users
3. The return of Newton
4. Apple to buy BeOS
5. The secret OSX build
6. The Apple iPhone
7. iTunes as a record label
8. Widescreen Video iPod
9. 30TH anniversary Mac
10. Apple to buy Disney
Sun/Apple rumor has been alive for years (Score:3, Interesting)
That was a big one [uakom.sk] for a while.
Seems now the rumors have flipped [marketwatch.com] on that one.
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The Newton will return
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Mixed Metaphor (Score:5, Funny)
Which reminds me of an ancient Minbari textfile I found once.
"We are Insanely Grey.
We stand between the candle and the flame.
The darkness and the light.
The marketroid and the engineer.
Between the Jobs and the Woz."
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Re:Mixed Metaphor (Score:4, Insightful)
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iPhone (Score:3, Informative)
Caught up on names (Score:3, Insightful)
Too Literal (Score:5, Insightful)
Yes we all know Cisco owns the 'iPhone" trademark.
However it's just as obvious Apple CAN release a phone and name it something else. The name "iPhone" is simply symbolic of a phone from Apple that can also work with the same data an iPod works with and probably have a similar interface. You are being way to literal in claiming that just because Cisco has released a phone apple cannot because one name in the vast universe of possible names is now taken...
That said I'm only about 50% sure Apple will really release a phone, and it's not just a hoax as CNet is claiming. Personally I would like a more fully featured phone that could work on an MVNO network just as Virgin Mobile phones do today (no virgin mobile phone supports Bluetooth, for example), and also a phone that synchronized better with a computer and was more seamless to use as a data connection (something you cannot get with TMobile pay as you go plans even if the phone supports it). So there is a lot Apple could bring to a phone, I just don't know if they really want to enter that market.
Re:Too Literal (Score:4, Interesting)
If it's a gadget that Steve Jobs uses in his everyday life, he wants it to be better. And if it makes sense for Apple to build it, they do.
Steve uses computers - Apple improves the Mac line and OS X to where they're the most stylish, well-designed computers on the market.
Steve listens to music - Apple comes out with the iPod
Steve doesn't play video games - I'm an unabashed Mac fanboy, but I gotta admit that OS X just blows for game selection.
Steve uses a cellphone - Hmmm..... Now here's where it gets interesting. Is there a cell phone on the market today that even approaches the power, design and ease of use of a Mac or an iPod? Obviously, no. Now, is Steve willing to shake up the cell phone industry like he did the music biz?
Aye, there's the rub.
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Quite a different matter. Steve likes to control things. They have a tight grip over iPods/iTunes (main revenue stream) - they own it. They have tight grip on Mac OS X - it can run only their hardware.
In fact it is a semi monopoly. Thiking of a PC I can get a PC that runs Windows/Linux whatever from any vendor I like. Be it IBM/Lenoovo, Dell, HP, smaller shops etc. - if I don't like HP I go to Dell and vice versa.
Now if from some r
Control... (Score:3, Insightful)
I agree with your basic premise (control). However, that is what makes the chances of them coming out with a phone 50/50 in my mind.
True they do not exactly control the networks, nor would they build thier own or rely only on WiMax or some other crazy scheme. Howeve
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> interface s better often again signal quality is low,
And you think that oh-so-great-praise-Apple can make, a better phone than companies that do it for years? Nokia, Ericsson and so fotrth right now do great phones and lots of research on communication and such. So I am not exactly convinced that if Apple would do a Phone it would have better signal qualit. In fact I can also think the opposite - since Apple is known for doing stupid stuff l
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Interesting how, due to the now draconian copyright laws, people are trying to copyright things that really are only covered by trademarks...
yet more 'technologial jesus' jokes (Score:2)
technological Jesus downloads just 1 song onto his iPod, and 500 people can listen to it simultaneously.
technological Jesus just has to touch a windows PC, and it turns into a mac.
Alright Dotters, let's get this out of the way. (Score:2)
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Only in Kansas...
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Most disapointing Apple rumor of all time.... (Score:5, Funny)
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At least that's what happened when I posted one of his emails to a mail list. (And the reason he replied was because I CC'ed him with a list post, so I had reason to post it on the list.)
I think they left out the biggest one (Score:5, Funny)
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It's "Beleaguered Apple will be out of business in X years," with X usually approximately equal to 5.
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Apples Keep Doctors Away (Score:2)
"The Secret OS X Build"? Staggering? (Score:2)
The idea that Apple *wouldn't* keep a version running on Intel was always the staggering thing about this. It's like you said "Prince Charles has routine health checkups" and got the response "How do you know? have you ever seen him?"
Off all these 'wrong' rumors... (Score:2)
The VERY BIGGEST OF THEM ALL (Score:3, Insightful)
Apple is going out of business.
and the difference between Apple and Jesus is that (Score:2)
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Apple Computers actually cost the same as PCs when you consider all the features that they include as "standard".
Oh wait, that's under the top ten rationalizations of Apple fanboys, my bad.
Actually, back when iLife first came out, that was a very compelling package that did not exist by default with Windows, and it did help even the cost. Granted, over time, Windows has caught up very nicely, and the RC candidates of Vista Ultimate included pretty much the same things as the iLife suite. Some are not as nice (Windows Movie Maker still lags behind iMovie), but they are getting there.
Everyone makes excuses for what they buy, and a lot of people like to mock things they don't fully underst
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Re:Why does this idiot myth continue? (Score:5, Insightful)
It would be foolish for Apple to release OS X for generic hardware. OS X has remained stable and secure over the years because of Apples complete control over the hardware. You just can't do that when it is expected to run on any hardware.
Now if they wanted to release an API that could be used to develope software that could then run on any OS that supports the API, that would be another story. Then those that like the stability that comes with a OS hardware package could continue with Mac, and someone else could create an OS for generic hardware that ran the same exact applications (without out the need for seperate and/or conditional compilation).
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You're describing what Qt [trolltech.com] has done for years. Though I suppose ~$3300 is a bit much to pay for your typical Mac shareware developer.
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You can, albeit slow and illegal. Use Maxxuss' tiger image (found all over the place) and vmware.
Like I said, it's slow, but it works.
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Nah, they should go one step further: they should release the source under a license that is sorta similar to, but subtly incompatible with the GPL. Why? Because that would be the ultimate way to thoroughly annoy both their most obnoxious supporters and the most obnoxious GPL supporter
Re:Why does this idiot myth continue? (Score:4, Interesting)
That'd be because Microsoft sells their operating system to every hardware vendor who wants to save a buck by not developing their own OS in-house. MS-DOS didn't have a heavily entrenched incumbent OS to compete against, whereas Mac OS X would have to wage the uphill battle against Windows to become a profitable generic-PC OS, meanwhile Apple's hardware sales would suffer.
Very true. However, just because the software and OS are what are driving Apple's sales, that doesn't mean that that's where they make their money. They make the bulk of their profits on hardware sales, the OS and software are what motivates people to buy said hardware.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
They wouldn't have a snowball's chance in hell of becoming the dominant software supplier in a million years by supporting Mac OS X on non-Apple hardware. They'd end up going through the same thing they went through 10—15 years ago, when they experimented with Mac clones: all the other companies (who wouldn't have to make up the cost of software R&D and support) would easily undercut the price of Apple's hardware, canniballizing their sales. Since hardware sales are Apple's bread-and-butter, they'd end up hemorrhaging money, and the only way to make up that with licensing fees would be to make those fees prohibitively expensive, making other hardware vendors reluctant to add Mac OS X to their offerings.
They're not being cowards, they're being smart. Apple's business model is completely, fundamentally different from Microsoft's. To have a chance at being profitable off OS and software sales, Apple would have to completely change their fundamental business model, only to face an uphill battle against the ultra-entrenched Windows OS.
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No proof, of course, but it would seem logical.
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Apple enjoys something like 30% margins on hardware sales.
Apple (and Microsoft) enjoy something like 98% margins on software sales.
Why in the world would they be crazy enough to cannibalize their own hardware sales so people can buy a $300 PC and run Mac OS on it instead?
Have you seen how much money Microsoft makes on software?
Have you any idea what it would require to write unix kernel extensions to make the 30,000,000 pieces of hardware out there to work properly with the mac os from scratch?
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I did
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