5 Predictions for Apple in 2007 257
Michael writes "2006 is coming to a close, and all anyone can think about (in regards to Apple, at least) is the upcoming Apple phone, but what happens next? What are we going to be salivating over and speculating about after Macworld? What changes are in store for Apple in 2007? No one knows for sure, but it sure is fun to take a guess."
My prediction... (Score:5, Funny)
LK
My top 5 predictions for Apple (Score:5, Interesting)
5. Apple will break the 10% market share mark in new computer sales
4. The iPod will face it's first big competitor at Christmas 2007, from a vastly improved Zune
3. iPod will release a hard-drive free version of it's Video iPod, utilizing multiple flash memory cards to achieve 40GB+
2. Apple will release the iPhone, and it will be the must have phone of 2007
1. Apple will announce plans for a set-top box, integrating gaming, cable, and internet browsing
Re:My top 5 predictions for Apple (Score:5, Insightful)
Apple already did number 1, it was called "iTV" at WWDC. (You said "announce plans" and that's exactly what they did.)
How about this one: In the wake of an accounting scandal, Apple is found guilty corporately of fraud and is broken-up into an Computer Systems company and a media delivery company. It'd be ironic that after all these years Apple got broken for shady business practices before you-know-who.
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Re:My top 5 predictions for Apple (Score:5, Interesting)
I imagine this will eventually settle under a legal tarpulin of promises and the obligatory fine. Still, any cracks in the Apple empire are sure to be more and more exploited by a press hungry for material. This is all we are seeing; it only matters for Apple because people pretend Apple is a "good" company, unlike say, Marsh and McLennan...
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Re:My top 5 predictions for Apple (Score:4, Insightful)
I must admit to being pretty amazed to see the Apple stock option headline marked in red on the Drudge Report for three days running. As they say, no press is bad press, especially on the eve of some very highly anticipated product releases. Go Apple
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Re:My top 5 predictions for Apple (Score:4, Funny)
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Your its vs. it's confusion [fred.net] aside, they already announced this in 2006 [engadget.com].
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Wifi to plug the Zune Hole (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Wifi to plug the Zune Hole (Score:4, Insightful)
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Can you give me anything about the iPod that's actually innovative, rather than "Same as competitor's product but looks sexier". They stole the menu system from Creative, evidenced by the $100 million license payout, and event their own patent for 'rotational user-interface' as been constantly rejected, suggesting prior art.
And no, looking sexier is not an innovation.
You're both right (Score:5, Insightful)
Heh, that's funny. There are lots of things to criticise about Apple, but they absolutely don't "just throw [latest gadget] into a product as a checkbox filler." One of the main criticism of iPods is that "they don't contain feature X found in many other mp3 players." Compared to players from Creative or even to the Zune, the iPod is underfeatured. That's because unless the feature makes some kind of sense and can be integrated into the "iPod experience" in a moderately non-confusing way, Apple won't do it.
Uhm... That's an entirely different question. Did Apple introduce anything new with the iPod? In a way, no. They took features away compared to other MP3 players, which is what grandparent was saying: Apple doesn't just throwin features left and right. What they did was make the iPod easy and efficient to use (especially compared to other players at the time).
So... you're not even contradicting what grandparent has said. You have a valid point (the iPod's features aren't that innovative), but it actually agrees with grandparent's point (Apple doesn't just add the latest fancy feature to the iPod whenever it gets the chance), as far as I can tell.
Quick feature list (Score:3, Insightful)
1. the smaller, more expensive drives
2. touch wheel
3. click wheel
4. database frontend
5. an annoying hardware dock
6. shipping earbuds that aren't terrible
7. non-replacable batteries in an integrated form factor
8. No stop button (?)
9. No screen
10. Companion music store
11. DRM
12. Random-only play
13. Podcasting
14. Prioritizing physical size over storage space
They're like The Matrix. Revolutionary when it came out, copied to the point of being trit
Re:My top 5 predictions for Apple (Score:5, Funny)
6. Apple will reveal it has been recording phone calls made on the iPhone and that they're available for sale on iTunes for 99 cents.
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Dull (Score:3, Insightful)
7. Apple will license OS.X to generic PC manufacturers starting with Dull^W Dell.
Re:My top 5 predictions for Apple (Score:4, Funny)
That's just silly ! It wouldn't be a top 5 anymore, now would it ?
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That would take like 20 Secure Digital cards. And it's not Apple's style to make them removable.
No, if they made a video iPod that ran on flash (IMO: Unlikely) it would use internal flash memory, not removable cards.
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Maybe that's why Zander let Jobs steal the iTunes Phone show by presenting the Nano at the same press conference, because they both had something much better in mind...like a cell phone just a smidge bigger than a nano. I'd love that. Way to lighten up the Bat Belt.
Jail (Score:4, Funny)
Apple phone? Not me. (Score:2)
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iLawyers (Score:5, Insightful)
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I think iPods in 2007 are finally going to start losing steam, everyone who wants one has one, and they're very close to commoditisation. MS rarely succeeds at their first product launch (re: Zune), but launches 2 and 3 potentially will see a strong product. Samsung and Creative Labs finally have some products clo
Re:iLawyers (Score:4, Insightful)
Last time I looked, it was Dell that had an actual SEC investigation going on how their earnings were manipulated (known as "cooking the books" in the popular vernacular). Apple's options issues are a tempest in a teapot compared to those.
Or perhaps you mean the Hewlett-Packard hearings in Washington, and the possibility of jail time for their senior management due to their actions in nailing boardroom leakers.
So far as I know (and I'd be willing to bet as far as YOU know), Apple has investigated their options problems thoroughly, and is turning those results over to the SEC. To the best of my knowledge, the only indication of possible further troubles is due to a blizzard of rumors occurring, curiously enough, as Apple closes out the best calendar year in it's history, with a lot of pressure from various quarters to knock the stock down before the earnings are announced. Remember how the rumors surfaced about sales plummeting at the iTMS? Look how silly those rumors appear in the wake of the Christmas Day transaction volume problems at the iTMS.
I think that their product announcements on January 8th will easily eclipse any "stock scandals" in 2007, as will their earnings announcement the following week. And in any event, the magnitude of any impact of past options misbehavior will be shown on Friday (Dec 29), when Apple makes their restated earnings for the past several years public. All the responsible estimates of those changes indicate it will be a trivial change.
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#1 (Score:3, Funny)
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a couple things I predict (Score:4, Funny)
Finalcut Pro will come out with a Windows version and Apple will lose a ton of the market share until...
Apple makes themselves compatible with AMD processors too and increases their market share until...
China demands repayment for all the invested/borrowed money we owe them and we try to pay it off by sueing thousands of Chinese companies for making inadaquite, bad quality products and they start world war 3 over it and we all nuke each other and have to live in caves and the Apple market share dips a little until they put in solar panels outside the caves for power so ppl can run their Macs again
I'll give 10:1 if that doesn't all happen! Any takers?
Windows Use Increasing Among Mac Users (Score:4, Insightful)
If gaming on the Mac has eroded to this lowly state, it can't be long until other markets are affected too. Developers of several popular multimedia/graphics/productivity tools that have maintained multiple code bases over the years may finally decide to kill off their Mac versions to cut costs, once armed with the knowledge that the average Mac user can simply be coerced into buying a copy of Windows and installing it via a Bootcamp-like utility. Before long, Apple may well have to break down and start to officially sell Macs with Windows pre-installed to remain competative in the PC market.
Eventually, being a "Mac user" could mean little more than "someone who uses the Mac OS for file management, internet activity and itunes, and uses Windows for everything else". Granted the integration may be tighter between the two OSes, but it'll still end up with Mac users paying royalties to Microsoft in the end... either for Windows, or the necessary APIs needed to ensure complete compatibility.
In a few years, Apple will be as generic a name brand as IBM, Dell or HP.
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One explanation is that more and more people who used to be exclusively Windows users are now buying Macs in order to get the best of both worlds. Thus, the number of "Mac users who use Windows" increased. Seem valid to you kind
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Will the Mac game market suffer? Sure. The reason is simply: it's always been a really small market. People never bought Macs for gaming, but some Mac users wanted games. Porting games to Macs is a huge undertaking, so only few games got ported, and they always arrived late. Mac users only bought Mac games because they had no other choice (apart from a few truly great Mac games).
Obviously, being able to run Windows games on the Mac (and not having to wait for a crappy port a year later, if one is even plan
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Plus a few deep strategy games for the Mac - since I've yet to see something like Civilization IV well executed for a console.
Anyhow, I share your worry that the developers will ditch their Mac branch if you can run any windows application on your Mac without a performance penalty and without paying for a windows license.
I also worry that running windows applications on your Mac will make your system more confusing to
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I'm not suggesting in the least that I personally *want* the Mac to end up as little more than just another Windows-running clone, but I'm not foolish enough to ignore the trends I'm seeing throughout the community. Apple wants to push the PowerPC line into an early grave. Once they have achieved that goal, all reason to support both OS platforms needlessly will die with it. They're all running identical hardware, regardless of the brand
Re:Windows Use Increasing Among Mac Users (Score:4, Interesting)
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I don't see this happening at all. I bought a MacBook Pro about 6 months ago specifically so I could run Windows for Web 2.0 compatibility testing and, except for the initial cool factor of running Windows on a Mac, I really have no use for Windows. It has literally nothing I actually *need* I haven't fired up Parallels in over 2 months as there's just nothing at all compelling requiring me to use Windows.
As for gaming, who cares? After people turn 30 or so, the appeal drops dramatically. Sure, the occasi
Harder and harder (Score:2, Insightful)
Parallels.... vs OSX native... (Score:2)
As a former longtime OS/2 user, I would always have preferred to run a native OS2 app than a windows app under os2. I realize parallels runs windows, however, by integrating in parallels developers could now decided t
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Still there were lots of mistakes, it probably did contribute to the overall situation.
Re:Parallels.... vs OSX native... (Score:5, Interesting)
Apple will implement the API and tie it with all the goodness of Mac OS X and none of the badness of Windows.
Linux will implement the API and tie it with all the goodness of
The term "Windows Compatable" will become much like "IBM Compatable" was in 1980s. Software will no longer be written for Microsoft Windows, but rather the new Windows API.
Microsoft will abandon Vista fairly quickly after nobody wants it. Mac and linux takes off.
Re:Parallels.... vs OSX native... (Score:4, Insightful)
Which is precisely why there will always be obstacles to running Windows under OS X. I don't see Apple providing a Wine port, nor virtualization in Leopard. Can't have dedicated Mac Developers abandon coding under Cocoa and Carbon and let OS X die on the vine. The farthest Apple will go is to maybe provide a little "special" help to Parallels in the form of providing access to OS X engineers, but that's about it. They want -no- they NEED it to be inconvenient to run Windows on a Mac. An $80 charge before you can pirate windows onto your box is a pretty good level of inconvenience. $80 + a retail Windows license...even more convenient.
Oh wait, didn't we just have a bazillion threads about the Vista EULA forbidding users to run it under a VM. Why is that? Seriously, the answer is because it significantly simplifies any efforts to bypass the DRM technology in Vista. Just like Napster, Apple would find themselves behind contributory copyright infringement suits as soon as they provide virtualization tech and it is used to bypass DRM on HD or BluRay DVDs. So, this is reason #2 why Apple won't be selling bundled virtualization. "But that wouldn't make any sense to file a suit like that" you might say, to which I would have to reply "When has the MPAA ever been logical about filing lawsuits?".
Where is the market for a full screen video iPod? (Score:4, Interesting)
"After years of speculation, the full screen video iPod will make it's debut just in time for the 07 holiday season sales push."
Can someone please explain to me what the market is for portable video players with builtin viewing screens, in general?
I see these at electronics stores and their appeal is completely lost on me.
When might I use such a device? Well, I suppose when I am somewhere without access to a computer or television, want to watch a video, and can devote my full attention to a little ~2.5" screen (so not when I'm driving). For me, that is never.
As far as I can tell the primary markets for these are:
1) People who spend a large amount of time on public or air transportation, but don't carry a laptop.
2) Young children of parents who are rich enough to buy them personal video viewing devices but don't already have viewing screens built into their SUVs.
Anyone? I can't even think if a reason to buy the existing video iPod, muchless a full screen model.
Video is overrated. BBC radio news, for example, is more informative than any broadcast or cable television news outlet in the U.S. Add in the daily hour long DemocracyNOW broadcast (or podcast) and you have more real, compelling news than you will find in a week of 24x7 Fox News. And you can listen those while you commute or work. Video monopolizes your brain. Not only that, but even old pre-1950 radio dramas are at least comparable in quality to the majority of sitcoms, dramas. and comedies on television today: i.e. they are crap.
Kill your television. Don't bring it with you in a little box.
"Can someone please explain..." (Score:5, Funny)
Glad to... you can't see video on a portable video player without a viewing screen. Hence the desire for a viewing screen.
Hope that helps you out, there.
Cheers,
-- Terry
Re:Where is the market for a full screen video iPo (Score:5, Interesting)
Since I own a video iPod (80GB woot), I can state my reasons:
1) I have my entire photo collection with me at all times. No more pictures in my wallet.
2) I watch lastnight's Daily Show before work every morning.
3) Video podcasts.
4) I can share music videos with others on a drinking night.
And I haven't even mentioned my music until just now.
Re:Where is the market for a full screen video iPo (Score:2)
Sure.
The market segment could be characterised as weird old old guys who live in their vans down by the river. Or put another way, the same folks bought those mini TVs 20 years ago.
Funny thing about those TVs -- no one could really stand to watch them, but that didn't prevent any of their proud owners from showing them off to friends and strangers.
Kill your television. Don't bring it with
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Re:Where is the market for a full screen video iPo (Score:2)
1. People who spend a lot of time on airplanes - and that's quite a few on a global scale.
2. People with kids - since kids don't necessarily agree on what to watch, and they don't spend _all_ their time in the back seat of a Volvo SUV.
3. People who use public transportation for more than 15 minutes or so straight.
Anyways, I agree that mainstream TV is evil thought control.
5 things Apple should do in 2007 (Score:3, Interesting)
2. Acquire TiVO or offer similar service. Allow TiVO to download iTunes song and synch with iPod. Agains this will allow people to buy iTunes over broadband without using computer. Also, people can play their iTune songs on home stereo via DVR easily. This would fit in ther iTV or MacMini strategy quite well.
3. iPod remote: Make an iPod remote which looks like iPod nano. It can be synched with real iPod using a computer. Now user can truly do full control of their iPod using this remote control. My biggest problem of current generation of remotes is that I can't select a song, photo, video. I can only do play and then skip it if I don't like it. With a wheel and display, I can exactly select the song and then play. Such a remote should not cost more than 50/60 dollars.
4. External memory/battery module for iPod nano: Make an external memory/battery module for iPod which will connect to docking connector. That way, I can expand my iPod nano. How about 8 GB module for $99? Or a 48 hour battery module.
5. A camera module expansion.
Only thing I can predict about Apple... (Score:2)
...is that I will continue to not care about it. The whole "compete by selling different kinds of hardware" model reminds me of the 8-bit days. It was bad enough when you had to port to multiple 8-bit machines. The only thing that's worse is game consoles. You have to pick which one you want to port to, *and* you have to be a company that's big enough to pay an arm and a leg to the console company for the privelege of developing on their machine. Oh please, mr. console maker, oh please let me write sof
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The fact that they don't do either of those things is the reason Apple hasn't tanked yet. Say it with me: "Apple is a hardware company."
I just don't get how everyone can hate MS so much, and look the other way at Apple's proprietary hardware and DRM.
It's a matter of degrees, really. Apple's DRM is about ten times
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Say it with me: "Apple is a hardware company."
Duh. So is Intel. That's OK though, because Intel works at the wholesale level. The statement is an incomplete truth: "Apple is a consumer hardware company". Having competing consumer hardware companies for say... CD players or radios is fine. They all play standard CDs and receive standard AM/FM signals (except for the new satellite radios, which are evil).
Why is this distinction important? Because with PC hardware as an industry standard, which IB
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I guess what you mean is taht Intel wants to become a PC system company. Chip companies are hardware companies to a much larger degree than Apple, Dell etc.
S"tupid lock-in by corporations will continue to fail, as consumers won't buy locked products."
Perhaps you mean it will start to fail in the future. Last time I checked vendor lock-in was w
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Re:Only thing I can predict about Apple... (Score:5, Insightful)
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And you, with your record of running so many multi-billion dollar multinationals, are obviously well placed to give Apple advice.
"And the issue is not, what is good for Apple."
No, it is what's good for their shareholders, as is the case with all publicly traded companies.
"The issue is, what is good for us."
If you are a shareholder, the issue is what's good for your investment in terms of ma
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If you ever buy one, you're going to be sorely disappointed. They're just like any other Acer laptop; cheap, flimsy and prone to breaking. Except for the nice paint and the prancing pony, it's really nothing to get worked up over.
The only x86 laptops apart from Macbooks that are properly
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"OSX and Windows, working together at last"? No. (Score:5, Insightful)
"I expect to see Parallels fully integrated into Leopard by the time the OS is released, giving us the first OS in history (to my knowledge anyway) that will allow us to seamlessly run our Windows, Mac, and even Linux programs from the same desktop."
This would be a user experience and customer support nightmare for Apple.
Not to mention it would be incredibly risky for Apple to acquire and bolt on a complex 3rd party application at this late stage in Leopard development.
The author of this article is clueless. Which isn't surprising, considering it is essentially a blog post on a mac fan site. He's just regurgitating rumours from Mac community forums in order to get page hits.
Nothing to see here. Move along.
Re:"OSX and Windows, working together at last"? No (Score:2)
The problem is that Windows and Linux apps can only be superficially skinned to look like MacOS apps; they won't really behave the same way. This won't create a support problem for Apple because OS vendors don't provide relief for substanda
All I want (Score:5, Interesting)
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does anyone have a clue why they supersized their whole laptop line? the only two things i can think of are 1) their market research suggested that people want bigger or 2) they need the space to squeeze in the
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I switched from a 12" PowerBook to a MacBook, and I gotta say... I love it. I too thought the "crappy plastic keys" would bother me, but 1) I adapted to them after about 15 minutes of typing, 2) They're really comfortable, at least for me. and 3) The PowerBook's keys turned out to be plastic too (don't believe me? Pry one up and look at the underside.
The glossy screen really isn't too bad, although I guess it can be annoyin
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Slashdot is so tired... (Score:2, Troll)
My prediction? Apple will release new models of computers and digital audio players. Slashdot will rave about the company's greatness. Apple's desktop market share will once again remain static.
not parallels (Score:2)
What I would much prefer, as a casual user who needs to run minor MS Windows application, is the V
jail time (Score:2)
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Ah, predictions... (Score:5, Insightful)
Eight Core Mac Pro- just so Apple can advertise the most powerful personal computer EVAR
New Cinema Displays with built in iSight, IR sensor, HDCP. 23" becomes 24", firewire hub goes away. Maybe a smaller one
New keyboard, with USB2.0 ports built into it (three years too late)
.Mac will morph into some kind of social networking thing. Myspace for Mac users. It should, but won't, be free
Windows versions of Safari and iChat A/V, which no one will use because they both kinda suck
Apple needs a mid-tower computer between the mini and the Pro. The iMac doesn't cut it. Steve's cube fetish will resurface here
A tablet Macbook would be great, as long as the voice and handwriting recognition work better than anything before
Expanding on the Mac brand (Score:4, Funny)
No "Office Killer" rumour this year? (Score:4, Interesting)
I predict Apple will go agressively after the business market, this upgrade cycle would be the perfect time to convince businesses to 'switch', especially if iWork had all 4 expected apps, robust compatibility with office documents, and the pricetag of (MacPro + Leopard + "iWorkPro") is significantly less than (Vista capable pc + Vista + Office 2007), which seems entirely possible. Throw in the expected 8-core MacPro, a bit of dual boot hype and garnish with XServes, and it's a tasty package.
As for the iPhone and widescreen video iPod, I wouldn't be at all surprised if these were actually one device not two. A 360 degree clamshell design that's a very scratch-resistant shuffle when closed, a phone when 180 degrees open and a widescreen video iPod when 360 degrees open sounds like a highly marketable device to me, especially if Apple leverage their close ties with flash memory producers to give it good video storage space without a hard drive. Nokia tried hard with the N93, but they ended up with a rubik cube designed by a committee. Apple product design head Jonathan Ive must have been looking at that thing and laughing.
Still waiting... (Score:2)
Re:How about a two button mouse? (Score:5, Informative)
The touchpad works quite well overall, the two-finger scrolling is especially good IMO.
You can perform a right-click with the touchpad as well, but you have to turn on the feature first. Once it is on just have two fingers on the touchpad and click the button -- right click.
Overall the MacBook Pro is far and away the nicest notebook I have used, and I've used a lot of notebooks. My Toshiba Libretto and IBM ThinkPad are soon to be for sale.
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Re:How about a two button mouse? (Score:5, Informative)
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I was just talking to him about that. He's decided that one isn't enough - he needs at least two more. He's going to make Linux on PS3 his primary development platform.
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I have to agree, Apple ads for it's Mac products leave much to be desired. The ads are not what made me purchase a Mac it was Aperture. And based on a sampling of my friends and family they seem more confused by the current Mac ads compared to the switch ads, and even the Switch ads left much to be desired. The iPod ads on the other hand, are excellent, and eye catching.
Re:Predictions (Score:5, Insightful)
it wasn't so much the ipod replaced the walkman, but the
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Um, care to name those products? Zune is a dog, Vista doesn't look much better, the XBox 360 is in a market that Apple doesn't even notice, and as for competing with Apple's iTV, Microsoft hasn't even had a "me, too" vaporware announcement.
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No kidding -- that's why I'm a much bigger fan of Crossover Mac and DarWINE.
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They have that already; it's called GNUStep [gnustep.org].
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Sigh... yeah, but we can dream, right?
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