Apple Blames Earnings Miss On iPhone 5 Anticipation 242
Hugh Pickens writes "Reuters reports that Apple shed more than five percent of its stock price value in after-hours trading after the company reported its second quarterly miss on results in less than a year, highlighting how the Apple brand is becoming less resistant to the economic and product cycles that have plagued rivals. 'Clearly it was a disappointment,' says Channing Smith, Co-Manager of Capital Advisors Growth Fund. 'We expected a lot of consumers will probably delay their upgrade and their purchases until the iPhone 5 comes out. We saw a similar trend occur last year with the iPhone 4S.' Executives acknowledged buyers were refraining from purchases because of 'rumors and speculation' around the iPhone 5, which sources have said will ship in September with a thinner and larger screen. 'The iPhone 5 is already the most hyped device and for it to exceed expectations is going to be really hard,' says BGC Partners analyst Colin Gillis. This is one of many reasons Apple is so notoriously secretive. With the levels of hype that Apple product launches garner, it would undoubtedly crush its own sales if it announced products even months in advance. Instead, Apple slowly and silently draws down inventory in distribution channels, and then the upgraded product is available immediately (or nearly immediately) after it's announced. According to Apple CEO Tim Cook, 'there is an incredible anticipation out there or for future products and as you would expect given what we've been able to deliver in the past.'"
Re:Waiting for 5 (Score:5, Interesting)
I've got a 3GS also, but am really at a crossroads. I bought the 3GS week one after the launch. At the time it was the exact phone I wanted. Now, though I'm torn... my 3GS screen just cracked and nothing is quite right.
No point in buying a 4S with the 5 around the corner. (Hell even if i wanted a 4S, waiting for the 5 and picking up the 4S on sale or gently used makes sense. But really.. I don't have a 4 or 4S precisely becuase they added nothing I wanted. And iphone 5 isn't looking to change that.
The Samsung Galaxy S3 is high on my list and well reviewed, but until they officially announce jellybean for it with a ship date... I'm holding out. I've been burned before on promised upgrades that never materialized. Jelly bean seems like enough of an improvement that I won't settle for for anything less.
And even the Lumia's -- I actually really like them and am even seriously consideriing one for my next phone, but with WinPhone 8 around the corner, and it already being announced that the existing lumia's won't be upgraded. Again... holding out.
Right now is just a terrible time to buy almost a smart phone, to the point I'm seriously considering getting the screen fixed on this one. I can hand it down to my daughter or something.
Re:Absolute nonsense (Score:2, Interesting)
Question: Does it count as an activation whenever someone installs a new OS release on their phone? In that case, the number is misleading.
Re:Seriously? This sounds like a broken record (Score:5, Interesting)
Apple themselves does not put out targets like this because the rampant speculation is bad enough now.
Actually they do, Apple do give out specific guidance and forward looking statements to the financial markets on expected earning targets. For this Q3 Apple said they would be making $34b revenue, and they did $35b, similar for profit - so they beat their own targets.
But, the problem is that they have historically so consistently given guidance significantly below actual results, quarter after quarter, even very close to publishing the results (and enjoying all the "Apple crushing expectations again" headlines), so that when this time the gap between the Apple guidance and actual results were much much less, it was a negative surprise even to the people trying to listen to the guidance directly from Apple themselves.
Re:Absolute nonsense (Score:5, Interesting)
I certainly agree with most of your comment, but I do have one big gripe, and I say this as a lifelong PC freak.
One reason I wouldn't get a MacBook - I'd have to pay a premium for things I don't give a damn about, while still missing things that are important to me.
This is where I have to rebut. I've owned, repaired and/or sold just about every PC laptop on the market. When the time came to replace my own aging laptop last year, I looked everywhere for the right fit. There were none. Then someone hired me to write mobile apps so I needed a Mac. I bought a Macbook Pro, and it is the best damned laptop I've ever owned. I still hate the OS, but the hardware is fantastic. Fast, quiet, sturdy, functional, epic battery life. It is everything I want in a laptop. I don't feel like I paid a premium, because high-end PC laptops are just as expensive, yet they're pitched as "desktop replacement" devices, which is a euphemism for "big fragile noisy non-upgradable piece of tethered junk with a built-in UPS". I paid a high-end price for a high-end machine, got exactly what I wanted.
I kid you not, I'm in the PC sales and service business, and for years I've recommended Dell laptops, because hey at least you get a good warranty with your shitty laptop. I still do, because for most people, that's all they need, but for any professional use I try to steer them toward a Macbook. As a freelancer, I quite enjoy the convenience of a full day's work on a single charge. Worst case, if I'm doing compile-heavy stuff, I can quickly top-up during a coffee break, head over to the pub and sip a few pints while logging the other half of the day's billables.
Now, on the converse, I am not at all interested in Mac desktop computers. THAT is paying a premium for run-of-the-mill hardware. I wouldn't even buy an iMac for myself, because I can bolt a mini-ITX box to almost any LCD and have the same small footprint at a quarter of the cost. I sell "luxury" PC desktops (gamers, design nuts etc), and I don't think of Mac Pros as anything even remotely luxurious. Shiny, but not powerful for the money.