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Apple Hardware

Apple's AR Glasses Could Slip To 2026, Says Analyst (tomsguide.com) 27

While Apple is still expected to release its first VR/AR headset next year, the bigger step to mainstream adoption -- the Google Glass-style AR glasses -- may have slipped two years according to one analyst. Tom's Guide reports: In an email to MarketWatch, Haitong International Tech Research's Jeff Pu wrote that Apple Glasses could now be up to four years from making their first appearance. "We now expect the AR Glass to be postponed to 2025-2026, due to design issues," Pu wrote. This is significant as just five months ago Pu stated that the AR glasses could be announced as soon as 2024.

The term "design difficulties" is, of course, a bit of a catch-all. It could cover anything from making the glasses aesthetically pleasing and light enough for extended wear, to ensuring they have enough battery life to be useful and don't overheat. But it's striking that nearly a decade after Google Glass became available to 'Explorers' in the US, companies are still struggling to make the form factor work, despite the considerable technological improvements we've seen in the intervening years.

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Apple's AR Glasses Could Slip To 2026, Says Analyst

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  • Or never? (Score:4, Interesting)

    by timeOday ( 582209 ) on Monday November 07, 2022 @08:39PM (#63034123)
    Apple has infinite money to burn and seems quite disciplined about not bringing something to market just because of sunk development costs. Maybe they are waiting to jump in until AR starts to catch on, which it quite likely won't.
    • Re:Or never? (Score:5, Interesting)

      by ShanghaiBill ( 739463 ) on Monday November 07, 2022 @08:49PM (#63034143)

      Apple's usual strategy is to wait until others move first, learn from their mistakes, and then do it "right".

      The few times that Apple truly innovated, such as the Newton [wikipedia.org], were failures.

      • Apple's usual strategy is to wait until others move first, learn from their mistakes, and then do it "right".

        I think you're right about that but Steve Jobs is dead.
        Not that I'm all in on the genius theory, he did insist on products working right before they were released, and I'm not seeing much in the way of innovation from Apple lately.
        Still, Apple can waste billions and still have money left over, so even if they turn into HP they could carry on for decades.

      • Apple's usual strategy is to wait until others move first, learn from their mistakes, and then do it "right".

        The few times that Apple truly innovated, such as the Newton [wikipedia.org], were failures.

        AFAIK the iPhone was the first of its kind (even though people knew it was coming for years) so I'll give them credit there.

        And while the iPad was not terribly original it was largely considered a joke at first until it really caught on, so I'll give them props for bringing it to market.

        Overall I'd say they were one of the more innovative companies out there, though I put that in the past tense since I feel like they haven't done much since Steve Jobs died. I don't know if that's because current leadership

        • Re:Or never? (Score:5, Informative)

          by narcc ( 412956 ) on Tuesday November 08, 2022 @01:22AM (#63034605) Journal

          AFAIK the iPhone was the first of its kind

          It was not. [androidauthority.com]

          • That article is a good read. It's really amazing how lame LG is. They still are, too. I pity the fool who buys anything with an LG logo on it — literally everything I ever bought from them failed prematurely.

          • by Junta ( 36770 )

            Though I don't see much connecting 'iPhone' and that device other than a capacitive touchscreen.

            The text entry was still traditional phone style with the number pad first and text entry a distant distant afterthought. The web capability was almost certainly the typical 'mobile web' which was just hilariously bad, whereas the iPhone was able to render and navigate actual normal websites (not *optimal* in that form factor, but at least possible. The text entry and actual nearly full-fledged web browser were

            • by narcc ( 412956 )

              You're really stretching. I had no problem navigating "normal websites" on my BlackBerry in 2007. Apple's advertising there was very deceptive.

                Also, I seem to remember a lawsuit over Apple's "just the web" claims, though it had something to do with the lack of Flash support.

      • Re:Or never? (Score:4, Insightful)

        by Anubis IV ( 1279820 ) on Tuesday November 08, 2022 @01:54AM (#63034639)

        Apple's usual strategy is to wait until others move first, learn from their mistakes, and then do it "right".

        Arguably, that’s what they’re doing here too. See: Google Glass, Microsoft HoloLens, Meta’s Oculus line, etc., none of which have set the world on fire. It’s clear that the people using this stuff see the germ of something huge, but no one has cracked the nut yet. It reminds me of 2005 when PDAs were synonymous with “smartphones” and only a few diehards (by today”s market’s standards) had any interest in using them.

        That said, this feels more like an “Apple Watch idea” than an “iPhone idea” to me. Even before the iPhone was announced, we all knew phones were terrible. Dumb phones, PDAs, didn’t matter: they all sucked. I have a distinct memory of going through the setup process with a dumb phone in 2005 and thinking, “This is terrible, but Apple could do this better, I bet”. I didn’t need Steve Jobs on a stage to tell me there was a problem, let alone convince me I needed their solution (though I did wait for a price drop and 3G before picking one up).

        In contrast, even though an Apple Watch provides a tremendous number of benefits over my Casio, at the end of the day its primary purpose is to tell time, and my Casio does that every bit as well with orders of magnitude less maintenance and fuss and cost. The added benefits don’t outweigh the daily charging, the high cost, or the short lifespan. They don’t solve a problem I care about. And even though the Apple Watch may be the best selling watch in the industry, that’s a low bar and it’s clear it hasn’t really taken the world by storm.

        Likewise, I see loads of potential benefits to AR, but I get by fine without them already, so any device Apple introduces will be fighting an uphill battle to convince me I even have a problem that warrants the hassle and cost any new device introduces.

        Color me unconvinced, but I’m happy to eat crow if this ends up being a watershed moment.

        • wat

          this feels more like an âoeApple Watch ideaâ than an âoeiPhone ideaâ to me. Even before the iPhone was announced, we all knew phones were terrible. Dumb phones, PDAs, didnâ(TM)t matter: they all sucked. I have a distinct memory of going through the setup process with a dumb phone in 2005 and thinking, âoeThis is terrible, but Apple could do this better, I betâ.

          Setup process? What setup process? You turn it on and start using it? Oh gee, that was hard.

          In contrast, even though an Apple Watch provides a tremendous number of benefits over my Casio, at the end of the day its primary purpose is to tell time, and my Casio does that every bit as well with orders of magnitude less maintenance and fuss and cost. The added benefits donâ(TM)t outweigh the daily charging, the high cost, or the short lifespan.

          Congratulations,

      • What kind of stupidity is that? "They take what others have done and make it better"? That's what *every single company* does, to some degree. Everyone does slab phones? Make it water dust resistant! Make it foldable! Improve on it ever so slightly... or a lot.
      • The Newton was a copy of the Saamsung 1992 PenMaster. Which was a copy of the AT&T 1991 device EO Personal Communicator:
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EO_Personal_Communicator
        Which was a copy of the 1989 device GridPAD: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRiDPad
    • Likely never - nobody wants to wear a TV screen on his head.
  • The entire idea of selling these things, even for pennies, is that people need to/want to/don't mind seeing floating whatevers while going about their business.

    Regardless of the pain in the ass of wearing something on your head for the privilege. Especially if you wear glasses. Which almost everyone will have to do, at least some of the time, at some point in their lives.

  • by Sebby ( 238625 ) on Monday November 07, 2022 @10:24PM (#63034343)

    ... they haven't figured out how to puts ads on it [basicappleguy.com] yet.

  • while lots of other AR glasses become available. Similar to how iPhone users have been waiting several years now for periscoping zoom.
  • That's more than enough time to design a project from the ground up for most products! If they have design issues, that will take this long, the issue must be that they don't work at all.
  • Cook is content to make tons of money. He's a money guy.

    Jobs wanted to change the world. That creates drive.

    Well, I guess with Liz Truss's iPhone hack maybe Cook did too. Not enough money to counter Pegasus, right Tim?

  • You could already have the greatest VR/AR headset in the world right now, but I don't see any compelling/wanted to use content right now ! Nothing from Meta/Metaverse, etc makes me want to spend over $2,000+ for a VR/AR headset !!!
  • by radarskiy ( 2874255 ) on Tuesday November 08, 2022 @09:34AM (#63035501)

    Is it really a slip if they don't meet a release target that someone else made up?

  • by PPH ( 736903 ) on Tuesday November 08, 2022 @11:21AM (#63035819)

    So what's the big deal? Just push them back on your nose. What kind of geek are you anyway?

If all else fails, lower your standards.

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