Follow Slashdot blog updates by subscribing to our blog RSS feed

 



Forgot your password?
typodupeerror
×
Intel Businesses Technology (Apple) Apple Technology

Apple/Intel Speculation Running Rampant 623

6031769 writes "ZD Net are reporting a rumour that Steve Jobs will announce Apple are going to move to an Intel chip base at their worldwide developer conference today. Still just a rumour, but could this be the masterstroke Apple have been promising or is it a blind alley?" Lots of submissions about this one, but no one knows for sure - there have been stories about how AMD is hurt by this - but I think my favorite debunking of it is the piece by John Gruber on Daring Fireball.
This discussion has been archived. No new comments can be posted.

Apple/Intel Speculation Running Rampant

Comments Filter:
  • Its all just talk. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Willy on Wheels ( 889645 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:43AM (#12734773) Homepage Journal
    This is all just rumors to get Apple users upset. Its being going since the 1980's, and its never happened. The G5 is too much of an asset to dump for the hell that is the P4. Even diehard Windows users are all migrating to AMD64 these days, Intel is just trying to get some free advertising and FUD to play with.
    • by Gary W. Longsine ( 124661 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:06AM (#12734956) Homepage Journal
      It seems likely that this frenzy of speculation will affect the stock price in the short term. It seems like no matter what Apple announces at WWDC today, the headline will be related to this speculation. The folks who drive the stock price probably don't read Slashdot, and the headline "Apple did or did not switch to Intel" may drive some pretty big buy/sell movement as soon as the keynote is over.

      Which direction will it move? If it moves down, how long will it take to recover?

      There is enough uncertainty in such a move that it sure seems to me -- a slashdot reader who doesn't affect stock prices -- that it could only move down if such a switch is announced. However, when I think about it from the perspective of a trader who probably doesn't know all that much beyond the headline that shows up on his pager at say 11:01 PST today, I wonder if a switch would be considered good, and a series of PowerPC related announcements would be considered as a sell indicator.
    • by Yaruar ( 125933 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:42AM (#12735287)
      there are a lot of problems with the G5 though. It's a great chip, but there are major issues with power and size on it, so much so that it's looking unlikely it will make it into a laptop any time soon, and remember it's the sexy titanium powermacs's that everyone has been drooling over in recent years. + they have had so much trouble sorting out supplies for power chips with motorola and IBM messing them about in recent years. It makes sense to shift to intel. the architecture isn't as good, but the supply is readily available and development is going on a lot faster than with the power chips. A move to AMD 64's or pentium M's would do apple a great deal of good, especially with the integtation into advanced motherboard architecture which again is a problem with the Power.
      • by TheRaven64 ( 641858 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:52AM (#12735373) Journal
        Sure, there are problems with the G5, but FreeScale is about to release a dual-core, 64-bit CPU with clock speeds starting at around 2GHz, integrated memory controller and 3 integrated GigE controllers (and a few other things I've forgotten), with a power consumption in line with current G5s. Abandoning IBM (at least in the short term) makes sense, but abandoning PowerPC does not. More speculation here. [pingwales.co.uk]
    • by Senjutsu ( 614542 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:46AM (#12735326)
      The PPC is a fantastic proc, but if IBM has come to Apple and said that they simply cannot deliver an efficient mobile PPC 970, given the way Freescale has totally dropped the ball on delivering a G4 with a clock and bus speed that belongs in this century, this would be the probable reaction by Apple.

      Laptops are the fastest growing, most important segment to the company, and the iBook and PowerBook lines are both hurting for serious updates. The continued failure of these updates to appear suggests that their are serious issues preventing their appearance. If Apple's portable lines were projected to be stuck with the moribund G4 line for the foreseeable future, they'd react in the only way possible to ensure the continued relevance of their computers in their most important market; they'd switch to someone who could supply the mobile CPUs they need to survive, even if that meant some tough times in their immediate future.

      "The IBM can't deliver a mobile G5" theory even explains the rumored roll out time line; the low-end minis and the portables will have fallen furthest behind the rest of the industry in another year or two if they're stuck with the G4, and be most desperately in need of an upgrade the soonest. The desktop G5s, thanks to the G5's excellent performance as a desktop CPU, will keep pace with the industry longer, and thus be in far less need of an upgrade than the heat- and power-constrained lines.
  • Very rampant... (Score:5, Informative)

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:44AM (#12734778)
    At this point pretty much everyone is saying something about it: http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&lr=&tab=nn&ie=UT F-8&ncl=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/4612 951.stm [google.com]
    • At this point... (Score:3, Insightful)

      by Chordonblue ( 585047 )
      Everyone is basically parroting what everyone else said... Except for 'The Enquirer' - they at least seem to have some sort of other source that confirms this...

      • ....gossip rag.

        Seriously though, I wrote the Inq piece, and I do have it from an independant source, and I had the info before CNet broke theirs, so it isn't a case of someone seeing CNet and running to me. I didn't get times though, which is why I was waiting.

        On a related note, it would not surprise me if the be-turtlenecked megalomaniac had a hissy fit (a given), and put off the announcement. He can't cancel it, but putting it off to screw the journos would not be out of character.

        There is more to this story though, and I will put some up as soon as I get bac from Computex, plane in 6 hours. Aargh.

        -Charlie
    • by goombah99 ( 560566 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @10:07AM (#12735561)
      Few articles have speculated on what chip they will use. I can think of two possibly three. Itanium, pentium-M and some unannounced response to the Cell processor.

      The case for the Itanium is that the reason it failed in the Wintel world was the difficulty of programming for it, notably its ramant use of out of order instruction capability. And when Windows did not really embrace it that was the death sentence. But Apple has a unique position of controlling the hardware and the OS. Thus they could potentially master this beast. Going Itanium could let them leapfrog the x86 world and have more headroom for growth. I also wonder if the itanium has, like the Power series, support for both big/little endian, thus making the transition easier?

      Pentium-M. Well this is no brainer. They need a new chip for the laptop and there's none on the horizon. The interesting thing here is that if they went with a hybrid strategy of Pentium-M in the laptops and G5 in the desktops they have a good transistion strategy available. The graphic artisits and application-specific power users will not settle for emulation of their favorite applications. Thus they have to keep G5 on the desktop till all the applications like Photoshop and Maya have swithced over.. But that class of folks wont be using Laptops as their main machine. And the laptop users might be well satisfied with a fast pentium-M machine that occasionally had to run some applications in a slower emulation mode.

      Surely intel has some response to the Cell. Are they going to cede the entire video game/ digital hub market to xbox, sony and the cell? I suspect not. But to enter that market they need a partner. And who better than the maker of the ipod and the only company with a coherent home digital hub strategy (think iLife). Well that would be apple. You cant argue market share dictates windows since the ipod proves that wrong and Microsoft already has its bets on the xbox.

      So maybe this is about a video console and not about general purpose computers???

    • Certaintly if this story isn't true, it has to go down as the greatest troll in history.
      • by sjf ( 3790 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @10:40AM (#12735949)
        Certaintly if this story isn't true, it has to go down as the greatest troll in history.

        I dunno, those Elbonian's got me pretty bad recently. Had to get my tighty-whiteys surgically removed.

        On the other hand, as a Mac zealot, I'd like to say that Apple will never shift to Intel. It would be business suicide. Unless, that is, Steve announces a shift to Intel today. In which case, it will be the most brilliant business decision made since he invented the MP3 player.
  • branding POV (Score:5, Interesting)

    by rokzy ( 687636 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:44AM (#12734782)
    the worst thing in the world would be for a Mac to have an "Intel inside" sticker on it, or even on the packaging. but as annoying as their stupid campaign is, would Intel make an exception to their rule for Apple? Apple's design is one of their biggest assets so I can't see them giving in either.
    • Re:branding POV (Score:5, Informative)

      by bitmason ( 191759 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:14AM (#12735047) Homepage
      Using "Intel Inside" sticker isn't a requirement for anyone. However, if you choose to use the sticker, you can get co-op marketing dollars from Intel for doing so, so there's often a sizable financial incentive to use it. (There are also a fair number of restructions on how the dollars can be used--basically only for advertising/marketing products or product lines that are 100% Intel.)
  • Today... (Score:3, Insightful)

    by brilinux ( 255400 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:44AM (#12734783) Journal
    If they are going to announce it today, why don't we just wait and see instead of posting that "it could happen" right before?
    • Re:Today... (Score:4, Funny)

      by Kjella ( 173770 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:54AM (#12734859) Homepage
      Why, then we'd miss the

      a) update to this story
      b) actual announcement
      c) ...that would be mistaken for a dupe
      d) trolls reposting comments from this story to the next
      e) all of the above
    • Because it's fun. How about a new rumor, since we've only got a few more hours.

      How about... Intel cut Apple a sweet deal on Itanium chips for the Mac line?

      I know there has been speculation about Apple taking PowerPC into the Intel fab, but IMHO that seems even less likely than OS/X running on x86 chips. Apple has been struggling for years from a weak point. Even though at the moment they're behind the performance curve, Intel is still dealing from a strong point. Doing PowerPC chips, even from a foundry c
    • Re:Today... (Score:4, Funny)

      by Kohath ( 38547 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @10:49AM (#12736050)
      Have you watched a newscast in the last 10 years? Actual news is passe. The news business is now:

      - Predictions of future news
      - Polls
      - Medical warnings that get contradicted the next day/week/month
      - Celebrity sex/activism
      - New movies and music
      - Protests
      - Press releases from Greenpeace, Amnesty Internalional, the NAACP, and other left-wing groups
      - Diet books

      • Re:Today... (Score:4, Funny)

        by Have Blue ( 616 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @12:35PM (#12737167) Homepage
        You forgot one: Which common household object may be killing your children?? We'll tell you in 4 hours!
      • Uh huh (Score:3, Insightful)

        by Von Rex ( 114907 )
        "Press releases from left-wing groups"...that's funny.

        The press has been nothing more than a stenographer for the far right for years now. Consider whitewater, the starr report, the lies about the white house being trashed, the lies about wmd in Iraq, and so on. Try to imagine what the press would be saying if, for example, Bill Clinton had given phoney press credentials and a fake name to a gay prostitute so that said prostitute could derail press conferences with softball questions scripted by the white
  • by eyegor ( 148503 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:45AM (#12734790)
    Can you say binary incompatability?

    When Apple last changed processor families, there was a big problem with binary incompatability. Needless to say, there were a lot of very pissed off Apple users. The transition from PowerPC to Intel could be very painful given two different processor families.

    The LAST thing Apple needs to do is to piss off it's user base.
    • >Can you say binary incompatability?

      Can you make a point without phrasing it as a question? ... doh!
    • Except for small islands of assembly language software, the switch from the Motorola 680X0 to the PPC in the 90's was actually quite succesful. They put an emulator into the OS and 95%+ of things just ran fine, but a bit slow at first. Evenutally native PPC software came out and on things went with minimal hiccups.
      • While this is true, the bigger problem right now is endianness. There are lots of developers on the Mac that don't pay any attention to the endianness of their binary data; why should they, the endianness isn't going to change, right? While some of the changes could be trivial, some graphics formats, like TIFF, are a specific endianness, and it would be a pain to have to redo graphics intensive code to deal with these things. Now, I know that people are going to say, "Well, if you're not using NSImage, you
    • Yes but this could be the last time they do it, and it would give it more of a reassuring "once and for all" impression.
    • by teslar ( 706653 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:57AM (#12734884)
      Can you say binary incompatability?
      This is where this bit of information [theregister.co.uk] comes in:
      Industry sources also say Apple is a licensee of Transitive's [transitive.com] QuickTransit virtual processor technology, which allows anything to run on Intel x86 (and vice versa) via dynamic instruction translation.
      • In normal english, "emulation". What makes their product so much better than all other emulators on the market? Like PearPC, or VirtualPC. Heck, I even sometimes have skimps etc when running RockNES!

        Basically, I'm dismissing that as marketroidish bullshit lies, until proven wrong.

      • by v1 ( 525388 )
        Intel is CISC, PowerPC is RISC. It's a heck of a lot easier (and faster) to emulate CISC on a RISC (building complex instructions by using a huge pile of really fast, really simple instructions and tons of registers) than it is to do the opposite. Some magical new technology won't do much to change this fundamental problem. Emulating the PPC on an Intel chip is god-awful slow. Look at things like PearPC, taking hours to boot OS X. Emulating XP on a mac takes about a 50% speed hit. HUUUUGE difference.
    • by Mark_in_Brazil ( 537925 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:04AM (#12734937)
      The LAST thing Apple needs to do is to piss off it's user base.
      But maybe there's a way for the story to be true and Apple to not piss off its user base.
      I've been told that Apple managed to put some very tough clauses into its contract with IBM over the chips. If IBM were unable to meet certain criteria, Apple would be able to take some of the intellectual property, basically allowing Apple to take the design and have somebody else make the processors.
      I've noticed that the reports on C|Net don't say Apple will use Pentium chips. They say Apple will use Intel chips.
      If you RTFD (D="Debunking") from the blurb, it's mentioned there that Apple pays a lot less for the chips it gets from IBM than it would pay for comparable Pentium chips.
      It's also interesting (mentioned in the "debunking") that Apple has NOT been warning its developers about a pending change of endian-ness, as you might expect them to if a change to little-endian Pentium chips from big-endian PowerPC chips.
      But... if it's true that Apple can take the chip design to Intel, then Intel could conceivably make PowerPC chips for Apple. That's about the only way I can see this rumor being true. It would still be tough, because I don't think it would be easy for Intel to get production of a new chip going at the required volume within a year, but I am not a silicon expert.
      • Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)

        by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:28AM (#12735154)
        Comment removed based on user account deletion
        • You forget that Intel has some of the best engineers in the business. IBM has very good engineers, but they're scattered around a bit in terms of specialities. Intel has very talented people devoted entirely to processors. It's quite possible Apple thinks Intel can do the engineering work better than IBM.

          From Intel's point of view, they need to diversify. Itanium is finally going the way of the dodo. On the x86 side AMD has them beat, and as soon as the market realises that they're in trouble. Getting into

      • by Intron ( 870560 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:37AM (#12735232)
        Another way to do it would be to put both a PPC and Pentium chip on the motherboard. Be able to run Windows binaries on Intel and native Apple on PPC. There are lots of dual-CPU systems on the market, but very few with two different processors. I know of a Sun clone made by Tatung some years back that had Sparc + x86 and did this.
        • Another way to do it would be to put both a PPC and Pentium chip on the motherboard... There are lots of dual-CPU systems on the market, but very few with two different processors.
          Further proof that the Commodore 128 [old-computers.com] was simply ahead of its time. ;-)
      • by hammeredpeon ( 572012 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:39AM (#12735261) Homepage
        WSJ does actually say x86 chips, not that Apple is just using Intel as their new manufacturer
      • While the scenario is possible, (And I don't know the details of Apples contract with IBM), I would suspect that what Apple would get from IBM in the way of chip specs would be the current generation PowerPC chip. That design would only be useful until IBM came out with their next generation POWER 6 or whatever. Apple loses out on future enhancements from IBM. Then Apple has to either go back to IBM for the new design, rely on Intel to enhance the older design (shudder!), or sit and stew in the old design u
    • Can you say binary incompatability?

      They could just have their dev tools use "fat binaries". These are binaries that support both architectures.

      They could then (theoretically) have PPC chips in some computers in the product line, and x86 chips in others. IIRC MacOS supported fat binaries duiring the original transition in the early 1990s. NeXT (the progenitor of OS X) also supported them.

      It could be a nightmare for developers when it comes to testing, though.
    • I think all of us late '90s and on BeOS users understand first hand why it would be a Bad Idea for Apple to find themselves straddling an endianness divide.

      On BeOS, it was a constant annoyance to find that xxx cool program was only available to BeOS PPC users or BeOS x86 users because the author of the package didn't write code that works on both big endian and little endian machines. BeOS may not have been hurt too badly from it because most of its users were geeks who were willing to try an altOS anyway
    • Actually this could be a very good thing. Let's stop and think about this from a developer's perspective. First off, since the majority of hardware interface issues will come from the driver and kernel levels, and the BSD-based kernel is very portable, there should be little issue with respect to recompiling binaries for the x86 instruction set.

      The bad part: this will also allow far easier binary compatibility with Win32 binaries. OS/2 made the mistake of emulating Windows too well: everyone ran Windows pr
  • a few questions... (Score:4, Interesting)

    by nickos ( 91443 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:47AM (#12734803)
    I'm a bit sentimental about PPC, but I guess this move probably makes some sense for Apple (see here [theregister.co.uk])

    I have a few questions that I haven't seen raised anywhere else though:
    1. Will Windows run on these machines?
    2. Will Apple offer some kind of Window compatibility using something like WINE?
    3. What will happen to Yellow Dog Linux?
    • by tolan-b ( 230077 )
      Supposing this were to happen, I'd say:

      1. No
      2. That would be interesting, although it's likely to face similar problems to regular WINE. Perhaps they could join the WINE development effort though.
      3. I'd say there'd still be room for it, as even if the processor changes there would still be differences in the architecture between Mac and PC.
    • by saider ( 177166 )
      A PC (aka "IBM PC clone") is more than just the microprocessor that runs it. There is quite a bit of legacy equipment and behavior that is included (like BIOS) that makes a computer a PC.

      In short, a PC must be intel, but an intel based computer need not conform to the PC specifications.
    • by hackstraw ( 262471 ) * on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:52AM (#12735369)
      I have a few questions that I haven't seen raised anywhere else though:
      1. Will Windows run on these machines?


      I seriously doubt it. Regardless of these machines were to have Intel chips, they will not be PCs. Apples have always had some kind of bind between their hardware and OS via firmware that is unlike the standard PC architecture. If Windows were to run on a new Mac, it would be some kind of a hack, it would not be likely that it would run out of the box.

      2. Will Apple offer some kind of Window compatibility using something like WINE?

      Why would they? There has been Virtual PC and whatnot for years, I doubt that Apple would waste their time with windows. Yuck.

      3. What will happen to Yellow Dog Linux?

      Nothing. Well, maybe Yellow Dog proper will go away, but Linux will always be the whore OS to run on any given machine with a CPU. That will not change.

      My guess is that if Apple were to go to Intel it would be with their low voltage Itanium offerings. Apple is a marketing machine, but I don't see how they could pull off being a nonPC compatible PC with the same specs as any generic white box (aside from the peripherals) out there. Granted they do have the best OS out there, but its clear the people don't care about that. Apple is also at a big disadvantage in that there is not nearly the amount of 3rd party software out there for their systems. Take a look at my .sig.

      Again, this is a big if, I would guess that they would go with the low voltage Itanium chip. Once they are offered at the higher clock rates, they will be excellent for a very fast PC. It would also be cool in that the price of the Itaniums should drop.

      In looking at the issues Apple have had with their G5s, heat, heat, and heat. And there does not appear to be any signs of this changing any time soon. Intel has been working hard the past couple of years by reducing heat from their chips with things like the Pentium M, and the low voltage Itaniums.

      It seems like most people assume that they are just going to throw Pentiums inside of their boxes. I seriously doubt that. If so, I believe that this would be a big flop for them.
  • by ianscot ( 591483 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:48AM (#12734806)
    Sure, that's a pretty good set of debunkings linked to at the end of the posting. I'd even go with something like the guess at the end -- seems like Jobs wouldn't just be announcing "We're on the intel bandwagon, hook link and sinker," for all the reasons people usually mention. (What would it do to the existing sales base? I mean, my God, who would buy a G5 iMac right now knowing that in a year it'd be a cut-off technical backwater for the company?)

    But, you know, we have at least five or ten years of people debunking this particular rumor. Describing this list as the best ever is jumping the gun a little. Maybe we'll have another five years of the same, and then we can judge better.

  • Dvorak is bragging (Score:5, Informative)

    by scupper ( 687418 ) * on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:48AM (#12734809) Homepage

    I heard Dvorak on the episode 8 twitcast [www.twit.tv] basically bragging he "called" this x86 switch a couple of years back.

    he's completely extatic about it, and discuss the x86 switch as a done deal.

    He's also going off [dvorak.org] on his blog.

    I'm still not sold, and the debunk arguments by Gruber seems reasonable.

    • by The Original Yama ( 454111 ) <lists.sridhar @ d h a n apalan.com> on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:58AM (#12734896) Homepage
      Dvorak has been living in his own dimension for as long as I can remember. Remember the media speculation surrounding the last CPU switch that Apple made? To most people, the most obvious choice seemed to be the IBM PPC970. Dvorak in his infinite stupidity, however, predicted that they would choose the Opteron. Why on Earth would Apple choose a chip that was so expensive to manufacture and designed for servers and not desktops? I'm surprised he's not claiming that they'll be using the Itanium this time.
    • by hey! ( 33014 )
      basically bragging he "called" this x86 switch a couple of years back.

      Yeah, along with every two-bit prognosticator in the business since 1985.

      Unless we start to calculate batting averages, this game is really too easy. You just spout a lot of things that are likely, a few things are possible, carefully leaving some wiggle room so you can argue that you were right, but your timing was off. Or maybe your idea was right, but it turned out that they decided to do what you predicted, but with somebody else.
      • by sg3000 ( 87992 ) * <<sg_public> <at> <mac.com>> on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:37AM (#12735235)
        > Yeah, along with every two-bit prognosticator in the business
        > since 1985.

        Absolutely. It's a pretty easy prediction to make. Back in 2002, I posted how Mac OS X could allow Apple to switch to x86 [slashdot.org] on Slashdot:

        It's very unlikely that you'll see such a project until Apple can safely move as many Mac users there as possible, while stranding as few users as possible. The Mac market is too small for it to be successfully fragmented into Mac-PPC and Mac-x86 camps. But there is a path for Apple to get there.

        1. Introduce Macintoshes running on as much PC-compatible hardware as possible. CHECK: current Macs use the same video cards, video memory, bus ports, and other parts as regular PCs. Just the processor is different

        2. Introduce an operating system that can be run truely architecture independent. CHECK: Mac OS X is based on NeXTStep that used to run on x86. All they need is to get the majority of their users onto Mac OS X. Right now they're at 20% penetration.

        3. Get Mac users off of Classic so they don't have to worry about PPC compatibility. IN PROGRESS: with Mac OS X 10.2, expect a lot more users spending all their time in Cocoa and Carbon. It'll probably be until 2004 before Classic will fall to a minority of users (once the specialized apps are replaced by Mac OS equivalents)

        4. Introduce a Mac that uses a non-PowerPC processor (like AMD Hammer) which gives a definite performance advantage or price advantage. You'd better bet that Apple is at least considering this

        5. Allow other PC makers to build Mac clones. But this time, Apple will have to negotiate from a position of strength, rather than one of desparation like before.

        Clearly, I'm no expert. I think the AMD part I wrote is unlikely in the extreme, and I don't think Apple will be switching to become a software-only (item 5) business since their combination of hardware/software allows them to have a finely-tuned user experience. However, making such a prediction is pretty easy (particularly if you leave out the specifics), so Dvorak gloating about it is just silly.

        That said, it's more likely Apple is announcing a WiMAX deal with Intel, or they're going to license PPC to Intel to make. Switching to x86 could be done, but it will be difficult to manage the transition (even with Mac OS X's advantages over Mac OS 9). Then again, Apple handled a processor change fairly successfully with the 68k to PPC, so maybe they can pull that off.

        But it's probably best to not second guess Apple on this, and just wait until the announcement comes out. Apple sure knows how to get people to pay attention to its developers' conference!
    • by Alioth ( 221270 ) <no@spam> on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:33AM (#12735205) Journal
      Dvorak is a professional troll. I don't know why someone who whined that Windows was slow "because the system idle process was thrashing 95% of cpu time!!111oneone" can ever get front page news on Slashdot. He's basically a clueless dolt.
  • by CashCarSTAR ( 548853 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:49AM (#12734813)
    I'm not a huge Apple fan, but I don't think they're THIS stupid. The compatibility problems that will cause alone..

    I dont' even want to think about it :(
  • by Gary W. Longsine ( 124661 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:49AM (#12734816) Homepage Journal
    The Register weighs in with two articles this morning.

    Apple shifts to Intel: What is all the fuss about [theregister.co.uk]

    Apple to announce Intel 'Switch' - WSJ [theregister.co.uk]
  • by Lemming Mark ( 849014 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:50AM (#12734818) Homepage
    Switching the Mac over now would be really weird: for years Apple struggled with the G4's performance - then I might have understood. Now they've got IBM as a partner - one of the world leaders in CPU architecture, silicon fabrication, etc. It would seem truly bizare to ditch out from PPC at this point, especially given IBM's huge commitment to PPC world domination (and their manifest triumphs over Intel in another volume market - games consoles).

    Using an XScale, I could understand. Intel are *the* market leader in high end portable processors at the moment (try to find a powerful PDA that *doesn't* have an XScale). An XScale would be the sensible choice for an Apple PDA or, indeed, the iPod / Phone combo that has been so talked about.

    This "leak" might about buying Intel might a be deliberate publicity stunt but I find it really hard to believe the Mac will move away from PPC in the foreseeable future.

    The third possibility is that Apple will introduce something new - something else they've not mentioned before. An ultra Apple / Windows friendly UNIX server? An appliance computer (e.g. a cross between iPod and a {web,file,database}server?) A set top box (*cough* *pippin* *cough*)? Personally, I think Apple could be good with appliance computing.
    • Minor point, but the X-Scale wasn't an Intel design (at least not at the outset) - its one helluvan evolution of the venerable old Acorn Arm Chip.

      I'm intrigued by this possible chip change though; there must be some pretty good reasoning going on in Jobs head (ie. there has to be some "cool factor" going on somewhere?).
    • PPC roadmap is brilliant.

      Low end? Game consoles, dumb terminals
      Desktop? Macs (this is the best they can do, the Wintel monopoly is tough to crack).
      High end? RISC unix, Linux if so desired -- the basis of their AIX platform.

      The portability of the PPC architecture is fantastic, and taking a long view IBM has a great strategy in place.
    • I'm glad that at least one person isn't taking this "Apple goes to x86" thing as gospel.

      There are dozens of possible situations where an Intel/Apple partnership could work. Apple using x86 processors in Macs just isn't one of them. Though there are some good points, it seems like a shot in the foot.

      Pro:
      1. Cheap(er) to mass produce
      2. Name recognition
      3. Could run MS Windows code natively through translation layer (much the same way that "Classic" mode works)
      4. Higher clock speed
      5. No fabrication quantity
  • Handhelds? (Score:2, Interesting)

    by sm3ggy ( 790661 )
    Could It not just be one of Intels mini chips the pxa27x etc.? As used in pocket pcs and palms? They might be using one in an iPod? THey tend to have WiFi and some nice multimedia and communications controllers onboard.
  • This Wired article [wired.com] could be on the money, but if Apple's switching to get Intel's DRM technology the odds of them ever releasing another Darwin source tree are pretty slim. What good is a DRM scheme on an open-source operating system?

    I have to say that this is the most depressing reason for a processor switch ever.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:51AM (#12734829)
    (I'm in the cubicle next to ASOTV) I thought I'd confirm what's going on. It's actually a little more complex than has been speculated upon.

    Apple is building an updated version of OS X called "Mac OS X Extreme", which uses the Windows NT kernel as its underpinning (essentially Darwin is going away, and being replaced by the lower layers of Windows XP, witha BSD-type POSIX layer for reverse compatability)

    This will ensure Apple can still produce high quality and different computers (it'll still have the OS X GUI, for example) while migrating to more popular, and hence better tested, cheaper, technologies. The first machines will be Pentium M based, and we'll see the Mac mini Extreme in 2006, with others following using a forthcoming so-far unannounced 64-bit version of the Pentium.

    These are exciting times.

  • by archdetector ( 876357 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:52AM (#12734842)
    Here goes: 1. Yes, they switch, and yes, OS X will still be closed to Apple machines. 2. Apple will provide hooks for all published MS API's, allowing 90% of Windows programs to run natively within OS X on Intel. 3. Apple will open source the Cocoa API's. They will provide the API's for Windows, leaving others to port them to Linux, etc. 4. Steve will claim to have saved the world by freeing the world from Windows.
  • by mattdm ( 1931 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:53AM (#12734850) Homepage
    The AMD link isn't really about how it'll hurt AMD, but about how Apple couldn't choose AMD because AMD can't reliably keep up with that level of demand.

    That's a lot more interesting/reasonable, since a switch to Intel architecture for Apple would be *good news* for AMD, since then going from Intel-made chips to AMD ones would be possibile sometime later.

    The "debunking" link sounds reasonable -- "Here's my bet: Intel is going to produce PowerPC chips for Apple. But I'm only betting one dollar." Another possibility along those lines would be that Apple is switching to Intel *graphics chips*, which would make sense given the comment in the original rumors that the switch would happen on low-end computers first.
    • Debunking, my foot.

      There's nothing to debunk, because there's no news to report. This is still (until Apple says something) not much more than wild speculation. It's a shame that it has become the primary hardware news story at Slashdot since the weekend, but so far, there's been nothing to back it up.

      It's like saying, "Of course I don't believe in chain letters, but I've sent it off to 20 of my friends, and I'd like you to distribute it too; just in case."
  • fact vs fiction (Score:5, Informative)

    by larry bagina ( 561269 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:53AM (#12734854) Journal
    Fact: intel is not just a one trick (or 386 trick) pony.

    Fact: NeXT used an i860 (64-bit RISC) graphics accelerator. Manufactured by Intel.

    Fact: Intel manufactures ARM (Advanced RISC Machine) processors.

    Intel knows a thing or about RISC chips. Intel manufacturing PPCs is far more probable than Apple jumping to x86.

    • Re:fact vs fiction (Score:5, Interesting)

      by ptomblin ( 1378 ) <ptomblin@xcski.com> on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:02AM (#12734924) Homepage Journal
      Fact: Because IBM didn't meet their performance promises to Apple, they now have to give Apple a whole bunch of PowerPC intellectual property. Apple could take that IP over to Intel and either have Intel manufacture 3GHz G5s, or make an Itanic/Power hybrid chip.

      In other words, don't assume that a move to Intel means a move to x86.
    • Re:fact vs fiction (Score:3, Insightful)

      by megalomang ( 217790 )
      Intel manufacturing PPCs is far more probable than Apple jumping to x86

      But...

      Why would Intel go this route. They have higher margins than any high-volume silicon foundry in the world. There are very few other companies that come close to that revenue. This approach wouldn't add much of anything to their bottom line. I don't think Intel would go for that.

      It has to be either (a) Apple spooking IBM (a la Dell and the annual AMD bluff), or (b) Intel increasing their x86 proliferation

      If indeed (b), the
  • Killer app (Score:2, Interesting)

    by bmeteor ( 167631 )
    after reading all the forum posts here, arsforum, and the macrumors board, and then the daring fireball post, I too have concluded that Intel will produce ppc chips, and/or be in on a killer app type product like the iPod. a tablet iPad?

    either way it has to have huge buzz to compete with these rumors, and Intel HAS to be involved.

    maybe intel will license or buy from freescale the rights. maybe it is OS X on a pentium m in a mobile tablet for video, etc. Either thing would rock. The latter would have t
  • by Anonymous Coward
    Let's review:

    IBM marketed its cell processors to xbox and ps3 that outperforms older super computers. And is rumored to be the next generation CPU platform for PCs.

    AMD's Athlon 64 technology out performs current CPU sets shipped by Intel by leaps and bounds while still maintaining cheaper price margin.

    x86 archetecture wont be compatable with Apple's older codes (OS and applications)

    It makes no sense for Apple to move to Intel. It's baffling why anyone would leave an optimized platform, switch to another
  • Isn't today meant to be the day Debian Sarge is released as well? The end of days is approaching, I tell you.
  • by peterdaly ( 123554 ) <{petedaly} {at} {ix.netcom.com}> on Monday June 06, 2005 @08:56AM (#12734882)
    Here's my theory:
    If any of this is true, which I'm not at all sure it is, why does everyone think it's going to be an x86 chip?

    Apple IIRC has the ability to license the PowerPC chip to others. What if Apple is licensing PowerPC to Intel because IBM can't deliver? No incompatability. The current chips are already made by two differrent companies.

    If there is ANY fact to this rumor, and it all seems to be rehash of the cnet story, this where where I think the most logical answer lies.

    -Pete
    • which I'm not at all sure it is, why does everyone think it's going to be an x86 chip?

      which I'm not at all sure it is, why does everyone think it's going to be a CPU? Why not a co-processor, chip set or even something as simply as a network controller? There are all kinds of things that could be added.

      NeXT used a custom Signal Processor on their machines. Apple could be thinking of something along those lines.

  • WINE, DRM, etc. (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Zobeid ( 314469 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:39AM (#12735255)
    Some quick points. . .

    Macs with X86 processors probably wouldn't be able to install and run Windows, and Mac OS X probably still won't be able to run on a Dell. Somebody will of course try to hack it and make it work, but Apple will be against them. Generally, a Mac will still be a Mac, and a PC will still be a PC.

    X86 will raise the possibility of WINE becoming practical on the Mac. Whether this is good or not depends on your viewpoint. Some would say a single box that can run Mac programs, Java programs, Windows programs, and a lot of Linux programs (via Fink, etc.) is the Holy Grail. On the other hand, it might decimate Mac software development. Why spend money developing a Mac version of your app when users can simply run your Windows version under WINE?

    Wired Magazine raised speculation about this all being a DRM ploy, saying what Apple really wants is the Pentium D so they can sell movies over the internet (just like iTMS) with DRM up the wazoo. I agree with the guy who said this is the worst possible reason to switch processors.

    On the balance, I'm against it, and I hope this all turns out to be merely a rumor that ran out of control. The DRM aspect worries me the most -- as a die-hard Mac lover, this is the one thing I can imagine that might possibly drive me to Linux.
  • by omega9 ( 138280 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @09:40AM (#12735276)
    Some posts argue that Apple switching to Intel would mean switching byte endianness, and that would piss off a whole slew of Mac developers and require enough software rewrites to be extremely uncomfortable.

    That's a good arguement, but it's interesting to note that IA64 can go both ways. I'm not saying they'd go IA64, but that Intel is capable of making that a non-issue.

    Personally, I think this while notion is awesome entertainment no matter what happens. And I don't think Apple will be going Intel any time soon.
    • by Anonymous Coward
      That's a good arguement, but it's interesting to note that IA64 can go both ways.

      That'll certainly be a handy feature when dealing with Apple users.

  • by thogard ( 43403 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @10:06AM (#12735559) Homepage
    Could Apple be doing to IBM what IBM intended to do to them so many years ago with the XP?

    One theory says that IBM got 3 companies to build PC prototypes and they picked the worst of the 3 because they didn't want it to hurt their mini computer business. The idea was to flood the market with IBM made computers, wait for Apple and Tandy to give up because they had much slower computers and then apologize to everyone for their junky computer and give them a huge discount on the trade in on a brand new real computer.

    I've heard different versions of that story and it fits in with what IBM did in other industries and a friend worked in the factory for the 1st run and claimed there was a letter in there that mentioned that if the computer didn't meet the customers needs they should contact their IBM dealer about a 360 (or whatever was their mini at the time)

    Now what would happen if Apple introduced a new computer that would dual boot out of the box with both OS X and Windows . Then after they get a bunch of people using them, they decide to drop the windows side of things. The result could be an increase in market share.

    Of course to make a pc that does both windows and os x, someone will have to start shipping a 2+ button mouse so it will never happen.
  • by xanderwilson ( 662093 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @10:09AM (#12735581) Homepage
    What's changed between this article and the one on Friday [slashdot.org]?

    Alex.
  • by DesScorp ( 410532 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @10:29AM (#12735839) Journal
    If this report is true, and Apple is switching to x86 based CPUs, then it's the first nail in Power's coffin. Despite the marketing push, IBM doesn't sell nearly as many power boxes as intel boxes. And if Apple drops them, that'll radically cut down production at IBM chip fab plants. We may even see the day when IBM has to change cpu architectures for their big iron. I've often wondered if IBM simply wouldn't purchase a big chunk of Intel and move their mainframes to an Itanium family of chips. HP would support it just to get Itanium in wider use. And this would fit IBM's trend from a company that actually engineer products, to a services-mostly company, a transistion that seems to be well underway at IBM.

    Oh, and Apple should have gone for the Athlon 64 instead...but Steve Jobs is such a label whore, he probably coudn't bring himself to do it.
  • by Danathar ( 267989 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @11:09AM (#12736289) Journal
    The company is in better shape financially now than just about any time in it's history. If you are gunna do something this dramatic then right now is the best time. The Ipod (and derivi will float the company for at least another year.
  • by Blitzenn ( 554788 ) * on Monday June 06, 2005 @11:25AM (#12736430) Homepage Journal
    It's about time the folks at Apple admitted defeat and left the dark side for the saving light and grace of the real PC world (Nasty troll dig I know, but it had to be said ;). Of course I think many Applites will be shedding tears as it will remove one of their large arguements as to why their machines are so much better, the power processor.

    My question is, if the current line of processors Apple uses are so much better than the Intel or AMD lineups, then why is Apple switching to Intel? To go to a worse CPU? I think not. I think Steve Jobs just pulled the rug out from under his overtly fanatical section of his following. Then again, perhaps that will aslo work to his benefit. It is hard to sell a machine to a person who perceives that association with it is bad. Many perceive the Apple as just such a beast. Quell the overspoken fanatical left and right wings and perhaps your product becomes more saleble to those in the middle. Contrary to what many current Apple followers may believe, this may actually broaden Apple's markets and allow it to become more than just the niche product it has so long been sequestered to.
  • by devphaeton ( 695736 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @11:34AM (#12736527)
    How will this affect Apple's marketing? For years, the Steve Jobs Reality Distortion Field(tm) has been solidly against anything Intel (or more generally, x86 related). My favourite is the:

    1mhz Apple == 4mhz PEECEE

    Now, truthfully, trying to boil performance of something so complex as that down to a simple equation is total b.s.... I know it, you know it, Tom Servo know it and Zorak know it.... However, will this move to Intel processors (if done) humble the zealots for awhile?

    I'll admit i've trolled against the Apple Zealots before, (and yeah i'm being a bit smug at the moment) but I'm curious to see how they deal with the way this turn of events makes all their previous claims somewhat awkward...

    There will still be plenty of differences (the processor will be specialized i'm sure) but it just seems that as more and more of the Apple architecture starts becoming Just Like PEECEEs, i wonder how they'll continue to keep arguing that "Apple computers are made of superior hardware".

    Thoughts?

    P.S., we'll probably learn that it's just a matter that Intel will start making some non-important chip for them (i.e. the RTS clock or something), *NOT* the processor ;)
  • Picture (Score:3, Funny)

    by drhamad ( 868567 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @12:06PM (#12736865)
    Your guess is as good as mine as to whether this pic is real... I'm guessing no. But regardless, if it's real, wow, if it's not, it's pretty funny:

    http://forum.macosx.nl/album_pic.php?pic_id=7142 [macosx.nl]
  • by callipygian-showsyst ( 631222 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @12:49PM (#12737292) Homepage
    Apple has invested too much convincing its userbase that Intel is somehow "evil." This will hurt them.

    I remember before the G5 was announced when most sensible people agreed that the PPC P4 was no longer competitive with Intel's latest. Apple kept telling its users "megahertz myth", etc, and talking about "pipelines". Then they switched to the P5 architecture--finally competitive with Intel. That made all their statments during the end of the P4 era suspect.

    When the G5 was announced I was watching Steve live. He said something about 3 GHz in a year. I'm still waiting.

    Mac users have it in their head that Intel is bad. That will confuse the Mac loyalists. I remember a conversation I had a few weeks ago. There was a Mac user working on Photoshop. He shouldn't care what CPU his computer used as long as it was fast enough. He was watching me do some custom video stuff on an Intel computer.

    "I thought the Intel was bad for video", he told me. "It'th got a thegmented architecture." (Lisp was because of a tounge piercing, which seems more common among Mac users.) Now, I don't know where he heard that, or why it matters to him how the Intel chip addresses memory. But somehow he was duped--sucessfully--by the Apple PR machine that Intel is inferior.

    Apple has an advantage because of their "closed box." By controlling both the hardware and software they can select the best technlogy available and integrate it. For low power, and perhaps for dual core, Intel may be the best choice. I wouldn't be surprised to see Intel used effectively by Apple for:

    • Headless Servers
    • A Mini-Mac "ilife" machine
    • Some sort of Tablet machine
    That would make a lot of sense.
  • by Augusto ( 12068 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @01:33PM (#12737689) Homepage
    10:26am PDT - "Now, let's go to the big topic: Transitions."

    10:27am PDT - 1994-1996 Moto 68K -> PowerPC. "I wasn't hear then, but from everything I hear the team did a great job." 2001-2003: OS9 - OS X.

    10:28am PDT - "It's time for a third transition. And yes, (puts up slide that says): It's true." Next slide is one word: "Why?"

    10:29am PDT - "I stood up two years ago and promised this (3.0G PowerMac), and we haven't been able to deliver." Steve says it's bigger than that, though. No roadmap for the future based on PowerPC - they can't see a future.

    10:30am PDT - Intel offers not just increased performance, but reduced power consumption. Transition will be complete by WWDC '07.
  • From Maccentral.com (Score:5, Informative)

    by pressman ( 182919 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @01:45PM (#12737814) Homepage
    The rumors are true: Intel will be inside

    Jobs talked about the major transitions in the Mac's life -- starting from the Mac's Motorola 68000-series processor to PowerPC. "The PowerPC set Apple up fro the next decade. It was a good move," he said.

    "The second transition was even better -- the transition from Mac OS 9 to Mac OS X that we just did," he continued. "This was a brain transplant. And even though these operating systems (9 and x) vary only by one in name, they are very different, and this has set Apple up for the next 20 years."

    As the Intel logo lowered on the stage screen, Jobs said, "We are going to make the transition from PowerPC to Intel processors, and we are going to do it for you now, and for our customers next year. Why? Because we want to be making the best computer for our customers looking forward."

    "I stood up here two years ago and promised you 3.0 GHz. I think a lot of you would like a G5 in your PowerBook, and we haven't been able to deliver that to you," said Jobs. "But as we look ahead, and though we've got great products now, and great PowerPC products still to come, we can envision great products we want to build, and we can't envision how to build them with the current PowerPC roadmap," said Jobs.

    Intel processors provide more performance per watt than PowerPC processors do, said Jobs. "When we look at future roadmaps, mid-2006 and beyond, we see PoweRPC gives us 15 units of perfomance per watt, but Intel's roadmap gives us 70. And so this tells us what we have to do," he explained.

    Transition to Intel by 2007, and yes, Marklar exists

    "Starting next year, we will introduce Macs with Intel processors," said Jobs. "This time next year, we plan to ship Macs with Intel processors. In two years, our plan is that the transition will be mostly complete, and will be complete by end of 2007."

    Jobs then confirmed a long-held belief that Apple was working on an Intel-compatible version of Mac OS X that some have termed "Marklar."

    Mac OS X has been "leading a secret double life" for the past five years, said Jobs. "So today for the first time, I can confirm the rumors that every release of Mac OS X has been compiled for PowerPC and Intel. This has been going on for the last five years."

    Jobs demonstrated a version of Mac OS X running on a 3.6GHz Pentium 4-processor equipped system, running a build of Mac OS X v10.4.1. He showed Dashboard widgets, Spotlight, iCal, Apple's Mail, Safari and iPhoto all working on the Intel-based system.

    Apple needs developers' help to complete the transition

    "We are very far along on this, but we're not done," said Jobs. "Which is why we're going to put it in your hands very soon, so you can help us finish it."

    The future of Mac OS X development is moving to Xcode, said Jobs. Of Apple's top 100 developers, more than half -- 56 percent -- are already using Xcode, and 25 percent are in the process of switching to Xcode. "Less than 20 percent are not on board yet. Now is a good time to get on board," said Jobs.
  • by certsoft ( 442059 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @01:47PM (#12737834) Homepage
    Steve Jobs steps down. To be replaced by Carly Fiorina.
  • All is true (Score:3, Informative)

    by guet ( 525509 ) on Monday June 06, 2005 @01:50PM (#12737858)
    Wow, it's true - from MacObserver.


    [1:43 PM] We're getting a demonstaration of Mathematica at work. It's quite impressive, of course, and it's working on an Intel Mac. - posted by Dave

    [1:42 PM] According to Mr. Gray, it took two hours to do this port. "We're talking about 20 lines of code out of millions from a dead cold start where he didn't even know why he was going." - posted by Dave

    [1:41 PM] Mr. Gray is joking about getting "the most crazy calls from Apple," where Steve asked him on Wednesday night to come out to Apple and port Mathematica, one of the most complex apps on the planet to Intel by Monday. - posted by Dave

    [1:39 PM] Asked a long time developer (Theo Grey of Wolfram Research, the makers of Mathematica) to come out to Apple and work on Intel. - posted by Dave

    [1:38 PM] Developers applauded Steve when he said that both processors would be supported for a long time to come, and the core to this will be universal binaries. - posted by Dave

    [1:37 PM] In a chart, Coca apps had half the "tweak" time as Xcode, but Steve emphasized that it will be easy. - posted by Dave

    [1:37 PM] "Cocoa apps: A few minor tweaks and a recompile, and it just works. Widgets, scripts, and JAva just work." Xcode will take a few more tweaks. - posted by Dave

    [1:35 PM] Looking at the developer's apps now. Everyone is on the edge of their seat. - posted by Dave

    [1:34 PM] Steve confirmed all this, BTW, by saying the rumors have been true about how Apple had an Intel project. - posted by Dave

    [1:33 PM] Today's demonstration has been done entirely on an Intel Mac. Steve is showing us how everything works. - posted by Dave

    [1:33 PM] Every project done at Apple has been mandated to work on PowerPC and Intel. - posted by Dave

I have hardly ever known a mathematician who was capable of reasoning. -- Plato

Working...