Apple To Launch Largest Stock Repurchasing Plan In History 282
An anonymous reader writes "In conjunction with its earnings report for the second quarter of 2013, Apple issued a press release announcing some major plans for its ever growing stockpile of cash. It is increasing its quarterly dividend payout to investors by 15%. What's more, the company will spend $60 billion in stock repurchases, making it in Apple's words, 'the largest single share repurchase authorization in history.'"
Dumbest idea, ever (Score:2, Insightful)
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Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:4, Interesting)
Financing the buyback with debt is a tiny bit worrisome, but Apple's probably just taking advantage of the low interest rates their high credit rating and hoard of cash afford them.
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Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:4, Insightful)
Financing the buyback with debt is a tiny bit worrisome,
I'm willing to bet they are doing that because a good portion of their cash hoard is outside the United States, and if they brought it back in, they'd have to pay taxes on it.
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Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:5, Informative)
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I also own GE. Staid, solid, consistent. Their stock price does not change much, but they do pay a dividend every quarter.
AAPL is (possibly) at a point where they have to decide which path they choose to take. They can pay huge dividends and have a stable stock price, or they can "act like a startup," as they have recently, and invade new markets that they consider stagnant, and can potentially have
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What else are they supposed to do with it? Selling hardware at a loss is always a loosing proposition, and there's no way you can spend that amount of money efficiently on R&D. Their only options, really, are sitting on it or giving it to their investors.
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In my opinion, they just will burn their cash. It is inevitable: they must lower device prices, so their shares will fall. No way out.
Not necessarily.... if the lower price is more optimal than the current price, lowering the price may net them greater profit due to increased sales (although smaller margin per sale).
They might capture the market still willing to pay more, by offering a 'better' more appealing version still at the higher price.
Their stock price could in fact go up
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:5, Insightful)
Oh my. Here we go again. Apple is going out of business now like Microsoft was suppose to be for the last 15 years?
If I've learned anything here I've learned that the average "geek"* doesn't have the first clue about business.
* I use that term loosely anymore. The geek element certainly has waned over the last few years. I blame KDawson.
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This is one of the most insightful comments I've ever seen attached to a /. story with 'Apple' in the title.
(I know, that's faint praise...)
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It's not like Microsoft is thriving currently...
Actually, that's exactly what it's like.
Citation: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=MSFT+Key+Statistics [yahoo.com]
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:4, Informative)
Umm, wait a sec:
1) Apple has paid dividends before [nasdaq.com] - even when Jobs was quite alive.
2) You're looking at the wrong time scale. OSX and the iPod came out in 2001. MacBook Air The iPhone was launched in 2007, and the MacBook Air in 2008. The iPad showed up in 2010. On that kind of scale, Apple could wait until 2015 and it would still keep to its innovation calendar just fine.
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Actually they are, but when you have billions in the bank this decline can take decades.
And when you add $10 billion to the bank in the last quarter alone, bankruptcy will take even longer :-)
According to many, Apple makes about 70% of all profits in the phone market (Apple + Samsung make about 102%). More in the tablet market. And amazingly, Apple actually makes 45% of all profits in the PC market!
They have lots of new ideas, some still from Jobs (Score:5, Insightful)
That, OR they might want to start coming up with some new ideas.
Well Apple takes on average about two-three years to deliver products that create entire markets.
So they are about due, and Cook said there were some surprises coming in the fall.
But it's absurd for you to mention Jobs in this context, products take many years to complete. It will be at least two more years before we see products that never had input from Jobs, including this one.
It's also kind of funny how Apple "needs" to come up with new ideas, when no other company seems to have the same need... or at least no-one ever says they do.
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What are you talking about? they have created 1 new market, tablets.
Re:They have lots of new ideas, some still from Jo (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:They have lots of new ideas, some still from Jo (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:They have lots of new ideas, some still from Jo (Score:4, Interesting)
Incorrect! Who do you think sold them BASIC for the Apple II?
...I'm kidding; they had their own.
Until 1979.
When Microsoft sold them a better one.
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I feel stupid having to add a disclaimer, but even someone that isn't a huge Apple fan (namely me) can admit that, between ipods, iphones, and ipads... they really did break their respective markets wide open.
Mp3 players existed before the ipod, but they were borderline niche devices. Business types had Blackberrys and some people had shitty winmo smartphones, but it was nothing like what happened when the iphones came around. Windows tablets existed before the ipad, but it was never anything like what happ
You have a better term (Score:4, Interesting)
they really did break their respective markets wide open.
Kudos for coming up with a much more accurate way of phrasing this than I did - "Created" really was a wrong term compared with "elevated" or "break wide open" as you said.
Basically they expanded the market greatly for a number of different product categories, and not just hardware - iTunes and online music counts as well, it was really Apple that made that a consumer market (against the will of the music industry).
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It's also kind of funny how Apple "needs" to come up with new ideas, when no other company seems to have the same need... or at least no-one ever says they do.
Other companies need Apple to come up with new ideas.
I'll let you fill in the reason why...
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The combination of that plus a dividend increase means that they have more money than they can possibly use.
Naw... it means they think their shareholders will benefit more from using that bit of cash in these ways than reinvesting that bit of cash in the business.
Interest rates are so darn low right now, that holding onto cash not needed immediately in the short term is possibly a bad idea.... finance that growth using debt, if possible. Give shareholders the cash back, so they can either inve
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Its always cheaper to expand via cash than debt, even with rates this low. Cash has a 0% interest rate (in fact, it has negative the rate of inflation), debt has a positive one. A buyback means that they don't have immediate (or short to mid term) uses for that money.
Don't get me wrong, I admire the decision. Much better than sitting on cash MS style. But as an investor it tells me that they don't have big ideas and that I'd rather put new money elsewhere.
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:5, Insightful)
debt has a positive one
After considering current inflation, the interest rate is essentially zero...
A buyback means that they don't have immediate (or short to mid term) uses for that money.
More like, they don't have immediate more compelling need for that money, and they feel their stock is so undervalued, that it is the most fiscally responsible choice for the use of that money.
But as an investor it tells me that they don't have big ideas and that I'd rather put new money elsewhere.
They may have big ideas that are already more than adequately financed, and/or that they don't require all that cash for; or that are more risky.
When you have a big idea; squandering an infinite amount of cash (however much you happen to have) on it, is not necessarily the right approach -- there comes a point, where returns are diminishing, and excessive investment into the big idea (even if it will be the best thing since sliced bread) just serves to reduce returns.
If they see that for now their excess cash has exceeded what their work in progress demands, then they could still have an excellent number of high impact ideas about to roll out, but still not require the insanely large pool of cash they have at hand.
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But as an investor it tells me that they don't have big ideas and that I'd rather put new money elsewhere.
They may have big ideas that are already more than adequately financed, and/or that they don't require all that cash for; or that are more risky.
IANAE but it seems to me that on the one hand it's good news because Apple is "doing the right thing" and on the other hand it's bad news because Apple does not have big ideas that require large amounts of capital. Since any company not experiencing endless growth is a failure in the eyes of investors and vultures, Apple's failure to take this opportunity to swallow a competitor or expand into a new market is a negative sign.
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Apple will never get back to those windfall margins in the phone or tablet space, ever.
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Apple will never get back to those windfall margins in the phone or tablet space, ever.
They don't need to. If you buy back shares, then the lower margin on the devices equates to an equivalent dividend per share.
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:5, Insightful)
Apple's stock has always been weird. Their P/E ratio is lower than Dell's. Doesn't make sense to me, but I'm not a finance guy.
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:4, Informative)
It strange that now Slashdot Wisdom(tm) is Apple came out with new ideas every year when SJ was alive.
Apple's market changing innovations were.....
1998 - iMac
2001 - iPod
2003 - iTunes
2007 - iPhone
2010 - iPad
So, by that pattern, this would be the year that Apple "needs to innovate". But there is no conceivable market larger than the phone market.
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But there is no conceivable market larger than the phone market.
It could be the iCommunicator, or the iText
A simple feature "phone" option.
And an option with the 'phone' capability removed that still has SMS texting and 4G support.
It's just a historical accident that the iPhone is a phone... people carry these "smart phones" around all the time, but they don't talk on them -- they surf the web, they send/receive text messages.
Voice comms over GSM are an afterthought, obsoleted by Facetime;
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But there is no conceivable market larger than the phone market.
Apart from food, water, and air.
iFood! Milled out of solid aluminum.
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:4, Insightful)
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Yeah, but what about [insert long list of features that the iPad doesn't have]?
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The iPad was actually able to lock in cheap component suppliers to give it a light form factor while still being powerful enough, and that was right before prices started to go up due to various factors. It really was the one time that Apple was able to undercut its competitors, as most everybody else was shipping $2,000 laptop-sized tablets.
I question any of the other "achievements" granted to Apple, but the iPad was the one real one.
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Fits perfectly. Things changed after Jobs died. In fact, they changed while he was dying. Top selling phones got bigger and wider. Tim Cook failed to respond. Blaming that on a dead man is a cop out. When you get right down to it, Tim Cook's main superpower would appear to be blame deflection, just as you say.
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http://venturebeat.com/2013/02/01/the-5-best-selling-phones-in-the-u-s-are-from-just-2-companies-apple-and-samsung/ [venturebeat.com]
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The original quote was....
a) So unless the Nexus + Motorola Mobility sold more than Apple, "Google" doesn't make the "top selling" phone.
b) Are you saying that all Android phones are bigger than the iPhone?
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So you're comparing a single vendor (apple) to an entire industry (iPhone + Android - Win Mobile and others are a rounding error).
And they're still just under 40% of the market.
Companies in any other market would kill for a 40% market share, yet it's supposed to be the death knell?
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Top selling phones got bigger and wider.
At one point so did suit lapels and blue jean bottoms.
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Wow, you Apple cultists are creative. At least there's that. Logic is optional.
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Gotta love how apple zealots can state exactly how wide the "correct" human hand is and what the capabilities the "correct" person who might use a phone are. I guess when you are a member of a cult masquerading as a cell phone company this is exactly the "right" kind of group think to have. No room for natural variation or a difference of opinion. If you don't like it the problem is YOU and certainly not the cult of Apple.
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:4, Insightful)
Gotta love how apple zealots can state exactly how wide the "correct" human hand is and what the capabilities the "correct" person who might use a phone are. I guess when you are a member of a cult masquerading as a cell phone company this is exactly the "right" kind of group think to have. No room for natural variation or a difference of opinion. If you don't like it the problem is YOU and certainly not the cult of Apple.
That's not something new. They used to claim that their display has just the perfect amount of pixels for every person on earth, since apparently everyone has the same viewing distance when looking at their phone, anywhere, at any given time
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:4, Interesting)
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Weird... because I dont have large hands and the note II fits fine
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1) So? Steve Jobs made many, many mistakes.
2) It's nice the Apple has dictated the corect width for a human hand. If my hand are bigger do I go to the apple store to get the correct size hands, or have the Robot Devil chop them off and mail them in?
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1. The iPhone 5 was approved by Steve Jobs way before he died. 2. The iPhone is the right width for the human hand. Any larger and you need two hands to use it. It's a phone, not a tablet.
My hands must be larger than I thought. I have no problem using my Galaxy S III with one hand.
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You can hold your Galaxy S III with one hand and touch every corner of the display without moving your holding position?
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:5, Insightful)
2. The iPhone is the right width for the human hand.
Because Steve Jobs told you that? Man he should have gotten into the glove business and we could have gotten rid of the silliness of having different 'sizes' and just make the correct size for the human hand.
Re:Dumbest idea, ever (Score:5, Interesting)
2. The iPhone is the right width for the human hand. Any larger and you need two hands to use it. It's a phone, not a tablet.
Japanese gamers complained that the Playstation controller is too big. American gamers complained it's too small. What's this "the human hand" business about?
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"They must lower device prices"
Why? They became bigger than both Microsoft and Google combined by specifically NOT selling at the low end?
Could have bought Apple stock (Score:4, Funny)
But I'm glad I invested in Bitcoin.
Why? (Score:2)
Why do they increase the divident if they want to purchase their stock? They are driving up the price they will have to pay.
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Do the executives get paid in or own any stock?
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Repurchasing stock is meant to increase shareholder value, raising the dividend is meant to do the same. Apple investors have been asking when they will get to see some of the money Apple's been making. This is all meant to keep their investors happy.
Re:Why? (Score:4, Insightful)
Repurchasing stock is meant to increase shareholder value, raising the dividend is meant to do the same.
The latter is completely wrong (other than tax treatment, dividends have a neutral effect on shardholder value). The former is correct only because a company acting rationally will only purchase its own stock if it is confident that the stock is undervalued. It is far from clear to me that Apple's stock is undervalued.
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It is a myth that dividends drive up the price of stock. The simple relation is this: after the dividend is paid, the company no longer has the money so the stock is worth less. You can easily verify this, just look at the price of any stable company on the ex div date. It will be lower by roughly the dividend.
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You are wrong. Stocks that pay dividends show this wave pattern where the price rises just before the dividend as it approaches. However this crest pattern does not preclude nor negate a long term gain in the stock price.
Re:Why? (Score:4, Informative)
If a stock rises as the dividend date gets closer, purely because of the dividend then those new buyers are just gullible, and the everybody who failed to value the company accurately is just stupid. Proof: if we could rely on a stock price increasing just before the dividend then we would bid up the price right now, well before the dividend. And so the stock would not rise in advance of the dividend because it was already fully valued. See?
If you don't see, then I have a perpetual motion machine to sell you.
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Proof: if we could rely on a stock price increasing just before the dividend then we would bid up the price right now, well before the dividend.
And how do you plan to do that?
OK, you buy a bunch of shares today and push the pirce up. Then the price starts to fall as you stop buying. Now you have to keep buying more to keep the price high, and try to dump them all shortly after the dividend, when everyone else is.
In which alternate reality does this make any sense?
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What I described has a simple, two word name: efficient market. Say, did you ever read a finance textbook? Or try wikipedia/a. [wikipedia.org]
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What I described has a simple, two word name: efficient market. Say, did you ever read a finance textbook?
Apparently you missed the "Just kidding" section, or the part, where they actually explain, that in the real world, there is actually no such thing as a truly efficient market. There are some cases where market behavior is close to that of what an efficient market would be deemed to be, however, there are massively many counterexamples.
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If a stock rises as the dividend date gets closer, purely because of the dividend then those new buyers are just gullible, and the everybody who failed to value the company accurately is just stupid. Proof: if we could rely on a stock price increasing just before the dividend then we would bid up the price right now, well before the dividend. And so the stock would not rise in advance of the dividend because it was already fully valued. See?
It is a mystery to me why somebody with mod points would feel offended by having basic financial facts explained to them.
Re:Why? (Score:5, Insightful)
, purely because of the dividend then those new buyers are just gullible,
Nope. The dividend is the reward for holding the stock for a full quarter. Thus the stock price at the beginning of the quarter would be the amount that makes the dividend comparable to the interest rate the stock price would earn if it owned corporate debt.
However as the date of the dividend approaches the former owner wants a larger part of this reward because it held the stock for most of the quarter, while the new holder naturally expects less of it.
In the extreme, if I buy the stock a second before the dividend is issued I would get a hefty return for having done nothing unless the price rose.
Your proof is all wrong because it fails to consider the cost of holding the stock instead of say corporate debt.
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Nope. The dividend is the reward for holding the stock for a full quarter. Thus the stock price at the beginning of the quarter would be the amount that makes the dividend comparable to the interest rate the stock price would earn if it owned corporate debt.
Different investors are going to view this differently, and in some sense... it depends if the dividend is a sharing of quarterly profit, something like an interest payment.... or an actual capital distribution that lowers the holders' cost basis in
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I don't think you can be assured of a run up in price ahead of the ex dividend... if you could, savvy arbitrage folks would exploit that through shorting, before ex dividend, which would tend to nullify that effect.
The run up is such that exactly matches the cost of shorting (borrowing the shares). That is the mistake that you and the OP keep on making: there is a cost of capital to exploit the run up in price, so it matches exactly that of the run up. Since the cost of capital for an instant is nearly zero, the run up is nearly exactly equal to the dividend just before the dividend payment is issued.
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Wow, this is weird. Apple spinmods modding down anybody who explains that dividends do not drive up a stock price, they do the opposite?
AAPL After Hours (Score:2)
Volume High Low
6,049,276 $ 429.90 (17:02:34 PM) $ 398.1597 (16:13:10 PM)
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Sounds like a good idea (Score:2)
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If Apple's only goal was to make money, they'd sell things with a far higher profit margin, like sugared water.
I hope Tim Cook remembers what drove Steve Jobs when he approved products or threw them back to the drawing board.
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Companies exist to make money for their shareholders. Sometimes they run out of productive things to do with the money they have, so the most responsible thing to do is return it to shareholders. Apple's strategy is to make a lot of money now, not invest for some far future payoff.
Well Apple was doing both. In the quarter they just reported there were massive increases in capital expenditures, looks like another product is around the corner.
Re:Sounds like a good idea (Score:5, Insightful)
No. No they do not.
This is the biggest lie ever told to the American public, and anyone telling you this should never be trusted. (Yes. This is a large list.)
Companies exist to promote commerce, create useful goods, and provide a livelihood for their employees. Owners and stock holders are allowed (This is a revokable privilege, not a right) to make money to provide incentive to facilitate the above functions. Anything less is a criminal enterprise.
When we deviated so far in to the "making money" and "shareholder value" ideas is the day this country started to fall apart.
This is not an argument. This is advice. Ignore it at your own peril, America.
This is worse than Yahoo messages (Score:5, Insightful)
Stick to your roots guys, this isn't a stock forum and 99% of the people here clearly don't know one blessed thing about investing, how companies work, or even what these big numbers actually mean.
Actually its worse then that, but I'm being politic.
-Matt
Re:This is worse than Yahoo messages (Score:5, Interesting)
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No enough taxes (Score:2)
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If the company repurchases its stock, the shares go away, thereby increasing the value of the remaining shares.
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If the company repurchases its stock with company funds, the company funds go away thus decreasing the value of the remaining shares. Get it? The net effect is zero. What people like is that there are fewer shares around so that FUTURE gains per share are greater.
Additionally, *anybody* purchasing shares tends to increase the share price. If someone buys up $60 billion worth of shares at price X, everyone who thinks the stock is worth price X or less who has those shares will sell them, and the remaining shareholders will be those who think it is worth more than X, thus future sales will need to be at above X. From a "supply/demand" point of view - a buyback program decreases the supply side of things, and while it is occurring it increases the demand side of things
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No, the net effect is not zero. Think of it this way, if there were a company that made $0, but had $150B in the bank, what would that company be worth to investors? It would not be worth $150B. Think of it another way, what kind of return do investors expect for their money? If you believe that apple's cash is added directly on top of their value, that means their value minus cash is $230B. On a profit of $45B, that's a P/E ratio of just 5! That would be an incredibly good investment, but it's not because
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If the company repurchases its stock, the shares go away, thereby increasing the value of the remaining shares.
More significantly, it increases the value of stock options. Dividends don't do anything for option holders. (They're also taxed at a higher rate than the capital gain after a stock buyback. Buybacks and taking on debt are actions successful companies take primarily for tax reasons.)
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The problem is you're assuming that the money in Apple's bank account is as valuable to an investor as the money in their own bank account, but this is not really the case.
Re:what does this actually do? (Score:5, Informative)
No, they're not.
Dividends encourage investors to hold their shares for long periods of time by giving some income along the way. A buy back is something which boosts the price of the shares, but does nothing to generate a revenue stream for the investor. And if it doesn't inspire new investors to buy in, it can result in little or no benefit to the investor.
What's more, you can issue a dividend regardless of what the price of the stock is with respect to it's actual worth, whereas you shouldn't be buying back stock unless the shares are worth less than the management thinks they're worth.
Dividends themselves are generally something that only make sense when the firm doesn't have somewhere to invest the money themselves. It basically says to the investor that you're going to make more money investing the money elsewhere than we're going to derive by investing it ourselves. And frequently that means that the business can't expand any further for regulatory reasons.
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Also, individual investors have to pay taxes on dividends. I'm not sure if corporations have to establish a cost basis for potential sale when they acquire their own shares. Not my problem. If the stock pays no dividends but goes up in price, I don't pay tax on the capital gains until I sell. If I never sell, I can leave the shares to my heirs who will get a new tax basis.
Disclaimer: IANAfinancial/tax advisor...
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Right and then there's the situation of taxable account versus non-taxable account and whether one is using a DRIP.
But, in either case, the effect can be substantial for a lot of people. Enough so that it pays to pay attention to the consequences and the preferred method of a company.
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Both the cash dividends and share repurchase of same value have equivalent effect on the wealth of the shareholders. This assumes that all other factors such as the taxation are the same.
also here (pdf) [capatcolumbia.com]
While buybacks and dividends are mathematical equivalents, executives and investors conceptualize them very differently.
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That's just bullshit.
Executives conceptualize them differently because they aren't mathematical equivalents when it comes to the effect on the wealth of the shareholders. In both cases they return wealth to the shareholders, however they have different tax consequences and different methods by which one can tap that revenue source. When I get a dividend, I can have it reinvested or I can have that money available for other uses. With a stock buy back, I have to sell shares in order to make use of the extra
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$60 Billion is only a small fraction of the company's overall value
The current market cap is $381B. $60B is an enormous buyback.
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nevertheless, 1/6 is a small fraction
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Ok, but this was the context:
Is a company buying back 1/6 of their stock going to result in shares costing "a fortune" or "significant less stock"? No. So you are the one who fails to understand the context, not me.
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You know what Apple could have done in the real world with that kind of money? Imagine if they decided to use it on philanthropy.
They would have gotten beaten up by their owners. The people who own Apple (otherwise known as their shareholders) would be unlikely to allow their elected board members to give away one sixth of their investments.
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