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Apple's Colossal Disappointment?

Posted by Zonk on Tue Jul 26, 2005 04:42 PM
from the more-a-blunder-than-anything-else dept.
Mudzy writes "Michael Roberson, founder of Linspire, has an article at The TechZone talking about Apple's 'Colossal Disappointment' for not porting Mac OS X to PC after they announced the move to Intel processors. He discuss why this could be a mistake." From the article: "Instead of a brilliant strategic maneuver, it's a step necessitated by IBM's inability to keep pace with Intel. It seems Apple was tired of losing the gigahertz competition to the PC world. Apple had been promising faster computers for some time and had not been able to deliver them. In addition, they were frustrated at IBM's inability to produce a fast low-powered chip for laptops."
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  • Apple isn't stupid (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:43PM (#13170486)
    Why the heck would they? If they did they most certainly would no longer be a hardware company.
    • by NeedleSurfer (768029) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:24PM (#13170944)
      No offense but Apple of all company can be pretty stupid sometimes... They introduced/created/managed some of the greatest innovation this industry has ever seen in ways that never got them where they should be.

      They are exceptionnal engineers and very lousy businessman, let's hope they try to change in the near future...
      • by huckleup (636485) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:53PM (#13171217)
        They are exceptionnal engineers and very lousy businessman

        And exactly how many companies that were making desktop computers in the '70s are still around today, have tens of millions of paying customers, and billions in the bank?

        Get a clue. Don't measure everything against what a company like M$ did, much of which has since been determined to be illegal. Apple's business sense has been just fine. The company has weathered many storms precisely because they had financial buffers that the businessmen put in place as the technology landscape unfolded. No one knew exactly how it was all going to turn out, and most crashed and burned along the way. You should wish that you were so 'lousy' at succeeding in any business, let alone the cut throat computer business.
      • by xwizbt (513040) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @08:12PM (#13172308) Homepage
        What utter bollocks. Apple's main mistake was getting rid of Steve Jobs' bizarrely hypnotic business presence. Nowadays, Apple's market share steadily increases. iPod halo effect... who cares. Either way, Apple seem to be on the up.

        History-wise, Apple look a bit daft occasionally. Nowadays, they're on top...
      • by ja2ke (633770) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @08:28PM (#13172423)
        Considering Apple has stayed in business for the past 30 years as an innovator (versus leveraging off of someone elses hype and innovations) I don't think they're lousy businessmen at all.

        They make profit, they drive the market (and open new markets & massively expand existing small ones - iPod, consumer video), and seem generally content with their size.

        If by "where they should be" you mean "Apple should have 95% of the marketshare like Microsoft," then I think you should go back and re-think some details. Apple is in a pretty good place, and has been so for quite a few years at this point. To varying degrees, Apple has been doing pretty well since their first return to decent profitability with the 2nd generation G3 desktops, followed by the generally steady climb up starting with the iMac (dotcom bust notwithstanding) and going through to their current situation with the iPods, Mac mini's, and current iMacs. I don't think they're in a bad place.
    • by swschrad (312009) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:58PM (#13171264) Homepage Journal
      to quote somebody who once had a one-shot success, "that is the stupidest idea I have ever heard of."

      you think apple wants to enter the creaky world of "mad dog" peripherals and dock sweepings network cards, PCs with pushed speeds, and all sorts of marginal parts from mysterious outfits that come and go in the night? why in hell would anybody wish that support hell on them?

      you control your hardware environment, you control the number of crash-and-burn intersices between hardware misbehaviors.
      • by ScrewMaster (602015) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:03PM (#13170739)
        I'm still waiting for Sony to make a similar decision: are they a consumer electronics manufacturer or a media company?
      • by Rosco P. Coltrane (209368) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:17PM (#13170880)
        At some point, being both a hardware and a software company is going to be about as smart as trying to be both a heavy-weapons manufacturer and a hamburger restaurant.

        Actually a more apt comparison would be a weapons manufacturer and a munition manufacturer. It actually makes sense, as they have one product tailor-made to compliment the other. I don't see why Apple should have to make a choice here, I think their "one-stop shop" approach to computing makes a lot of sense in today's world of shite PCs running a shite OS...
      • by falconwolf (725481) <falconsoaring_2000.yahoo@com> on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:30PM (#13170985)

        I mean how many people do you think would like to run OSX on a cheap Dell pc? How many people do you think would like to run Windows or Linux on a cool looking mac? Of course the Apple fanboys would still run OSX on the mac, but could they be getting more market by offering choices?

        You can run Windows and Linux on Macs. While Linux can be installed directly on a Mac Windows has to be installed in a virtual machine such as Virtual PC. As for MacOS on PCs, most PCs use Intel and Apple is switching to Intels. Now if you mean sale MacOS so Dell and others can build Macs, Apple tried that. For a short period Apple allowed other manufactures to clone Macs but Apple lost more in Mac sales than they made in licensing MacOS.

        Falcon
      • by coolgeek (140561) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @06:56PM (#13171768) Homepage
        How many 90+ hour/week engineers do you think they would have to lay off after losing the software development subsidy embedded in the cost of Macs? Truth is, we would not have OS X without Macs. OS X will not move forward without Macs, it's an economic impossibility. And as much of an open source fan I am, open sourcing Mac OS X would not cause it to evolve. Mutate, perhaps.
      • by Kadin2048 (468275) <slashdot@kadin.xoxy@net> on Tuesday July 26 2005, @10:17PM (#13173187) Homepage Journal
        I think you hit the nail on the head.

        What makes people buy Apple is not their software. It's not their hardware (with the exception of the iPod, perhaps). It's certainly not their price or perceived value.

        What Apple survives on is two things: 1) the semi-mythical and nearly impossible to quantify 'coolness' factor, and 2) the user experience. People buy Macs because they're easy to use (or at least they have a wide perception as being easy to use, which in marketing is virtually the same thing) and powerful. It's the whole "it just works" philosophy, as cliched as that might sound.

        Apple can maintain it's edge in user experience because they have very tight hardware/software integration. By monopolizing the hardware which their OS will run on, they can limit the number of possible system configurations and then test the hell out of them, build drivers into the OS, etc. A lot of Mac users don't even know what a device driver is! (I'm pretty sure actually if I asked for a device driver to some friends of mine they'd ask whether I wanted the flat kind or the Philips-head kind.)

        If Apple sold the Mac OS for distribution on commodity x86 hardware, suddenly a lot of their advantage would disappear. You'd instantly go from a few dozen out-of-the-box configurations to thousands or millions, and have loads of incompatible hardware that people would expect to be able to use.

        Also, they'd have to start playing hardball about software licensing, which they've never done and would probably alienate a lot of users, and do a lot of damage to their "nice guy" image. A lot of PC users are surprised to know that there is no serialization during the Mac OS install process. None at all. If you have an Apple computer and an install CD, you can put the system on it. There's obviously quite a bit of piracy that goes on (and always has) but I assume Apple just doesn't bother because they realize even the pirates have paid them some money for the hardware they're installing the stolen system on. And the progress of operating systems requires you to buy new hardware periodically anyway, so you're always going to cough up every few years. They can afford to be nice.

        If Apple started selling the software by itself, I have no doubt (given their performance with iTMS) that they would come out with some pretty robust 'activation' scheme. This to me would be obnoxious: it's one of the things I've always enjoyed feeling above, as a Mac and Free Software user.

        Apple had their experiment with commodity hardware back in the clone days (anyone remember CHRP?), and Jobs pulled the plug. I don't think they'll go back there again. The question which interests me most today is, when Apple releases their first x86 version of Mac OS X for actual Apple/Intel boxes, how hard will they try to keep hackers from moving it to commodity hardware just for hobby and experimental purposes.
        • by peawee03 (714493) <`mcericks' `at' `uiuc.edu'> on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:30PM (#13170989)
          if they could produce enough stable drivers to support a wide range of hardware

          That's the problem right there. One of the issues that I understand Apple has much less of is the fact that there's only a limited number of hardware and software combinations, and Apple knows how the OS will interact with the hardware, because it knows all the details on both.

          Quite possibly, Apple's defination of "stable drivers" is quite more strict than yours (and mine as well), so that "It just works" is a reality, and to really protect hardware stability, they need to control the hardware platform so that the software behaves as expected.

          Then again, they could just be control freaks for the sake of being control freaks.

        • by falconwolf (725481) <falconsoaring_2000.yahoo@com> on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:34PM (#13171014)

          if they could produce enough stable drivers to support a wide range of hardware, i think it would be very good for them in terms of profit. in fact i don't see why they aren't going for this option... maybe they're afraid that their hardware will cease to have a following if people can run os x on cheaper but still capable machines. maybe they're afraid of what direct competition with microsoft could do to them. whatever it is i hope they get over it and release os x for non apple hardware. windows is begging for more competition

          Already tried. Apple didn't make enough licensing MacOS to replace their lost hardware sales.

          Falcon
                • Re: was it os x? (Score:4, Insightful)

                  by soft_guy (534437) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @09:06PM (#13172753)
                  OS X changes *nothing*.

                  Microsoft would call up Dell and say, "ship MacOS X on one single box and your price on Windows will triple."

                  And that will be the end of OS X on PCs. They killed Be in this manner and they can and will do it again.

                  The average user isn't going to care about OS X any more than they did about MacOS. I doubt that most non Mac users have any idea what the difference is between MacOS and MacOS X.
          • by Fareq (688769) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @07:10PM (#13171863)
            Microsoft does not write drivers, generally speaking.

            Microsoft *does* offer hardware companies access to Microsoft engineers on a contract basis for writing, testing, and debugging drivers. They charge [some unknown amount] for those services.

            Microsoft also [probably for a fee, I don't know] offer a driver certification program.

            If you can make your driver pass their driver certification, you are allowed to put the "Designed for Windows XP" logo on your product. If it does not, you may not.

            If your driver does not pass the certification, then it will be an "unsigned" driver (like almost all nVidia and AIi drivers), and users will get a warning when installing it.

            Installing an unsigned driver automatically sets a system restore point if you have system restore enabled and it is functioning properly.

            Microsoft does provide some basic drivers, such as the drivers for a generic USB Mass Storage device, or for a generic USB Human Interface Device, and a few other items.

            In the case of both ATi and nVidia, the last time I checked, they had employees that worked full-time inside the Microsoft facility so that they could have access to all the testing & driver development resources.

            If you're really in to it, go get some/all of the Windows XP DDK (Driver Development Kit) and... erm... have fun!
        • by TinyManCan (580322) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @07:32PM (#13172015) Homepage
          SW per se is a burden

          Yeah, it has really been killing Microsoft's Bottom Line :)

          Software is not a burden. Apple uses their software to sell their hardware. I wouldn't buy a computer if I had to code everything I wanted myself (i'd install Linux if I wanted that :) Just a joke, don't kill me).

          I think that Apples future lies in their software. Really, people are in love with their Mac because of OS X, not because of the silicon and components that make up the hardware.

          Apple is transitioning to a future where they can produce more higher quality hardware, and they are going to use OS X to sell the pants off of it.

          People think that Apple (the stock) is over-valued. I think that the market has merely recognized that Apple is now in a position to increase its sales 25%+ Year over Year for more than a couple straight quarters.

          • by NoodleSlayer (603762) <[ryan] [at] [severeboredom.com]> on Wednesday July 27 2005, @02:13AM (#13174199) Homepage
            Really, people are in love with their Mac because of OS X, not because of the silicon and components that make up the hardware.

            Hardly. If anything the original iMac should of taught you is that Apple above else is a fashion company.

            They sell computers that look (objective, yes, but still) and function "great."

            PowerBooks sell incredibly well because among other things compared to many PC Laptops they are made very well. Where many PC Laptops feel like they're made out of cheap plastic the Mac Laptops are made out of Bulletproof plastic (iBooks) and Aluminum (PowerBooks)

            They're designed in a way that its practically impossible to accidently hit any buttons from the outside. No eject button that keeps getting pushed while you're trying on your lap. No Play/Stop buttons that get tapped at inconvient moments. And more over all of the ports are on the side of the laptops, nothing hidden on the back of the machine so no having to reach around and guess where the cable goes in or having to close the lid or rotate the laptop to get to it.

            Lots of thought went into the actual case design of the PowerBook and iBook that in the case of many PC Laptops simply isn't there.

            I had a PC Laptop (still do) that the CD-Rom drive try broke because as I was putting the laptop down the overly sensitive eject button on the drive got tapped and within a split second popped out while it was being put down and snapped off. That sort of thing doesn't happen with a PowerBook or iBook.

            I already know people that are planning on buying Intel-based PowerBooks when they come out just to stick Windows on them because on average a 12" PowerBook holds up much better then the equivalent PC Laptop.

            That's not to say that they are entirely without flaw, but stepping into a Apple Store it should be noticable that the design of the machines themselves is very significant to Apple and to many people that buy their products.

            Moreover. Mac OS X simply isn't made to run on non-Apple hardware. The testing bluntly put isn't there. Its made to run on hardware that has been approved and shipped by Apple with its drivers tested to make sure it doesn't conflict with anything, hopefully. The amount of extra work that would have to be done developing and QA to ensure that Mac OS X works on all the hardware available for the PC right now just isn't done at Apple right now, nor has Apple shown the desire to do it.
            • by piecewise (169377) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @09:34PM (#13172953) Journal
              Your critique of Apple's bread and butter couldn't be more wrong, but thanks for playing.

              1. Apple has many breads and many butters: Macs and iPods. They are both strategically important to the company's continued success. Software sales are a big business, too, and that's important to them.

              2. Macs aren't reserved for the "bowels of marketing or tech document department[s]." A good number of students use them, lots of movie stars, bankers, lawyers, doctors, stock brokers, artists, writers, teachers, politicians, programmers..... (a light should start flashing in your head.. That's your idea light.)

              In fact, the Mac has continued to dramatically outpace PC market gain.

              3. If Apple's opportunity were closing EVERY DAY, then how have they forged such a comeback? The truth is, there is no abstract definition of when a company gets hot and when it doesn't. Solid innovation with great marketing at an affordable price is a formula for success. Besides, if their window were closing every day, why has the Mac's market gains continued to SPEED UP? Wouldn't that mean the window continues to open?

              4. I know what an "executive wannabee" is, I think, but I don't know what it has to do with Mac OS X.

              5. Ah yes, a new Windows is on the horizon. Vista! Longhorn! All of 18 months away and short on features compared to OS X Tiger (and Leopard). The truth is, more and more consumers are moving to Mac OS X in droves because they're sick of Windows treating them like second class citizens in the OS world, they're sick of crap security and viruses, and they appreciate the incredible design that went into their iPod and iTunes music store.

              6. No offense to my audience here.. but I don't think Linux is on any march to "critical desktop mass." Your argument seems to be that the Mac is doomed and that droves of people are lining up to buy Linux boxes and compile a window manager. Um... you might want to find your way back to earth. Find out if anything hit Discovery on your way back, if you like.

              7. Apple, like them or not, is a cultural icon more than ever. They are one of the world's top brands - and that is something that will fuel growth for 10 years. Brands are a powerful thing.

              Anyway, next time you want to go on a rant, back it up with some facts. Don't just make absurd comments.
                • by RatPh!nk (216977) <ratpH1nk AT gMail DOT com> on Tuesday July 26 2005, @11:37PM (#13173598) Homepage
                  You should learn about .NET 2.0, Avalon and XAML

                  If I am not mistaken, I think .NET 2.0 was pulled (or at least significantly scaled [eweek.com] back [theregister.co.uk])and would be included as a later stand alone addition/download (a la WinFS [com.com]).

                  XAML, if you want to do a little reading for fun, there is a good review [devx.com] of it that concludes:

                  Examined superficially, XAML tags have many of the features of traditional Web standards like HTML, as well as those of newer Web approaches like Mozilla's XUL. Alas, it lacks proper CSS stylesheet support. Examined more deeply, however, XAML tags reuse, reinvent, and renew many standard idioms from the software development world in a highly integrated way.

                  There are also people out there who see XAML as just a proprietary XML and MS will try to do to XML what they did with JScript/JavaScript

                  That doesn't count loads of other features, like the explorer, IE 7, a ton of security features, better search, better web services through Indigo (try doing web services with PHP now - I've done it, and it's such a pain that it's not really worth it. Microsoft nailed web services in 2002, and the new stuff is even better!).

                  I have alway been happy with SOAP/XML and it seems like they are doing [w3.org] pretty [apache.org] well [google.com] Also, it seems like Indigo isn't what it used to be [theregister.co.uk], or at least not yet. We also do not know how these new services will affect other internet users, presumably they will be a Vista only feature and in that case, how many developers will fully embrace them with MS's current adoption [betanews.com] rate [oreillynet.com] for XP. Will the Vista adoption rate be better or worse? One could argue not as good due to the increased system requirements for the "full" Vista experience, compared to the 98/2000 upgrade path. We went from 66MHz/16MB/225MB to 133MHz/64MB/2GB to "current processor, current computer". From that I guess 2GHz/512MB-1GB/64MB-128MB-256 VRAM [wikipedia.org], (hard drive space is not an issue anymore) That is quite an increase in specs, though I admit that is extrapolation from this [com.com]:

                  Will my PC run Vista? That depends on how recently you bought it. Microsoft Allchin said in an April interview that he expects Vista will need about 512MB of memory and "today's level" of processor. The ability to display all the fancy new graphics will depend on what type of graphics card one has. On some older machines, the graphics may look similar to today's Windows.

                  Apple is doing the slapdash hacks, and Microsoft leads the way in beautifully architected software.

                  Now you are just tossing out some flamebait. "Slapdash hacks" is a disservice to the wonderful integretion of OOS into OS X. Also OS X has been lauded by many (I hate to do this, but this was the best all-in-one [apple.com] collection I could find without searching/cutting/pasting all night. This is only slightly bigger than the attention Apple was given for Panther.

                  Also, MS has been accused of many, many things, but has never been accused of creating "beautifully architected software". Seriously, XP SP2 took some important steps, but I am not going to say any such words until I see a final p

            • by hkmwbz (531650) on Wednesday July 27 2005, @03:01AM (#13174348) Homepage Journal
              "Linux continues the march critical desktop mass"
              What's funny is that I keep seeing Linux geeks on Slashdot bragging about how they've made the switch to the great Mac, and how they can't understand why they didn't do it earlier. I never see comments about Slashdotters switching from Mac to Linux or Windows. It's always the other way around. And it's not just a few comments. It seems that every time Mac is brought up on Slashdot, people are lining up to tell everyone how they ditched Windows/Linux and went with mac.

              Funny, isn't it?

              (I am a Windows user.)

  • by Ohmster (843198) * on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:44PM (#13170504) Homepage Journal
    Not sure I understand this, and it seems to be a relatively old story (last month already)...it seems to be more Michael Robertson's disappointment rather than Apple, with a tinge of sour grapes in the air. Anyway, the world is rapidly changing to make the whole Windows vs. Mac box competition to be relatively less interesting. With more applications and services moving off the desktop and into the network, the battleground is increasingly shifting online. Apple has already leveraged this move by becoming the number four vendor of personal computers, right behind Gateway on the recent numbers. Now they just need to start to race Microsoft to making more of their applications web-optimized and OS-agnostic. iTunes is a basic step in that direction. The portals are not standing still though...Yahoo!'s acquisition of Konfabulator is in my view a move toward making this new reality happen faster. More on that here: http://mp.blogs.com/mp/2005/07/on_yahoo_acquis.htm l [blogs.com]
  • by CdXiminez (807199) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:46PM (#13170534)
    Apple is in the business of selling computers, not OSses. They're not going to support computers they didn't make themselves.
      • by mbkennel (97636) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @08:15PM (#13172333)
        Let's see how well that worked before for anybody except Microsoft.

        Palm spins off PalmOS and licenses OS here and their hardware. Result: Palm corp gets nearly destroyed, Handspring merges back, and Windows Pocket takes off.

        And then there's the fact that Steve Jobs tried exactly the same thing before, with nearly the same operating system back when it was grey instead of lickable: OPENSTEP.

        How well were they able to keep up with drivers for modern hardware? Very poorly.

        How well were they able to convince major PC makers to include OPENSTEP as pre-built option, at a competitive price? Not one bit.

        Did this make NeXT Inc, stronger or weaker compared to when NeXT made hardware? Much weaker.

        Jobs had a near-death experience doing exactly this strategy.

        There's also the fact that this puts them in direct competition with Microsoft, attempting to copy Microsoft's business model, and competing with Microsoft for clients.

        How well has this worked for IBM {OS/2}? Not very well at all.

        How well does this work for Linux, which is even free and has zillions of people trying to write drivers? Only marginally, after 10 years. You can't easily click a button and get a Linux based Dell (especially a laptop) with everything pre-loaded, supported, and with all features working. After 10 years.

  • by Aqua OS X (458522) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:48PM (#13170549) Homepage
    Ohh how quickly we forget about Power Computing, Power Max, Windows, and why this a bad idea.
    • by bigpat (158134) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:13PM (#13170844) Homepage
      "Ohh how quickly we forget about Power Computing, Power Max, Windows, and why this a bad idea."

      Bad idea for Apple, in the short term at least. Since it would cut deaply and immediately into Hardware sales as it did with the Mac clones (I bought a clone, but would I have bought an Apple?).

      Keep in mind that being an OS company has worked pretty well for Microsoft as a business model, but they weren't trying to sell their own hardware except as accessories for the software (ie the MS mouse) I think in the long term that Apple could get out of the hardware business altogether and sell the OS only. Or alternately split the hardware and software businesses as was envisioned with the clones.

      Though, I agree why mess with a good thing, but the clone strategy was in response to slipping market share, not the cause of it. Ultimately, I think the clones helped maintain mindshare and helped Apple reinvent itself.

      Another counter example, Sun now has a x86 version of Solaris that works on non Sun hardware. But that makes sense simply because it means that unix admins and college students can hone their Solaris skills on commodity hardware which helps support their core server business.

      Overall, I'd just be a little less quick to judge the lessons learned from the Apple clone experience. After all, it was a short lived business model and the Mac OS wasn't nearly as good a product as it is now.

  • by ShaniaTwain (197446) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:48PM (#13170550) Homepage
    I'm incredibly dissapointed that Linspire will not run on my 1982 vintage casio wristwatch, but I sure hope they're working on it, I mean, wow! just think of how much marketshare they'd get if their OS could run on such inexpensive commodity hardware!

  • by gsfprez (27403) * on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:48PM (#13170555)
    there is nothing at all stopping apple from doing exactly what this guy says...

    When the conditions are most ripe...
    when Apple is ready to face that challenge from a support perspective...
    when Microsoft becomes more loathed with the release of Vista which will have 8,000 viruses out for it BEFORE its released...

    you don't walk into a saloon and just start shooting up the place even if you're packing a big-ass gun. You wait to size up the situation, you make sure that you're transition to Intel is complete and solid, and you make your move when you want to.

    Hell, just that very THREAT should be enough to keep Microsoft awake, pissing their pants at night. That's what the US military did to the Iraqi's the first Gulf War... we kept them awake for a whole 36 hours waiting for them to be so tired of staying awake, anticipating the strike that we did far more damage than if we had attacked at zero hour.

    Don't be stupid and confuse shrewd business timing tactics for making bad decisions. This linspire guy has his head shoved up his ass if he thinks Jobs isn't interested in beating the stuffing out of Microsoft.
  • After reading through the article, I'm not sure that I was convinced that it was in Apple's best interests to allow clones.

    Look at it from Apple's point of view, the things he points out as negatives work more like positives:

    1. Forced upgrades. Apple has announced "dual binary" support for their applications for an unspecified length of time, but either way the company has to be salivating at how many people will be buying new machines in 10 more months. And as recent reports show, they're selling more machine now than ever, so it would appear that the "halo effect" is greater than the "Osborne effect".

    2. If Apple sales continue to do well after the final shift to Intel, then Apple can keep on their plans: make money off of computer and iPod sales (and whatever other new devices they come up with). Right now, they have a good line of movie editing software which only works on their software set (and they control the hardware to run it), they are developing other business tools (Pages and the like). So as long as people keep buying their machines and their market share is growing with the company making good profits, why change?

    3. If, in some future, Apple decides to do cloning, it is in their best interest to do it later than sooner. My reasoning? They can use the next 10-36 months to iron out all of the issues dealing with the Intel transfer, see how the market reacts, how things like an "OS X WINE" works out, and so on. Then, with this expertise, they will be in a perfect position to dictate to cloners how things will work so the "Mac Experience" will be maintained, rather than just throwing the OS to the winds and hoping for the best.

    Would I like it if Apple just let OS X free? Sure - but that's not in Apple's best interest. So, as long as they show a steady rise in profit and sales, I don't see them changing their minds any time soon. They seem to be doing what works, which probably makes them and their investors happy.

    Of course, this is just my opinion. I could be wrong.
  • by Omega1045 (584264) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:51PM (#13170593)
    I am sure this is dead obvious to many here, but I am going to make the point anyway. Control of hardware makes a Mac as stable as it is. Look at the stability of Win95 v. Win98 v. Win2k. MS create more and more stringent rules on the "quality" of drivers for hardware. One of the reasons that Win2k does not have as many blue screens as 98 or NT4 is that 3rd party drivers are not f@cking up everything as much, since they must pass tougher tests to be certified.

    Now imagine how much control Apple has, knowing exactly what hardware their OS will be running on. They can do any number of things to optimize their OS and software to the hardware, and still keep their high level of stability.

    Porting OSX out to everything would have also gotten rid of the sexy mac machines vs. the ugly beige PCs. And I am sure the MBAs out there will tell me that there are all kinds of money reasons that Apple wants to control their own hardware.

  • by saha (615847) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:55PM (#13170635)
    You have to take this op/ed with a huge grain of salt. Its like Rob Glaser complaining about iTunes and the iTMS not opening their Fairplay DRM. Linspire may be worried about the long term impact on their own company when Apple starts to sell Intel based Macs which with virtualization could run Windows, Linux, BSD...any x86 compatible OS thanks to Vanderpool.

    This quote from him "I would love to see Apple's PC market share reverse its downward trend". Is pure FUD being sown by the Linspire folks. I think Linspire should focus on competing with the other Linux distros out there. For the last six months report after report has been showing Apple increasing their sales. i.e. PC units sold (+35% from the same quarter last year) and profitability primarily due to the iPod.

  • by aixou (756713) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:55PM (#13170645)
    This is actually old news, as documented in Michael's Minute [michaelrobertson.com].

    I'm sure Michael is bluffing. He knows that if Apple allowed OS X to run on commodity hardware Linspire's potential market would be marginalized even further... it could be devastating to the Linux desktop push. Why would he want such competition from Apple?

    It's rather curious that a week after that, Michael stepped down from CEO of Linspire (check the Michael's Minute entitled "What's Our Purpose in Life") Cause-and-effect? Maybe. Correlation? Definitely.

    Michael's not dumb. He feigned disappointment at the Apple on Intel announcement, but my guess is that it was a carefully orchestrated bluff to allow him to distance himself from Linspire in the weeks after.
    Any company investing in LOTD with the hopes of profitability had better hope to god that Apple does not allow OS X to run on commodity hardware. It's just common sense.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:57PM (#13170661)
    Okay, let's look at this:

    1) Robertson criticizes Apple for not porting OS X to work on stock PCs.

    2) Robertson happens to be the head of a company competing for those very desktops.

    Why would he really want Apple to step into the market he himself is trying to gain market share in? Maybe, just maybe, he's riding on Apple's popularity as an opportunity to promote his own solutions?

    Nah. That's just crazy. :)

    (On a side note, I saw him give a presentation once, and before he started the presentation he asked how many people owned/used iPods. Only a few hands went up. Then, during his presentation where he spoke about their "LTunes" and their iTMS clone, he criticized iPod for being hard to use, saying thigns like "how do you turn this thing off? This thing is hard to use. We practiced turning it on, but we didn't practice turning it off..." I'm sorry, he's either so brain-dead he can't use a consumer electronics device with clearly labeled play and stop buttons on it, or he's playing to the ignorance of the crowd. The former makes him stupid, the latter makes him dishonest. And I don't think he's THAT stupid. ;-)
  • by rdean400 (322321) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:59PM (#13170693)
    It was the Apple/IBM alliance's inability to agree on a mutually profitable path that would allow Apple to keep up. The PPC 970, based on POWER4, is a generation behind IBM's POWER5. IBM *can* put together a roadmap that will keep the PowerPC competitive with Intel. The question is whether Apple would buy enough of them to allow IBM to leverage economies of scale.

  • *yawn* (Score:4, Insightful)

    by colmore (56499) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @04:59PM (#13170701) Journal
    Why do people keep thinking Apple is a software company. Just because you want OS X on your PC doesn't mean it's a good idea for them to port it. A lot of what makes Apple Apple is the fact that they operate on a small range of rigorously controlled hardware.

    There will *never* be a general PC release for OS X, their profit margin is just too good on their own hardware, why would they want to spawn a bunch of cheap competitors?
  • by Rosco P. Coltrane (209368) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:03PM (#13170738)
    The point of having a Mac with OSX, for Apple, is that they have *one*, very well defined platform to support, therefore they can concentrate on supporting it well. I don't own a Mac (well, a Mac 128 in my collection :-) but I understand that's how they define their business.

    Now if they ported OSX so it could run on every PC, that means supporting a billion devices, or letting a billion drivers do who-knows-what and it would be a mess, just like Linux and Windows are (yes, I'm a Linux fan, don't give me shit I'm just being realistic here...)
  • by Ho Kooshy Fly (561299) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:09PM (#13170810)
    Look IBM has world class fabs for SoC's, can do low power, high performance computing and have major mind share in the ASIC world. Their high volume/high profit market is not what Apple is selling. They did the PowerPC 970 for Apple and d they are the highest volume runner, which for IBM is the proverbial drop in the bucket. It adds more visibility but not revenue.

    If Apple delivered more product or *gasp* payed IBM to develop low power processors for the laptop market, they couldn't complain. Should Apple have paid IBM for development when getting it from AMD/Intel in the x86 world would be free? No, but people should believe that it was because their vendor was incapable. It was just the Apple itself isn't significant enough to justify chip development with low payoff for IBM.

    -Ho
  • by Durandal64 (658649) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:21PM (#13170917)
    Let's say Apple releases OS X x86 for generic x86 hardware. It's a box right next to Windows XP. What happens?
    • Some people buy it. Quite a few people who buy it find out that OS X doesn't support their particular hardware configuration. These people each tell 10 other people that OS X sucks because they'd have had to upgrade their hardware to use it. OS X gets bad word-of-mouth and quickly dies.

      After all, Apple have significantly less resources to test OS X with the wide range of x86 hardware out there than Microsoft does, and even Microsoft can't get it right half the time. If they were to dedicate the required time and energy to making sure it worked on as many configurations as reasonable, OS X for x86 would put Longhorn to shame in the "RSN" department with all the delays it'd experience.
    • Say Apple, by some miracle, manages to support as many configurations as Windows does (or close enough). What then? Microsoft undercuts the shit out of them, that's what. OEM's like Dell would get huge discounts as long as they agreed not to sell OS X on any of their boxes. The worst thing that happens to Microsoft is they get another DoJ slap on the wrist, but in the end they've eliminated the most viable competitor to come along in the last decade. Even if that's not the exact method they use, rest assured, they'll find some way to pummel Apple out of existence. That $40 billion warchest would see to that.
    • Say the DoJ actually grows a shrivel of integrity and stops Microsoft before they can obliterate Apple completely. Apple has a great OS that runs on a wide range of commercially available hardware and costs only $129. Their hardware sales dry up, and they're forced to rely on OS X revenue, iTunes Music Store revenue (barely turns a profit) and iPods (how much longer till market saturation?). Not a great position to be in. Profits plummet, investors lose confidence and Apple's stock sinks.

    This is why geeks aren't in charge of companies. If I were to speculate, I'd say this is Apple's strategy.

    1. Release Intel-based boxes and become a sort of "testbed" for new Intel technology. Since Apple control their hardware, they can afford to adopt things like EFI before anyone else. The new boxes are faster, cheaper and Apple gets all the latest and greatest stuff as soon as Intel can deliver. Geeks complain about Apple locking people into their hardware.
    2. Being sick of Windows, people buy these new, cheaper Macs with assurances that they can always install Windows if they aren't satisfied with the experience. Geeks complain more and warn of the Coming of the Cracked Mac OS X x86 Torrent. This holy torrent will, they claim, herald an end to Apple's hardware lock-in, since everyone will now simply buy cheap PCs and install The Holy Cracked Mac OS X on them. They refuse to acknowledge that normal people don't want to build their own PCs and will never know The Holy Cracked Mac OS X even exists.
    3. The Holy Cracked OS X arrives. Geeks begin pirating OS X. Normal people don't notice and continue buying Apple's hardware.
    4. Longhorn comes out, no longer a distant Vista. Leopard is there to meet it. Apple trashes Windows Vista for sucking. Microsoft ignores Apple.
    5. OS X's popularity grows, but the price of Apple's hardware still puts some people off. Apple, having been working in secret, licenses OEMs a version of Mac OS X that installs on their machines. Dell and HP begin selling machines with OS X on them. (Apple refuses to be associated with eMachines and Gateway. Steve may or may not say they suck at a keynote address.)
    6. Geeks complain more about how they can't get a supported version of OS X for their $300 custom PCs. Normal people remain unaware.
    7. This stupid "colossal disappointment" crap fades from memory.
    8. The entertainment industry begins imposing absurd DRM restrictions on everything up to and including what pixels are displayed on your screen. OS X does not adopt these ridiculous restrictions and becomes even more popular as th
    • by mstone (8523) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @07:18PM (#13171924)
      There's another path leading out from roadmap item #1:

      Apple becomes the company that creates markets for all the Really Cool Stuff that will make its way into the commodity PC market two or three years later, once sufficient consumer demand exists. Apple gets first-mover advantage on all that tech, which means:

      2a. Apple's branding of the technology goes into the cultural mindset. Face it, the term 'podcasting' is a kick in the balls for the marketing department of any other portable-audio-device vendor.

      3a. Apple sticks to the "limited, 'overpriced' hardware" model, but becomes known as the platform to own if you really want to be on the cutting edge. Apple's market share grows 'modestly' to cover the 20% of the market that generates 80% of the profit.

      4a. Apple gets a tasty new line of hardware design, middleware, and brand licensing once Microsoft, Dell, et al decide enough of a market exists to warrant adopting the new technologies.

      5a. Apple develops a good relationship with Intel's R&D group, meaning some of Intel's resources get devoted to creating Apple's Next Big Thing, which can then be turned around and licensed to the PC market once sufficient consumer demand exists.

      It isn't unreasonable to think that Apple could get $15-25 in technology and brand licensing for every Windows box sold, without ever having to license OS X itself. And the direct revenue from Apple's own version of the technologies, the tighter integration with Intel's R&D wing, the massive branding potential, and the increased market share wouldn't hurt either.

      We geeks need to realize that an OS isn't a single, monolithic product. It's a whole package of things, and Apple can make a whole ton of money licensing individual items from the package without ever licensing the whole 'OS' package itself.
  • by mrex (25183) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @06:20PM (#13171455)
    If you're smart, you'll arrive at the Best of Both Worlds solution. Make MacOS X 100% compatible with off-the-shelf PC hardware...as long as you have the $300 Macintosh Compatibility PCI Card. What the card actually does is almost inconsequential, though such a design would actually offer some technical advantages, in addition to the more obvious and important business advantages.
  • by ikekrull (59661) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @06:51PM (#13171731) Homepage
    Could have been a good, useful desktop OS.

    But its just a shitty, unpolished Linux distro.

    Oh well.
  • by TempusMagus (723668) * on Tuesday July 26 2005, @07:18PM (#13171923) Journal
    The thing we need to be watching is not if Apple ports OSX to work on non-Apple hardware. We need to be watching how well the intel macs run Windows. If Apple does this - they win. Seriously, they win. Why? Every single person I know who has a mac and a windows machine ends up using OS X at every turn except when they have to use a Windows box. I have a PC and a Mac and I only use the mac for games and 3dsmax. If you can run windows dual booting on a powerbook you will see a corporate invasion of macs like nothing you've ever seen. Then, over time, you'll slowly see more and more native support of OS X apps while people look for any excuse to stop booting into windows.
    • Re:Why? (Score:5, Insightful)

      by n0-0p (325773) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:00PM (#13170710)
      Isn't this the same guy who was trying to argue that there is no vulnerability in running as root all the time? Honestly, his reality distortion talent could give Jobs a run for his money.
    • Re:Why? (Score:4, Insightful)

      by WalterSobchak (193686) * on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:09PM (#13170809) Homepage Journal
      I fully agree, particularly on two points:

      - The switch will be painless
      Creating Fat Binaries is easy and quick for those using Xcode. Been there, done that already. And as Motorola is no longer supporting CodeWarrior, everybody not using Xcode woulld have had to make the jump sooner or later

      - Apple has no interest in having the OS running on other hardware. They are a hardware company, this is how they run their business.

      Just my 0.02

      Alex
              • Re:Why? (Score:5, Insightful)

                by javaxman (705658) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @07:02PM (#13171801) Journal
                how many of those are going to be able or willing to "just do a recompile" - and not link it (the recompile) with versions, features, or new licensing opportunities. The chances that all of those vendors are going to just cooperate and make everybody's lives simpler are pretty low.

                Woah, there's a load of difference between developers supporting a platform and developers releasing a bunch of new binaries to existing customers without charge. Sure, Apple developers are going to recompile their apps, and some of them are going to take advantage of the opportunity to add a few features and make your Intel-native version a paid upgrade. Users who find the overhead incurred by Rosetta are going to come up with the extra cash ( or pirate the native version while cursing the developer, or find a cheaper competing product ).

                Either way, few, if any, current OS X developers are going to look at the Intel transition and say "this is way too hard to do with my existing code base, I don't see opportunity here, I'm going to go code for ( Windows/Linux/Solaris/BeOS/SCOUnix/etc ) instead."... That's all that matters for Apple in the long term. In the short term, it's a little annoying for users, and it's an opportunity for enterprising developers to snatch business from competing products by offering better product or cheaper prices to users faced with a paid upgrade, and/or gain user loyalty by providing free Intel Native updates, like some are already doing.

                NeXT had OpenStep which was originally going to be pushed forward with OS X, as "Yellow Box" - theoretically, a set of runtime DLLs could have been installed on a Windows box, and the same code could run on either platform. (I don't remember if it was a common binary, fat binary, or recompile).

                OpenStep is a specification. GNUStep [gnustep.org] is an implementation of that specification, which works on Intel now- even Windows if you're willing to use Cygwin or MingW and don't mind an app that doesn't look like a windows app. I never got into OpenStep Toolkit for Windows development ( I *think* that was the implementation ), but if there are DLLs involved, they're probably for windowing and other such similar basic functionality that would be used by any app? The app itself would be a binary, 'fat' only if compiled for multiple platforms of course. If you were careful enough not to use Apple-only features, you could do the same thing with GNUStep today.

                Certainly code written in Carbon is going to have no common technology with NeXT. Maybe apps written with Cocoa code take advantage of what used to be Yellow Box.

                Other than Altivec code ( which, espeically if older, will almost always need a complete rewrite), Carbon code is going to be the toughest to port to Intel, from what I understand. I'm not talking about single-line carbon library calls, those are probably no problem, I'm talking about Carbon windows, controls, and real serious amounts of legacy stuff. On the other hand, if Microsoft can move Office, everyone else can get going and start moving that Carbon code to Cocoa. It's not hard. Hire me to do it for you. Really. What are you waiting for... I don't waste THAT much time posting to /., I swear...

                Personally, I'm looking forward to seeing fewer apps with weird Carbon behavior that mistakenly claim the computer is out of memory and don't know the right path name. They're actually pretty rare already, and I'm not going to miss them.

    • Re:Follow Microsoft (Score:5, Interesting)

      by happyemoticon (543015) on Tuesday July 26 2005, @05:19PM (#13170898) Homepage
      Microsoft's profits come from the huge number of windows sold

      Most copies of Windows come with a brand new computer. Dell probably pays less than $25 a pop for these, which is not a ton of revenue. When you factor in the costs of R&D, it's a shitty profit margin. They make their big bucks from applications like Office.

      wouldn't you think that this would also work for apple

      No, it really wouldn't. Microsoft only works because they're a monopoly. If Apple were to start behaving like a monopoly with 15% market share, they would die.